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November 2014 Obs and Disco


Bob Chill

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Important month is upon us. Great mood weather to kick it off. All guidance is pointing towards a below normal first half of the month with a nice pattern down the line. Early indications of the AO going negative by d10. 

 

Snow in SC? Big winter incoming...lol

I remember when Brownsville Texas had snow before we did...

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Was just coming to say this. GEFS has a solidly -AO for the next 15 days. PV gets pushed south toward Hudson Bay with some real frigid air not too far away.

The whole d10-15 look on the gefs says split flow possible to me. Really outstanding look. If this was Dec I would be pretty fired up.

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Wow, I fish a good bit on the bay and check marine weather quite a bit. It's very rare to have 7ft wave forecasts in the middle bay. Tomorrow is going to be down right nasty out there

 

ANZ532-020800-
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SANDY POINT TO NORTH BEACH-
430 PM EDT SAT NOV 1 2014

GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH MONDAY
MORNING...

REST OF THIS AFTERNOON
N WINDS 20 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WAVES
6 FT. RAIN.

TONIGHT
N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WAVES 7 FT. A
CHANCE OF RAIN.

SUN
NW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WAVES 7 FT.

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7 ft waves... that's incredible. I'm expecting 40-45 mph gusts up here, with maybe sustained 20-25 mph.

 

The highest waves I've seen here were back in Feb of 2011. I forget the date exactly, but those winds were crazy. They came from the WNW, and the waves were about 2 ft . That doesn't sound like much, but the inlet is only 2-3 ft deep in most places.

 

I lost 3 or 4 trees that day.

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