NavarreDon Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 Don you need to come back! Hahahaha! Thanks 85, while I miss the excitement of winter & imo their are not many places prettier than the Mnts of WNC. I am a Panhandler for the forseeable future. Spring fishing is just a few weeks away! If I could ever win the lottery I would def. do it like Joe. Until then I will have to live vicariously through you guys. Hope things over preform for all of you this weekend! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moonhowl Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 0.2 F IMBY; doubt I will get to see negative but there is still a chance; this is currently 0.7 F lower that what I recorded during January 2014 artic outbreak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moonhowl Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 Hahahaha! Thanks 85, while I miss the excitement of winter & imo their are not many places prettier than the Mnts of WNC. I am a Panhandler for the forseeable future. Spring fishing is just a few weeks away! If I could ever win the lottery I would def. do it like Joe. Until then I will have to live vicariously through you guys. Hope things over preform for all of you this weekend! Warm weather and spring fishing is sounding great right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 19, 2015 Author Share Posted February 19, 2015 Picked up an inch over night of snow overnight and still snowing a bit. Storm total of 2.5 inches. Current temp and low is negative 7 degrees. Very impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeGold Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 Picked up an inch over night of snow overnight and still snowing a bit. Storm total of 2.5 inches. Current temp and low is negative 7 degrees. Very impressive. 6200 feet level of Mt. Mitchell picked up 13" as 7 AM yesterday..not sure what they ended up with as they were hit with squalls the rest of the day. The Black Mtns have a wonderful way of wringing out whatever passes by there! http://kamala.cod.edu/sc/latest.nous42.KGSP.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shack Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 Good morning, folks. Any best guesses for the Fri-Sat system? Looks like a nice finger of heavier precip on the 6z nam for the northern mountains. Me, I'm heading up to Highlands this morning from Lizella(which is in the boondocks west of Macon) to check on a friends home. The drive up 64 from Dillard ought to be nice. I know there's a still a good bit on the ground up there from last Monday's system. Franklin, how much did you wind up with from yesterdays overperformance? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 19, 2015 Author Share Posted February 19, 2015 6200 feet level of Mt. Mitchell picked up 13" as 7 AM yesterday..not sure what they ended up with as they were hit with squalls the rest of the day. The Black Mtns have a wonderful way of wringing out whatever passes by there! http://kamala.cod.edu/sc/latest.nous42.KGSP.html yep they do. Was a nice event for them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoJoe Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 Wow. It's -9.6 with a 22/G27 wind making the wind chill around 35 below. Took the dogs out to pee and thought I would freeze after about 30 seconds. Picked up around 4 to 5 inches I guess, too hard to measure in the wind. I take it tomorrow nights system is not looking all that big, right now ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 19, 2015 Author Share Posted February 19, 2015 Wow. It's -9.6 with a 22/G27 wind making the wind chill around 35 below. Took the dogs out to pee and thought I would freeze after about 30 