WeatherFox Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 Central Park back to light snow at 1:00PM. Keep your fingers crossed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFox Posted November 27, 2014 Share Posted November 27, 2014 Thanks BUT do you actually think NYC will reach an inch ? NYZ072-073-176-270230- /O.CAN.KOKX.WW.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-141127T0600Z/ NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-NORTHERN QUEENS- 821 PM EST WED NOV 26 2014 ..WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED LESS THAN AN INCH OF ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED THIS EVENING...SO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW YORK HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFox Posted November 27, 2014 Share Posted November 27, 2014 LOL - thats why I was being quiet about possibly winning the contest because I knew something was going to go wrong - the story of my life ! LMAO - but I still have till midnight tomorrow night - then if no inch on to the next contestants prediction Yep, winter weather forecasting is extremely challenging. The radar shows some light snow moving thru so who knows, maybe (but doubtful) a little more snow will be added and everyone will be surprised. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 1, 2014 Share Posted December 1, 2014 Lol early congrats to Jbg? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted December 1, 2014 Author Share Posted December 1, 2014 Lol early congrats to Jbg? the winner is the contestant whose prediction is closest to the verified date and hour of the first 1 inch total from 1 storm - so if the next one is 0.8 and the seasonal total at that point is 1.0 that is not the winning entry........ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFox Posted December 4, 2014 Share Posted December 4, 2014 Here is an updated list of all the entrants and the results so far : Also to remind everyone the 1st inch means first inch accumulation in one storm NOT when the seasonal total reaches 1 inch. Doorman Nov 8 Pbgfi Nov 15 Redmkggli Nov 15 Snow88 Nov 16 Bxengine Nov 19 Wintersgrasp Nov 21 Snowaddict Nov 21 Mob 1 Nov 22 Rtd208 Nov 23 NYY2 Nov 24 BlueSkiesFading Nov 24 TauntonBlizzard2013 Nov 25 Neg Nao Nov 27 denvilleNJ Nov 28 Chaser25973 Nov 29 Uncle W Nov 29 TonyLovesSnow Nov 30 Cik62 Nov 30 Uscgrs Dec 1 CFA Dec 2 Frankdp23 Dec 3 Snowlover11 Dec 3 Snowski 14 Dec 4 IntenseBlizzard2014 Dec 5 Jc-ct Dec 5 Alexa Dec 5 Imperator Dec 5 Plfdwxdude Dec 6 Rjay Dec 7 Mullen Dec 7 Neblizzard Dec 8 Eduardo Dec 8 NutleyBlizzard Dec 8 Cjr231 Dec 9 Twcman Dec 10 WxOutlooksBlog Dec 10 JonClaw Dec 10 Longbeachsurffreak Dec 12 Isentropiclift Dec 14 rgwp96 Dec 15 AllSnow Dec 20 Wannabehippie Dec 24 WeatherFox Dec 25 Jbg Jan 15 Another few prognosticators are primed to bite the dust. Your guess is as good as mine to who eventually wins this contest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JBG Posted December 4, 2014 Share Posted December 4, 2014 Lol early congrats to Jbg?I was just thinking that. I hope to G-d I'm wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 4, 2014 Share Posted December 4, 2014 I was just thinking that. I hope to G-d I'm wrong. Well if the gfs is correct and Euro wrong about next week then that'll likely take us to post 12/20 due to the upcoming warm period so I'd say your chances aren't too bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wannabehippie Posted December 4, 2014 Share Posted December 4, 2014 Well if the gfs is correct and Euro wrong about next week then that'll likely take us to post 12/20 due to the upcoming warm period so I'd say your chances aren't too bad. I wouldn't mind post 12/20, that would put me right in line for a win with my 12/24 prediction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFox Posted December 11, 2014 Share Posted December 11, 2014 Parts of NYC got their inch. Did not see Central Park yet.Pleasant surprise! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted December 11, 2014 Share Posted December 11, 2014 Parts of NYC got theIr inch. Did not see Central Park yet. Pleasant surprise! Central Park should be close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFox Posted December 11, 2014 Share Posted December 11, 2014 Central Park should be close. They just issued their forecast update and are predicting about an inch ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 840 PM EST WED DEC 10 2014 NYZ072-111100- NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)- 840 PM EST WED DEC 10 2014 .TONIGHT...SNOW LIKELY. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION AROUND AN INCH. BREEZY WITH LOWS AROUND 30. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH. CHANCE OF SNOW 60 PERCENT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted December 11, 2014 Share Posted December 11, 2014 last year we had 1.4" in NYC setting a record for the date... .....1.4" in 2013.... .....1.3" in 1932.... .....0.8" in 1961..... .....0.6" in 1947...... .....0.6" in 1945...... .....0.5" in 1926...... I remember 1961...I was 12 at the time...it was a surprise late night snowfall...We had a white Christmas that year...1947 had it's first measurable snow on this date... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFox Posted December 11, 2014 Share Posted December 11, 2014 Central Park still only reporting a trace http://www.wunderground.com/history/airport/Knyc/2014/12/10/DailyHistory.html?req_city=NA&req_state=NA&req_statename=NA It looks to me that .07" of melted snow was recorded which would be short of the 1" snowfall requirement for the contest. Therefore, unless I am wrong the contest remains in effect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted December 11, 2014 Share Posted December 11, 2014 It looks to me that .07" of melted snow was recorded which would be short of the 1" snowfall requirement for the contest. Therefore, unless I am wrong the contest remains in effect. I think it was high ratio snowfall...It could be 1" but their snow obs are always suspect lately... