nchighcountrywx Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Perfect day cross country skiing today. What a blessing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoJoe Posted February 22, 2015 Share Posted February 22, 2015 I knew this would happen at some point today. It just did !!!! 33 Degrees and RAIN !!!!!!! I haven't been above freezing for a week. What a crock. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNC_Fort Posted February 22, 2015 Share Posted February 22, 2015 Models haven't trended in our favor lately. I was hoping to end winter with a bang but unless there is a major shift soon this will be a terrible winter (snow wise). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 22, 2015 Author Share Posted February 22, 2015 Models haven't trended in our favor lately. I was hoping to end winter with a bang but unless there is a major shift soon this will bei a terrible winter (snow wise).Yeah as I posted yesterday do not look for anything major to come out of this week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted February 22, 2015 Share Posted February 22, 2015 Models haven't trended in our favor lately. I was hoping to end winter with a bang but unless there is a major shift soon this will be a terrible winter (snow wise). I'll agree I was hoping to wake up with everyone excited about wednesday or and next weekend but I don't see to much excitement anywhere. lousy winter with all these threats you would think one would work for all of us. crazy we get the moisture it warms up and we get the cold its dry, they don't have this problem in the northeast, they say its to cold and dry to snow here but what about the northeast as cold as it is, never seems to be to dry there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNC_Fort Posted February 22, 2015 Share Posted February 22, 2015 I realize there has been a northern trend in a lot of the systems this winter but that doesn't mean it's gonna happen every time. I just hate seeing people say that the mountain folks get all the snow... Trust us folks, the mountain region knows well of disappointment. There has been many a storm where Raleigh and Charlotte get crushed while we are left high and dry. The SREF has a mean of .59 inches. Trying to pull me back in lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moonhowl Posted February 22, 2015 Share Posted February 22, 2015 IIRC, the city of Asheville went from January 28, 1998 to December 17, 2009 without what I would consider a significant snow storm. Sans blocking it takes a freak storm to get any significant snow in Asheville which, as we all know, is geographically quite close to the warm air of the GOM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoJoe Posted February 22, 2015 Share Posted February 22, 2015 It is pretty depressing. The WPC 7 day QPF has us receiving only .25 of precip over the next 7 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buncombe Posted February 22, 2015 Share Posted February 22, 2015 All we have to do this year is wait for a new solution from the models, and we have those today. Things looking up again for this week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted February 22, 2015 Share Posted February 22, 2015 Yeah as I posted yesterday do not look for anything major to come out of this week. NAM/Euro look interesting at this time frame, though! NW shift is always possible with this type of situation right into our area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 22, 2015 Author Share Posted February 22, 2015 NAM/Euro look interesting at this time frame, though! NW shift is always possible with this type of situation right into our area.what would be funny is if Alabama, Georgia, and South Carolina got a bug snow before we did. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 22, 2015 Share Posted February 22, 2015 what would be funny is if Alabama, Georgia, and South Carolina got a bug snow before we did.no it would not. I have had three mornings below 0, 30-40 days of teens or lower and one day just getting above ten. I filled my gas tank up in August, Nov, and January and I'm already down to 40% and I run my water heater off it. If it's snowing I don't mind too much but this is beyond ridiculous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 22, 2015 Author Share Posted February 22, 2015 no it would not. I have had three mornings below 0, 30-40 days of teens or lower and one day just getting above ten. I filled my gas tank up in August, Nov, and January and I'm already down to 40% and I run my water heater off it. If it's snowing I don't mind too much but this is beyond ridiculous.lol I know. This winter has been plenty cold with nothing to show for it. It is rediculous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AirNelson39 Posted February 22, 2015 Share Posted February 22, 2015 NAM/Euro look interesting at this time frame, though! NW shift is always possible with this type of situation right into our area. I agree, wayyyyy too early to write this week off for us in the mtns. Things will trend NW don't yall worry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted February 22, 2015 Share Posted February 22, 2015 15z SREF plumes up to above 2" for the Thursday time frame. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted February 22, 2015 Share Posted February 22, 2015 15z SREF plumes up to above 2" for the Thursday time frame. Why we got to watch/hope for a typical NW trend. We could end up in a jackpot if things go perfectly, which is what couple of big dogs in 15z SREF are suggesting. Maybe I'm being too optimistic, but we'll see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 22, 2015 Share Posted February 22, 2015 Why we got to watch/hope for a typical NW trend. We could end up in a jackpot if things go perfectly, which is what couple of big dogs in 15z SREF are suggesting. Maybe I'm being too optimistic, but we'll see yeah we saw that massive shift 48 hours out that took us from 8-12 to 1 inch of sleet. Hopefully we can get a strong low thru south georgia. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoJoe Posted February 22, 2015 Share Posted February 22, 2015 Under a Winter Weather Advisory.....for black ice....woopee! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted February 22, 2015 Share Posted February 22, 2015 yeah we saw that massive shift 48 hours out that took us from 8-12 to 1 inch of sleet. Hopefully we can get a strong low thru south georgia. Euro EPS look good for us this far out, but I'm not really sure we want to sit in 2-5" range this far out due to trends and stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneTracker Posted February 23, 2015 Share Posted February 23, 2015 Euro EPS look good for us this far out, but I'm not really sure we want to sit in 2-5" range this far out due to trends and stuff. Even then, 2-5" would still be our biggest snow of the winter! Haven't had 2" since Halloween here in AVL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted February 23, 2015 Share Posted February 23, 2015 Wow 21z SREF plumes at KAVL are up to 4.63". Good trends but that does include a tad bit of snow on Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 23, 2015 Author Share Posted February 23, 2015 Wow 15z SREF plumes at KAVL are up to 4.63". Good trends but that does include a tad bit of snow on Thesday.is that for Tuesday Ward? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 23, 2015 Author Share Posted February 23, 2015 Even then, 2-5" would still be our biggest snow of the winter! Haven't had 2" since Halloween here in AVL.HT in the house! So what is your opinion of the upcoming events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 23, 2015 Author Share Posted February 23, 2015 The Nam looks much better for the Tuesday even. At hour 36 the mountains look pretty decent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneTracker Posted February 23, 2015 Share Posted February 23, 2015 HT in the house! So what is your opinion of the upcoming events. My opinion in just a few words: bank on the NW trend. It's happened all winter long. Many unique threats and we should get at least clipped by a few of them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 23, 2015 Author Share Posted February 23, 2015 My opinion in just a few words: bank on the NW trend. It's happened all winter long. Many unique threats and we should get at least clipped by a few of them.Good deal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted February 23, 2015 Share Posted February 23, 2015 is that for Tuesday Ward? Thursday lol my bad I fixed it. Tuesday looks to be around .5" but I will take anything we can get at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 23, 2015 Author Share Posted February 23, 2015 Thursday lol my bad I fixed it. Tuesday looks to be around .5" but I will take anything we can get at this point.lol No kidding in this pathetic winter! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted February 23, 2015 Share Posted February 23, 2015 My opinion in just a few words: bank on the NW trend. It's happened all winter long. Many unique threats and we should get at least clipped by a few of them. It's what I mentioned in last page. I'm waiting for NW trend to occurs Wow 15z SREF plumes at KAVL are up to 4.63". Good trends but that does include a tad bit of snow on Thursday. I think you mean 21z SREF. Wow, it's completely 50/50 between big dog members or little snow... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 23, 2015 Author Share Posted February 23, 2015 We had about a quarter inch of snow overnight and snowing lightly still. Who knows what this week will bring. Again the models change to much from run to run to believe them. Know tomorrows event looks like a non event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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