seconds. Picked up around 4 to 5 inches I guess, too hard to measure in the wind. I take it tomorrow nights system is not looking all that big, right now ? nice Joe. To me today will tell the tale of this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 Wow. It's -9.6 with a 22/G27 wind making the wind chill around 35 below. Took the dogs out to pee and thought I would freeze after about 30 seconds. Picked up around 4 to 5 inches I guess, too hard to measure in the wind. I take it tomorrow nights system is not looking all that big, right now ? .SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/... AS OF 330 AM THURSDAY...THE MAIN CONCERN DURING THE SHORT TERM WILL BE HOW MUCH WINTRY PRECIP WILL FALL ACRS THE CWFA FRIDAY NIGHT THRU SATURDAY. THE UPPER FLOW WILL FLATTEN OUT ACRS THE EASTERN CONUS FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY...AS THE LOBE OF POLAR AIR LIFTS NE AND A TROF DIGS ACRS THE ROCKIES. SHORTWAVE ENERGY WILL BEGIN TO EJECT OUT OF THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES FRIDAY NIGHT...INDUCING CYCLOGENESIS ACRS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. A WARM FRONT WILL ACTIVATE ACRS THE LWR MS AND TN VALLEYS. THERE CONTINUES TO BE A LOT OF SPREAD ON QPF RESPONSE ON THE EASTERN EDGE OF THE WARM FRONTAL PRECIP SHIELD. THE NAM HAS BEEN THE WET OUTLIER LAST FEW RUNS. TAKING THE ECMWF/GFS BLEND ON POP AND THE WPC QPF...I GET LIKELY POPS ACRS THE NC MTNS STARTING FRI EVE...AND CHC POP EAST. FCST SNDGS SHOW THAT ANY PRECIP THAT DEVELOPS FRIDAY WILL START OUT AS SNOW. GIVEN THE EXPECTED QPF...IT/S LOOKING LIKE AN ADVISORY LVL EVENT...WITH PERHAPS CLOSE TO THE 4"/12HR WARNING EVENT ABOVE 3500 FT...MAINLY IN THE SW/CENTRAL NC MTNS. WITH THE UNCERTAINTY...I WILL HOLD OFF ON ANY WINTER STORM WATCH WITH THIS FCST PACKAGE. ON SATURDAY...AN IN-SITU WEDGE WILL DEVELOP AS PRECIP WET-BULBS COLDER TEMPS ACRS THE PIEDMONT. HOWEVER...ALL THE OP MODELS SHOW LITTLE/IF ANY PRECIP WITHIN THE WARM SECTOR ONCE THE 850 MB FRONT LIFTS NORTH OF THE AREA BY MIDDAY. SO OF COURSE...THE MODELS ARE BULLISH ON LOSING THE WEDGE AND LETTING TEMPS RISE THRU THE DAY. THE EVOLUTION OF THE PRECIP TYPE THRU THE DAY IS HIGHLY UNCERTAIN. IF THERE IS BETTER FORCING AND PRECIP COVERAGE...MAY SEE MORE SLEET/SNOW ACCUMS...BUT OTHERWISE...IT LOOKS LIKE A QUICK TRANSITION TO ALL RAIN BY SATURDAY EVENING (EXCEPT FOR THE NRN MTNS AND NC FOOTHILLS WHICH WILL BE LAST TO CHANGE OVER TO RAIN). IT WAS DIFFICULT TO PEG THE HOURLY TEMP TRENDS INTO SATURDAY EVENING...BUT EVEN GOING WITH THE RAW MODEL TEMPS...I HAVE ALL AREAS ABOVE FREEZING BY 00Z SUN. SATURDAY NIGHT THRU SUNDAY NIGHT...LOW PRES IS PROGGED TO LIFT THRU THE OHIO VALLEY TO THE GREAT LAKES...KEEPING OUR AREA IN THE WARM SECTOR UNTIL A COLD FRONT PUSHES THRU SUNDAY EVENING. THE PRECIP BAND WITH THE COLD FRONT LOOKS WET...WITH MOST MODELS SHOWING 0.5- 1.0" OF QPF ON SUNDAY. EARLIER RUNS OF THE GFS SHOWED SOME INSTBY WITHIN THE FRONTAL BAND...BUT THE 00Z RUN LOOKS STABLE. TEMPS SHUD WARM INTO THE 40S TO LWR 50S IN THE MTNS AND GENERALLY MID TO UPR 50S ACRS THE PIEDMONT DURING THE DAY. CAA BEHIND THE FRONT WILL START OUT ON THE WEAK SIDE...WITH THE 850 MB FRONT STALLING WEST OF THE MTNS. SO THE MIN TEMPS MAY BE TOO WARM...ESP EAST OF THE MTNS. ALSO...EXPECT POPS TO TAPER OFF BUT LINGER ENUF FOR SOME CHC OF LIGHT SNOW IN THE MTNS. NOT EXPECTING MUCH ACCUMS WITH THE COLD FRONT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoJoe Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 .SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/... AS OF 330 AM THURSDAY...THE MAIN CONCERN DURING THE SHORT TERM WILL BE HOW MUCH WINTRY PRECIP WILL FALL ACRS THE CWFA FRIDAY NIGHT THRU SATURDAY. THE UPPER FLOW WILL FLATTEN OUT