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted December 11, 2014 Share Posted December 11, 2014 If Central Park reported a trace...does that mean that JFK Airport reported a negative amount of snow today?...I mean...that would be very much in sequence with the normal course of things... The zoo keeper could be in trouble especially if someone bet the over on snowfall this year... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFox Posted December 11, 2014 Share Posted December 11, 2014 I think it was high ratio snowfall...It could be 1" but their snow obs are always suspect lately... Will have to wait for the official word, but I am not optimistic but I am hoping. http://www.erh.noaa.gov/box/tables/snowfall-meltwater.html The Actual values for a specific storm can vary significantly from this table. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted December 11, 2014 Share Posted December 11, 2014 Will have to wait for the official word, but I am not optimistic but I am hoping. http://www.erh.noaa.gov/box/tables/snowfall-meltwater.html The Actual values for a specific storm can vary significantly from this table. LGA reported 0.01" of precipitation this evening...must be an error... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFox Posted December 11, 2014 Share Posted December 11, 2014 LGA reported 0.01" of precipitation this evening...must be an error... ag3, who I believe is a NWS Storm spotter measured 1" in Astoria Queens and Bayside NY. SnowGoose69 I believe also mentioned 1" at New York LaGuardia earlier today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 11, 2014 Share Posted December 11, 2014 Central Park still only reporting a trace http://www.wunderground.com/history/airport/Knyc/2014/12/10/DailyHistory.html?req_city=NA&req_state=NA&req_statename=NA They probably measured at 7pm or 00z but upton hasn't issued a PNS yet, they may soon, otherwise we will know by 1am when the climate report comes out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted December 11, 2014 Share Posted December 11, 2014 Climo reports: 0.5" of snow for Wednesday in Central Park. LGA 1.0" and JFK 0.3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFox Posted December 11, 2014 Share Posted December 11, 2014 We are now down to the lucky seven and good luck to all. This contest has been fun to participate and of course accentuates the challenges of short range weather forecasting and naturally the guess & luck factor in long range forecasting in addition to climatology, indexes, analogs, modeling and anything else used. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rgwp96 Posted December 11, 2014 Share Posted December 11, 2014 We are now down to the lucky seven and good luck to all. This contest has been fun to participate and of course accentuates the challenges of short range weather forecasting and naturally the guess & luck factor in long range forecasting in addition to climatology, indexes, analogs, modeling and anything else used. you or the jbg guy will win by default Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFox Posted December 11, 2014 Share Posted December 11, 2014 I am just hoping there is a clear cut winner here and that we don't have to gather a few judges and vote on it considering one can argue if these snow showers should be considered part of the Tuesday Nor'easter ......... I understand, it could also get a dicey because of the breaks in the upcoming predictions. My opinion is to use the Daily Climate Report for KNYC or the NWS Public Statements for daily accumulations. Then you as the originator of this thread may need to interpolate which lucky guesser came closest to the date predicted for the 1" of snow at Central Park, NY. Of course, these decisions are yours - thanks for the fun! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JBG Posted December 11, 2014 Share Posted December 11, 2014 We are now down to the lucky seven and good luck to all. This contest has been fun to participate and of course accentuates the challenges of short range weather forecasting and naturally the guess & luck factor in long range forecasting in addition to climatology, indexes, analogs, modeling and anything else used.you or the jbg guy will win by defaultShould we split the $10,000 that americanwx will pay to the lucky winner? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFox Posted December 11, 2014 Share Posted December 11, 2014 Should we split the $10,000 that americanwx will pay to the lucky winner? I'm in on that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chaser25973 Posted December 11, 2014 Share Posted December 11, 2014 Boy... I do hope someone wins the contest or we're in for a very long winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JBG Posted December 11, 2014 Share Posted December 11, 2014 Boy... I do hope someone wins the contest or we're in for a very long winter.The spirit of 1972-3? Would be fitting. My dad died 1/5/1973 (and we whiffed on a snowstorm on the funeral day, 1/7/1973, just 18 degrees, sunny and cold, all fun from RDU south) and my mother's likely gone any week now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFox Posted December 11, 2014 Share Posted December 11, 2014 Sorry to hear that JBG Weatherfox echo's the same sentiments to JBG. Prayers for your peace & acceptance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted December 11, 2014 Share Posted December 11, 2014 The spirit of 1972-3? Would be fitting. My dad died 1/5/1973 (and we whiffed on a snowstorm on the funeral day, 1/7/1973, just 18 degrees, sunny and cold, all fun from RDU south) and my mother's likely gone any week now. sorry to hear that JBG...I lost my mom on 12/16/86...you never forget it...I remember 1973...I was 24 at the time...My son is 24 now...life is short...Enjoy it while it lasts... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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