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3rd Annual Snow Thread for the Mountains

Met1985

By Met1985,
in Southeastern States

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WxBlue

WxBlue

Posted
Posted

Looks like things are pulling back with the cold and snow. Does not look to get as cold and upslope chances seem to be diminishing also. This winter has stunk and continues to stink.

 

Exactly why I said "we'll see how this go" after 12z runs, lol. What a disaster of winter after so much hope :\

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SnoJoe

SnoJoe

Posted
Posted

For those about to rock.......

 

Winter Weather Advisory

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
254 PM EST WED FEB 11 2015

...AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL ARRIVE EARLY THURSDAY...

.AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS
EARLY THURSDAY. THE FRONT WILL BRING SNOW SHOWERS AND FALLING
TEMPERATURES.

NCZ033-048>052-120400-
/O.NEW.KGSP.WW.Y.0005.150212T1200Z-150213T0000Z/
AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BANNER ELK...NEWLAND...ELK PARK...
CROSSNORE...SUGAR MOUNTAIN...MARS HILL...MARSHALL...HOT SPRINGS...
BURNSVILLE...SPRUCE PINE...BRYSON CITY...WAYNESVILLE...CANTON...
LAKE JUNALUSKA
254 PM EST WED FEB 11 2015

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 7 PM EST
THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED
A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE MOST OF THE NORTH CAROLINA
MOUNTAIN COUNTIES ADJACENT TO TENNESSEE. THE ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT
FROM 7 AM TO 7 PM EST THURSDAY.

* NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAIN COUNTIES ADJACENT TO TENNESSEE

* HAZARDS...SNOW...BLOWING SNOW AND VERY COLD TEMPERATURES

* TIMING...STARTING EARLY THURSAY MORNING CONTINUING THROUGHOUT
THE DAY

* ACCUMULATIONS...ONE TO TWO INCHES

* IMPACTS...SLIPPERY HIGHWAYS, REDUCING VISIBILITY AND COLD
TEMPERATURES

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE VALLEYS TEMPERATURES WILL HOLD STEADY OR
SLOWLY FALL THROUGH THE 20S...WHILE TEMPERATURES ABOVE 3500 FEET
WILL SEE TEMPERATURES FALL WELL INTO THE TEENS.

* WINDS...SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH,

* VISIBILITY...OCCASIONALLY BELOW 1 MILE IN SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW MEANS THAT
VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO STRONG WINDS BLOWING SNOW
AROUND. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS

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SnoJoe

SnoJoe

Posted
Posted

Nice HWO as well........

 

 

Hazardous Weather Outlook

 

 

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
343 PM EST WED FEB 11 2015

NCZ033-048-050>052-122045-
AVERY-MADISON-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-
343 PM EST WED FEB 11 2015

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 7 PM EST
THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS OF
WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

..THURSDAY...HIGH WINDS AND LIGHT SNOW POSSIBLE. A PASSING COLD
FRONT WILL USHER IN SNOW SHOWERS AND VERY WINDY CONDITIONS ACROSS
THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS. WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH WILL BE
POSSIBLE...ALONG WITH SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES WITH
BLOWING SNOW. WIND CHILL VALUES WILL LIKELY FALL TO MINUS 5 OR
BELOW BY EVENING.
..FRIDAY...COLD WAVE POSSIBLE. IN THE WAKE OF THE FIRST ARCTIC
COLD FRONT...A COLD AIRMASS WILL SETTLE OVER THE REGION. THE
COMBINATION OF VERY WINDY CONDITIONS AND VERY COLD TEMPERATURES
MAY RESULT IN MORNING WIND CHILL VALUES OF 5 DEGREES BELOW ZERO OR
COLDER FRIDAY MORNING. WINDS GUSTS OVER 45 MPH ARE ALSO POSSIBLE
EARLY IN THE DAY.
..SATURDAY...COLD WAVE POSSIBLE. A STRONGER ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL
CROSS THE REGION LATE SATURDAY.
..SUNDAY...WIND CHILL POSSIBLE. EVEN COLDER TEMPERATURES ALONG
WITH VERY WINDY CONDITIONS WILL ARRIVE THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING.
WIDESPREAD MORNING WIND CHILL VALUES RANGING FROM 10 BELOW ZERO TO
25 BELOW ZERO ARE POSSIBLE...ALONG WITH WIND GUSTS OVER 45 MPH.
..MONDAY...COLD WAVE POSSIBLE.
..TUESDAY...WINTRY MIX POSSIBLE. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE
INTO THE AREA. WITH COLD AIR IN PLACE ACROSS THE REGION...THE
PRECIPITATION MAY START AS A WINTRY MIX BEFORE CHANGING TO RAIN.

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SnoJoe

SnoJoe

Posted
Posted

Moisture upstream looks great right know. When this hit's we are going to have some heavy snow.

 

 

It's starting to light up for sure. I texted a friend that's a middle school teacher here and told her to keep an eye out the window. She said the school system is trying to figure out what to do. They get in a bind when these systems come in during the school day. It can get bad quickly on our winding roads, especially when the temps are in the mid 20's.

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Met1985

Met1985

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It's starting to light up for sure. I texted a friend that's a middle school teacher here and told her to keep an eye out the window. She said the school system is trying to figure out what to do. They get in a bind when these systems come in during the school day. It can get bad quickly on our winding roads, especially when the temps are in the mid 20's.

yeah same here. Temps are at 28 degrees and the wind has picked up a bit with clouds streaming in know.
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HurricaneTracker

HurricaneTracker

Posted
Posted

Nothing on radar but have flurries already. I think even the valleys are going to get in on this.

 

Maybe.  Temps are in the upper 30s to low 40s here in the French Broad Valley, with winds just starting to increase a bit.  Would take some decent cooling to get snow to stick, though I do expect at least flurries.  As with most NWFS events, very hard for valley's to get much of anything.  I don't see this event being any different since most models, including the HRRR don't have nary anything showing up today at all.

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Met1985

Met1985

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Maybe. Temps are in the upper 30s to low 40s here in the French Broad Valley, with winds just starting to increase a bit. Would take some decent cooling to get snow to stick, though I do expect at least flurries. As with most NWFS events, very hard for valley's to get much of anything. I don't see this event being any different since most models, including the HRRR don't have nary anything showing up today at all.

HT any thoughts about next week?
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HurricaneTracker

HurricaneTracker

Posted
Posted

HT any thoughts about next week?

 

Well certainly looks like there will be some sort of storm.  Really just too many moving parts at this range to pin things down.  I like the look of the CAD signature that seems to be showing up on more runs.  But we are basically still at a Day 6 event, so need to wait unitl Saturday at the earliest before we begin to really dissect the model runs.

 

No model of choice right now either.  Both GFS and Euro have backed off on the depth of the cold for Sunday and that has implications for next week.  It's a "wait and see" mode.

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