ACRS THE EASTERN CONUS FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY...AS THE LOBE OF POLAR AIR LIFTS NE AND A TROF DIGS ACRS THE ROCKIES. SHORTWAVE ENERGY WILL BEGIN TO EJECT OUT OF THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES FRIDAY NIGHT...INDUCING CYCLOGENESIS ACRS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. A WARM FRONT WILL ACTIVATE ACRS THE LWR MS AND TN VALLEYS. THERE CONTINUES TO BE A LOT OF SPREAD ON QPF RESPONSE ON THE EASTERN EDGE OF THE WARM FRONTAL PRECIP SHIELD. THE NAM HAS BEEN THE WET OUTLIER LAST FEW RUNS. TAKING THE ECMWF/GFS BLEND ON POP AND THE WPC QPF...I GET LIKELY POPS ACRS THE NC MTNS STARTING FRI EVE...AND CHC POP EAST. FCST SNDGS SHOW THAT ANY PRECIP THAT DEVELOPS FRIDAY WILL START OUT AS SNOW. GIVEN THE EXPECTED QPF...IT/S LOOKING LIKE AN ADVISORY LVL EVENT...WITH PERHAPS CLOSE TO THE 4"/12HR WARNING EVENT ABOVE 3500 FT...MAINLY IN THE SW/CENTRAL NC MTNS. WITH THE UNCERTAINTY...I WILL HOLD OFF ON ANY WINTER STORM WATCH WITH THIS FCST PACKAGE. ON SATURDAY...AN IN-SITU WEDGE WILL DEVELOP AS PRECIP WET-BULBS COLDER TEMPS ACRS THE PIEDMONT. HOWEVER...ALL THE OP MODELS SHOW LITTLE/IF ANY PRECIP WITHIN THE WARM SECTOR ONCE THE 850 MB FRONT LIFTS NORTH OF THE AREA BY MIDDAY. SO OF COURSE...THE MODELS ARE BULLISH ON LOSING THE WEDGE AND LETTING TEMPS RISE THRU THE DAY. THE EVOLUTION OF THE PRECIP TYPE THRU THE DAY IS HIGHLY UNCERTAIN. IF THERE IS BETTER FORCING AND PRECIP COVERAGE...MAY SEE MORE SLEET/SNOW ACCUMS...BUT OTHERWISE...IT LOOKS LIKE A QUICK TRANSITION TO ALL RAIN BY SATURDAY EVENING (EXCEPT FOR THE NRN MTNS AND NC FOOTHILLS WHICH WILL BE LAST TO CHANGE OVER TO RAIN). IT WAS DIFFICULT TO PEG THE HOURLY TEMP TRENDS INTO SATURDAY EVENING...BUT EVEN GOING WITH THE RAW MODEL TEMPS...I HAVE ALL AREAS ABOVE FREEZING BY 00Z SUN. SATURDAY NIGHT THRU SUNDAY NIGHT...LOW PRES IS PROGGED TO LIFT THRU THE OHIO VALLEY TO THE GREAT LAKES...KEEPING OUR AREA IN THE WARM SECTOR UNTIL A COLD FRONT PUSHES THRU SUNDAY EVENING. THE PRECIP BAND WITH THE COLD FRONT LOOKS WET...WITH MOST MODELS SHOWING 0.5- 1.0" OF QPF ON SUNDAY. EARLIER RUNS OF THE GFS SHOWED SOME INSTBY WITHIN THE FRONTAL BAND...BUT THE 00Z RUN LOOKS STABLE. TEMPS SHUD WARM INTO THE 40S TO LWR 50S IN THE MTNS AND GENERALLY MID TO UPR 50S ACRS THE PIEDMONT DURING THE DAY. CAA BEHIND THE FRONT WILL START OUT ON THE WEAK SIDE...WITH THE 850 MB FRONT STALLING WEST OF THE MTNS. SO THE MIN TEMPS MAY BE TOO WARM...ESP EAST OF THE MTNS. ALSO...EXPECT POPS TO TAPER OFF BUT LINGER ENUF FOR SOME CHC OF LIGHT SNOW IN THE MTNS. NOT EXPECTING MUCH ACCUMS WITH THE COLD FRONT. I don't need some black socked flip-flopper', Jimmy Buffet lookin', Hawaiian shirt wearin', Margarita sippin', golf cart drivin', shuffle board playin', Speedo sportin', Floridiot to tell me what the weather is going to be in the mountains of North Carolina. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 19, 2015 Author Share Posted February 19, 2015 I don't need some black socked flip-flopper', Jimmy Buffet lookin', Hawaiian shirt wearin', Margarita sippin', golf cart drivin', shuffle board playin', Burmuda short sportin', Floridiot to tell me what the weather is going to be in the mountains of North Carolina.lol awesome Joe. Don still showing us how it's done even in Florida! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 Lol.