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November Banter


jburns

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We should do a drinking game and take a shot every time someone says "dynamics".  We probably wouldn't make it to the 00z Euro before we're passed out.  :lmao:

 

Funny you should say that... that was going to be one of my model watching rules "NEVER PLAY DRINKING GAMES WITH THE MODELS, YOU WILL SURELY DIE!!!"

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One of these days, there will be a storm that comes up out of the Gulf and tracks along the eastern seaboard, strengthening as it crawls north. And there will be a 1040 arctic high pressure over the Lakes with -30 850s, feeding cold air into the storm. There will be no moisture robbing convection and plenty of QPF for everyone. One day....

I think I had that dream once!
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One of these days, there will be a storm that comes up out of the Gulf and tracks along the eastern seaboard, strengthening as it crawls north. And there will be a 1040 arctic high pressure over the Lakes with -30 850s, feeding cold air into the storm. There will be no moisture robbing convection and plenty of QPF for everyone. One day....

It will happen... It will ..

Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

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Even if by some insane miracle we got one of those 8 feet events like Buffalo did, the weenies would be fussing because they're 8ft lamp posts were still showing thru the snow and others were completely covered up. Others would complain that their roof didn't collapse and others did.

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You know you've had a lot of rain when a random salamander decides to walk up your driveway and take cover under your truck. I have no clue where it came from unless it made the 75 yard trek uphill from the river or 25 yard one uphill from a retention pond. Definitely not what I expected to see in late November.

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One of these days, there will be a storm that comes up out of the Gulf and tracks along the eastern seaboard, strengthening as it crawls north. And there will be a 1040 arctic high pressure over the Lakes with -30 850s, feeding cold air into the storm. There will be no moisture robbing convection and plenty of QPF for everyone. One day....

Now it's been ten thousand years, man has cried a billion tears

For what, he never knew, now man's reign is through

But through eternal night, the twinkling of starlight

So very far away, maybe it's only yesterday

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Glad Robert is on board with snowy fun, still can't go all in... those surface temps :yikes:

 

Relying on dymanic cooling is like having a good blind date, sometimes it happens, but most of the time :facepalm:

 

 

 

Not this one. Surface temps look irrelvant if the moisture is there. Judging by WV its going to be interesting the next few days. Alot of engery trying to flood into the NW along  with the building ridge out west with alot of sws in the NS. With the big trough carving in the east atm with gathering moisture to the SW more than likely will be a wet stalled front along the EC with the disturbance riding up . Where the 0c line setups thermally with the moisture will be intriguing.

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Does anyone else notice that Brad P. Finds the model with the least mount of winter weather to post? I understand being conservative, but downplaying every other model? This based on about two years of me following him, not just this storm which I know is very iffy.

 

Maybe so, but I agree with him on this one.  It's coming, but not yet.  Rain with this one outside of the usual favored areas.  Maybe some wet flakes from time to time but that's it for this area. 

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