Rainforrest Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Back and forth here 25 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seaduck Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 I'm just under the parkway between Mills River and Bent Creek and its been snowing hard here for the last hour. Everything is white at this point. Keep it coming! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Heavy heavy sleet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 We can barely get a flurry here lol CAD dry air FTW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 16, 2015 Author Share Posted February 16, 2015 Rates currently are extremely light. Still snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncjoaquin Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Dry air has really battled. Even with the light nature of the stuff, still have the ground dusted. If it would get to any steady rate at all, it would easily accumulate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AirNelson39 Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Coming down great in Boone, accumulating very quickly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNC_Fort Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Snowing in Old Fort. Sticking to the roof Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 If precip rates don't pick up soon here we will be lucky to see a dusting of anything, this dry air means business Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneTracker Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 If precip rates don't pick up soon here we will be lucky to see a dusting of anything, this dry air means business We are waiting for the main forcing to arrive. Then rates will increase dramatically. I think this happens 6pm to 11pm across the mountains. Unfortunately, strongest forcing also coincides with warmest temps aloft, so that's also our ZR window. Not out of the woods by a long shot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jacobr57 Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 We are waiting for the main forcing to arrive. Then rates will increase dramatically. I think this happens 6pm to 11pm across the mountains. Unfortunately, strongest forcing also coincides with warmest temps aloft, so that's also our ZR window. Not out of the woods by a long shot. Rates are picking up significantly here at UNCA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 16, 2015 Author Share Posted February 16, 2015 We are waiting for the main forcing to arrive. Then rates will increase dramatically. I think this happens 6pm to 11pm across the mountains. Unfortunately, strongest forcing also coincides with warmest temps aloft, so that's also our ZR window. Not out of the woods by a long shot.nice! Lol sarcasm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoJoe Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Been all snow here with good rates. Already an inch. Temp pretty steady around 17.5. Lord help us if it turns to rain with these temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 16, 2015 Author Share Posted February 16, 2015 Been all snow here with good rates. Already an inch. Temp pretty steady around 17.5. Lord help us if it turns to rain with these temps.nice Joe. Good luck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Flizzard here now.. would like to see some stronger echoes on the RADAR but beggars cant be choosers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneTracker Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Flizzard here now.. would like to see some stronger echoes on the RADAR but beggars cant be choosers Radar definitely doesn't look good. I think it will fill in over the next 3-4 hours in line with HRRR output. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Radar definitely doesn't look good. I think it will fill in over the next 3-4 hours in line with HRRR output. Am I missing something? Thought radar looked pretty good http://www.intellicast.com/National/Radar/Current.aspx?animate=true Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Yeah, we're not getting much on campus ATM. Just a coating of sleet so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 16, 2015 Author Share Posted February 16, 2015 Am I missing something? Thought radar looked pretty good http://www.intellicast.com/National/Radar/Current.aspx?animate=true looks are deceiving. The radar looks great but the dry air is winning the battle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jacobr57 Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Based on NWS radars it looks like greater forcing is on its way pretty soon though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 16, 2015 Author Share Posted February 16, 2015 Based on NWS radars it looks like greater forcing is on its way pretty soon though.I hope so. We areally getting tiny flakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 All sleet here now.