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeGold Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 6200 feet level of Mt. Mitchell picked up 13" as 7 AM yesterday..not sure what they ended up with as they were hit with squalls the rest of the day. The Black Mtns have a wonderful way of wringing out whatever passes by there! http://kamala.cod.edu/sc/latest.nous42.KGSP.html yep they do. Was a nice event for them. Add on another 15"...Mt. Mitchell has a rather incredible 27" of snow on the ground currently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 I don't need some black socked flip-flopper', Jimmy Buffet lookin', Hawaiian shirt wearin', Margarita sippin', golf cart drivin', shuffle board playin', Speedo sportin', Floridiot to tell me what the weather is going to be in the mountains of North Carolina. Hahahaha!!!.........you know me to well Joe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 19, 2015 Author Share Posted February 19, 2015 Add on another 15"...Mt. Mitchell has a rather incredible 27" of snow on the ground currently.wow that is impressive. 2 feet depth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 Mt leconte picked up 7 inches of snow and had a low of -23! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoJoe Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 Hahahaha!!!.........you know me to well Joe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nchighcountrywx Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 A lot of diamond dust in the air today in the NC High Country Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoJoe Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 Part Deux ! I'll take it on top of what we got already. Winter Storm Watch URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGENATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC347 PM EST THU FEB 19 2015AVERY-YANCEY-MITCHELL-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BANNER ELK...NEWLAND...ELK PARK...CROSSNORE...SUGAR MOUNTAIN...BURNSVILLE...SPRUCE PINE347 PM EST THU FEB 19 2015...WIND CHILL WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST FRIDAY......WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGHSATURDAY AFTERNOON...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUEDA WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE FRIDAY NIGHTTHROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON.* LOCATIONS...THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS OF NORTH CAROLINA.* HAZARDS...DANGEROUS WIND CHILL VALUES THROUGH TONIGHT.ACCUMULATING SNOW AND ICE FRIDAY NIGHT AND EARLY SATURDAY.* TIMING...DANGEROUS WIND CHILL INDEX VALUES WILL IMPROVE ONLYSLIGHTLY THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE DIPPING AGAIN TONIGHT.* ACCUMULATIONS...BEGINNING FRIDAY NIGHT. SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 2TO 4 INCHES...ALONG WITH A TRACE OF ICE.* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH.* IMPACTS...VERY LOW WIND CHILL VALUES CAN BE LIFE THREATENING IFYOU ARE NOT WEARING MULTIPLE LAYERS OF PROTECTIVE CLOTHING...ANDCAN CAUSE FROST BITE IN A MATTER OF MINUTES ON EXPOSED SKIN.ROADS AND SIDEWALKS MAY BECOME COVERED IN SNOW AND ICE FRIDAYNIGHT...AND BECOME SLIPPERY AS A RESULT.* WIND CHILL VALUES...FALLING TO 20 TO 30 BELOW ZERO TONIGHT ASTEMPERATURES DIP TO 5 TO 10 DEGREES BELOW ZERO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 Part Deux ! I'll take it on top of what we got already. Winter Storm Watch URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 347 PM EST THU FEB 19 2015 AVERY-YANCEY-MITCHELL-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BANNER ELK...NEWLAND...ELK PARK... CROSSNORE...SUGAR MOUNTAIN...BURNSVILLE...SPRUCE PINE 347 PM EST THU FEB 19 2015 ...WIND CHILL WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST FRIDAY... ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON. * LOCATIONS...THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS OF NORTH CAROLINA. * HAZARDS...DANGEROUS WIND CHILL VALUES THROUGH TONIGHT. ACCUMULATING SNOW AND ICE FRIDAY NIGHT AND EARLY SATURDAY. * TIMING...DANGEROUS WIND CHILL INDEX VALUES WILL IMPROVE ONLY SLIGHTLY THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE DIPPING AGAIN TONIGHT. * ACCUMULATIONS...BEGINNING FRIDAY NIGHT. SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 2 TO 4 INCHES...ALONG WITH A TRACE OF ICE. * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH. * IMPACTS...VERY LOW WIND CHILL VALUES CAN BE LIFE THREATENING IF YOU ARE NOT WEARING MULTIPLE LAYERS OF PROTECTIVE CLOTHING...AND CAN CAUSE FROST BITE IN A MATTER OF MINUTES ON EXPOSED SKIN. ROADS AND SIDEWALKS MAY BECOME COVERED IN SNOW AND ICE FRIDAY NIGHT...AND BECOME SLIPPERY AS A RESULT. * WIND CHILL VALUES...FALLING TO 20 TO 30 BELOW ZERO TONIGHT AS TEMPERATURES DIP TO 5 TO 10 DEGREES BELOW ZERO. thought all wnc would be under wsw and south of ther wwa. go figure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 19, 2015 Author Share Posted February 19, 2015 Wow just got home and the temp is 3 degrees. Wow just wow. The sw mountains have a winter storm watch out for the boarder countries from Madison down For 1 to 3 inches of snow and a tenth of ice. Shoot I'll take it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowbird1230 Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 Heavy Diamond Dust in Graham County!! 8 degrees currently Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoJoe Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 Slipped below zero at 5 pm, now at -2.1. How low will it go !!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 19, 2015 Author Share Posted February 19, 2015 Down to 1 degree with some diamond dustbin the air as well here. Yes Joe how low will we go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoJoe Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Down to -3.1 but have stayed there for the past 3 hours. That's fine with me, it's cold enough. Frozen smoke here as well. Even a light dusting. I have absolutely no idea what to think of tomorrow nights storm. Once again we're a little more than 24 hours out and it doesn't look like any model has a clue. That's pathetic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 20, 2015 Author Share Posted February 20, 2015 Down to -3.1 but have stayed there for the past 3 hours. That's fine with me, it's cold enough. Frozen smoke here as well. Even a light dusting.down to negative 1 here and yes the models are pathetic. I have absolutely no idea what to think of tomorrow nights storm. Once again we're a little more than 24 hours out and it doesn't look like any model has a clue. That's pathetic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoJoe Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Down to -3.1 but have stayed there for the past 3 hours. That's fine with me, it's cold enough. Frozen smoke here as well. Even a light dusting.down to negative 1 here and yes the models are pathetic. I have absolutely no idea what to think of tomorrow nights storm. Once again we're a little more than 24 hours out and it doesn't look like any model has a clue. That's pathetic. I think the cold froze up your keyboard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 20, 2015 Author Share Posted February 20, 2015 I think the cold froze up your keyboard.lol I think so to. Down to negative 1 degrees. The models have been horrible with storm systems. This has been one of the worst winters I can remember when the models have been do horrible with storm systems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 6°F so far tonight. We went as low as 0.5°F and today was the coldest high in my entire life so we'll see if we can get to my personal record of -2°F... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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