packbacker Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 Kelvin degrees are the same size as Celsius degrees. The only difference is where 0 is located: in Kelvin it's at absolute zero while in Celsius it's at the temperature where water freezes. Just multiply Kelvin degrees by 1.8 to get the equivalent number of Fahrenheit degrees. Thanks! That's what I thought, I always just doubled it for F but thanks for clarifying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bevo Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 This belongs in the banter because I don't think it's going to happen, with the aleutian low setting up shop after the first week of Dec I think worst case we would be seasonal the rest of the month, cold/warm shots. I still have hope we flip to something more of a sustained wintery pattern by the last 10 days of Dec. I never thought we would get an end to end cold this winter like 76-77, and to be honest who really wants that, but I do think we will have either one big long stretch (6 weeks) or two medium stretches (3-4 weeks) of cold/wintery. That's called "normal" in the SE. Agreed pack - and also why there's just nothing to say really, about the next 3 weeks. If not for all the resources and knowledge and every other form of "input" we consume (the stuff most of the population will never even know about), I'm betting the next 3 weeks would have appeared absolutely normal to me. This is the SE. There is no set, defined or typical winter. The NE usually experiences a clear change in season - from warm to cold. The Midwest will also experience a stark change most of the time. The SE is variable by nature. There is no way to feel excellent about a long range winter forecast here. I simply do not understand the chaotic reactions to long range progs - warm or cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 Thanks! That's what I thought, I always just doubled it for F but thanks for clarifying. Doubling is close enough for anything not involving rocket science. However, atmospheric science is pretty complicated. Maybe doubling is not close enough. A fraction of a degree can make all the difference between snow or cold rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 That's called "normal" in the SE. Agreed pack - and also why there's just nothing to say really, about the next 3 weeks. If not for all the resources and knowledge and every other form of "input" we consume (the stuff most of the population will never even know about), I'm betting the next 3 weeks would have appeared absolutely normal to me. This is the SE. There is no set, defined or typical winter. The NE usually experiences a clear change in season - from warm to cold. The Midwest will also experience a stark change most of the time. The SE is variable by nature. There is no way to feel excellent about a long range winter forecast here. I simply do not understand the chaotic reactions to long range progs - warm or cold. Well said, Bevo. Well said. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pcbjr Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 I said model, not TV met .... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted November 26, 2014 Author Share Posted November 26, 2014 Good ole Vivian Brown ! Quote of the day " We are over this with a fine toothed comb". The fan is gonna' hit the roof. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted November 26, 2014 Author Share Posted November 26, 2014 Now for some thanksgiving banter. Preparations are well underway here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 That remote will never be the same! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted November 26, 2014 Author Share Posted November 26, 2014 Something for which to be thankful. Stop and think what life would be like, if we weren't at the top of the food chain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bevo Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 A history lesson: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 btw......today is baking the desserts day(yes....everything for the holidays is made from scratch except for the nilla wafers ) and my house smells amazing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 Oh 12z GFS you won't get me this time with your BS token flakes! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CandymanColumbusGA Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 I said model, not TV met .... Hey!!! How'd you know what I look like! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pcbjr Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 Hey!!! How'd you know what I look like! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 Someone's getting NAMed by the clipper. But NAMed by rain? In all seriousness, it does seem to be trending stronger. Temps look problematic (at least they did yesterday), but the timing in the early morning is nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 This morning NWS said snow tonight/tomorrow up to 1 inch.. NOW TONIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY THIS EVENING...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH ACHANCE OF RAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. LIGHT ANDVARIABLE WINDS. CHANCE OF RAIN 50 PERCENT..THANKSGIVING DAY...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE MORNING...THEN MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON.HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. CHANCE OFRAIN 40 PERCENT. No mention of snow! lol It's unbelievable how much they change every package, I know weather changes but I think all they do is model worship. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frazdaddy Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 btw......today is baking the desserts day(yes....everything for the holidays is made from scratch except for the nilla wafers ) and my house smells amazing link to samples please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jshetley Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 Did jshetley get his rain? We got 1.25 here today and am up to 4.25 over the last 10 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 We got 1.25 here today and am up to 4.25 over the last 10 days. Dang son...you've been robbed! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted November 26, 2014 Author Share Posted November 26, 2014 This morning NWS said snow tonight/tomorrow up to 1 inch.. NOW TONIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY THIS EVENING...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. CHANCE OF RAIN 50 PERCENT. .THANKSGIVING DAY...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE MORNING... THEN MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 40 PERCENT. No mention of snow! lol It's unbelievable how much they change every package, I know weather changes but I think all they do is model worship. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 lol, It's a dadburn shame! can't buy a flake..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 Holy Cow, look at the 18Z GFS for 12/9-11! Yes, it is way out there and has very low credibility but that is by far the coldest run yet and perhaps it is at least a sign that the mild spell won't last very long as the ensemble means have suggested today and the Euro weeklies suggested yesterday. In similar fashion to the 18Z GFS of yesterday, today's 18Z GFS has a very cold shot..this time for 12/10-12 and not quite as cold. This is being noted mainly for entertainment since credibility that far out is very low but also for the record in case it ends up getting cold ~12/10 since other indicators suggest colder around then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pcbjr Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 In similar fashion to the 18Z GFS of yesterday, today's 18Z GFS has a very cold shot..this time for 12/10-12 and not quite as cold. This is being noted mainly for entertainment since credibility that far out is very low but also for the record in case it ends up getting cold ~12/10 since other indicators suggest colder around then. Hey, If 336 hours is the best we can do, so be it. Although I think 18Z has hit the egg nogg early 2 days in a row. Happy Turkey Day! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 Hey, If 336 hours is the best we can do, so be it. Although I think 18Z has hit the egg nogg early 2 days in a row. Happy Turkey Day! pc, Lmao! This feels like deja vu "all over again" as Yogi would say. Speaking of eggnog, I just thought of a great idea. I'm indebted to you. I have some critters to attract. Thanks for mentioning it! Happy Turkey Day to you, pc! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pcbjr Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 I have critters to detract - namely an armadillo that tears up my pine straw, digs up my azaleas and everything else he can find. I can't bow shoot or trap the thing, try as I might sleepy-eyed at 3:00 AM when he's out rooting and sets off the alarm and wakes me (and I can't just 20 gauge him, being inside city limits, without gong to jail). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 pc/folks, Fwiw, even the 18Z GEFS is quite impressive with its +PNA developing in early Dec. This is about the most impressive GEFS run yet for that period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pcbjr Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 pc/folks, Fwiw, even the 18Z GEFS is quite impressive with its +PNA developing in early Dec. This is about the most impressive GEFS run yet for that period. Can you share a link? Cooking and don't have time .... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 Can you share a link? Cooking and don't have time .... Sorry, pc, I can't as it is coming from a paid provider. Suffice it to say that it shows a long warm period.....NOT! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pcbjr Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 Interesting, from the main forum: http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/44994-rising-confidence-in-favorable-period-for-snow-dec-15-jan-1/?p=3155610%20target Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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