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Hoping this sleet saves us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainforrest Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Heavy sleet temp 23 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Southern Apps. Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 GSP NWS talking about Thunder Snow later this week: .SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...AS OF 300 PM MONDAY...THE LATEST SHORT RANGE MODELS AGREE THATVIGOROUS UPPER IMPULSES ROTATING AROUND THE POLAR VORTEX WILL SWEEPTHROUGH THE SOUTHEAST TUE NIGHT INTO WED...WITH ITS TROUGH AXISBECOMING NEGATIVELY TILTED AS IT CROSS OUR FORECAST AREA. H5 HEIGHTSSHOULD BOTTOM OUT BY WED NIGHT...GRADUALLY RISING THROUGH THU AS THEAXIS MOVES OFF THE EAST COAST.AT THE SURFACE...AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO BLAST THROUGHTHE REGION ON WED...USHERING IN A BITTERLY COLD AIRMASS IN ITS WAKE.LATEST MODELS SUGGEST THAT RATHER DEEP MOISTURE WILL BE ACCOMPANIEDBY THE FRONT...WITH NW UPSLOPE SNOW DEVELOPING OVER THE TN BORDERCOUNTIES BY EARLY WED MORNING...SPREADING ACROSS THE REST OF THE NCMTNS/VALLEYS THRU MIDDAY. INTERESTINGLY...AREAS EVEN EAST OF THEMTNS WILL SEE A CHANCE OF SNOW ON WED AFTERNOON WHEN THE TROUGH AXISCROSSES THE REGION...STEEPENING LOW-MID LEVEL LAPSE RATE. VARIOUSMODEL SOUNDINGS INDICATE DEEP AND SKINNY CAPE WILL BE PRESCIENTALONG WITH RATHER DEEP MOIST LAYER ACROSS ENTIRE CWA....SUPPORTING ADEVELOPMENT OF SNOW SHOWERS. THE LIMITING FACTOR LOOKS TO BE STRONGDOWNSLOPING NWLY H85 WINDS EAST OF THE MTNS. THEREFORE...POPS IN THERANGE OF SLIGHT TO LOW END CHANCE RANGE APPEAR TO BE A GOOD BET ATTHIS TIME. WITH THE PRESENCE OF SBCAPE...THUNDER SNOW IS NOT OUT OFTHE QUESTION ATT. THE CONDITIONS SHOULD DRY OUT TOWARD WEDEVENING/NIGHT AS DEEP LAYER DRYING WILL OCCUR OVERHEAD OWING TOBUILDIONG ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE FROM THE NW. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMS DURINGTHIS EVENT ACROSS THE TN BORDR COUNTIES WILL BE AROUND 1-3INCHES...WITH LESS THAN 0.5 INCH ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE MTNS ZONES.SINCE THIS PERIOD IS BEYOND DAY 3...WILL CONTINUE TO MENTIONACCUMULATING SNOW IN THE HWO.ANOTHER ISSUE WILL BE NEAR RECORD LOW TEMPS ON WED NIGHT FOR ENTIRECWA AND DANGEROUS WIND CHILL VALUES ACROSS THE NC MTN ZONES. MODELSCONTINUE TO SUGGEST THAT AS THE ARCTIC AIRMASS FILTERS IN FROM THENW...H85 TEMPS WILL PLUMMET TO -27C ALONG THE TN BORDER AND TO -22CALONG THE I-85 BY 12Z THU. THEREFORE...OVERNIGHT SURFACE TEMPS WILLPLUMMET INTO 5-10 BELOW ZERO OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN AND INTO THESINGLE DIGITS ELSEWHERE. WITH TIGHT SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENTSETTING UP ACROSS THE AREA...WE WILL SEE GUSTY NW CAA WINDS OF 15-30MPH ACROSS THE MTNS WITH 10-20 MPH ELSEWEHRE. THIS WILL COMBINE WITHFRIGID TEMPS TO CREAT DANGEROUS WIND CHILL READINGS OF -10 TO -25FACROSS THE MTNS. AREAS OUT SIDE OF THE MTNS WILL SEE SINGLE DIGITSBELOW ZERO ON WED NIGHT INTO EARLY THU MORNING. CONDIITONS ON THULOOKS DRY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVERHEAD. DAYTIME TEMPS ON THUWILL REMAIN IN THE SIGLE DIGITS ABOVE TO THE LOW 10S OVER THE NCMTNS WITH 20S ELSEWHERE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 16, 2015 Author Share Posted February 16, 2015 Nice southern apps! conditions here are deteriorating rapidly here. We have heavy snow sleet and freezing rain. Roads are becoming horrible and truck is in cased in ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 I spoke too soon. Sleet are really picking up on campus and it's slippery EVERYWHERE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainforrest Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Yea met roads here in lake toxaway are really bad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Still pouring sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 16, 2015 Author Share Posted February 16, 2015 Yea met roads here in lake toxaway are really badyeah wrecks everywhere according to ems. Heavy heavy sleet! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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