Met1985 Posted February 7, 2015 Author Share Posted February 7, 2015 Nice "balmy" morning here with a temp of 35.2. It's around 20 in the valley. I'm ready for a nice mid 50's day. I'm in the "if it's not going to snow, it might as well be warm" camp this late in the season.Yeah Joe this weekend is going to be beautiful. Get out and enjoy! Man I do have spring fever. Been thinking of the beach a lot recently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted February 7, 2015 Share Posted February 7, 2015 Any suggestions for a good hike? I'm trying to avoid anything above 3,500-4,000 feet so I can stay warm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 7, 2015 Author Share Posted February 7, 2015 Any suggestions for a good hike? I'm trying to avoid anything above 3,500-4,000 feet so I can stay warm lol. There are some good hiking trails up crush in middle prong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 lol. There are some good hiking trails up crush in middle prong. Thanks for suggestion! Something came up today that prevented me from hiking, but I'll find a place tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoJoe Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 Wow ! Starting the morning at 43.3. How high will it go today. I'm going to thoroughly enjoy it. I think I'll just sit out on the deck in my underwear and soak it all in !!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 8, 2015 Author Share Posted February 8, 2015 Wow ! Starting the morning at 43.3. How high will it go today. I'm going to thoroughly enjoy it. I think I'll just sit out on the deck in my underwear and soak it all in !!!!lol I feel yeah Joe! I hate this is my weekend to work. Such a beautiful weekend. Spring fever is in the air! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 Made it down to 27. 36 right now on my way out to church on this beautiful Lord's day! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 Cold this morning made it down to 23 gonna be another nice one this afternoon. Definitely getting a run in after church. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoJoe Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 Almost cracked 60 today (59.3). Felt wonderful!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nchighcountrywx Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 Almost cracked 60 today (59.3). Felt wonderful!!! Unreal! We have had cooler days than today in the NC High Country in July! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoJoe Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 Unreal! We have had cooler days than today in the NC High Country in July! How true, I just checked and we had a high of 59.7 last July 31 and 59.9 on Aug. 1. ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 8, 2015 Author Share Posted February 8, 2015 How true, I just checked and we had a high of 59.7 last July 31 and 59.9 on Aug. 1. !lol how crazy in February! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 9, 2015 Author Share Posted February 9, 2015 Maybe some snow tonight along the boarder and boy is it going to get cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 Euro ensembles increased the snowfall for the mtns on day 8-9 pretty decent signal for a storm. Let's see if it pans out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 10, 2015 Author Share Posted February 10, 2015 Euro ensembles increased the snowfall for the mtns on day 8-9 pretty decent signal for a storm. Let's see if it pans out.Yeah good signs today. Temp has dropped 8 degrees in about 45 minutes here. I think we have a chance for snow Thursday night and for Saturday night and Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 10, 2015 Author Share Posted February 10, 2015 We have a dusting of sleep and snow this morning and we are currently getting snow right know. This week's looks to be brutal. I like our chances for snow Wednesday night through Thursday and also the weekend but the temps are going to be the big factor here I think. For Thursday and Friday we could see highs in the low to mid 20 and colder with lows around zero. The second wave looks colder. Could see highs in the teens and lows well below zero. Also GSP is honking about dangerous wind chills also. They are talking about wind chills in the negative teens but right know seems like we get colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 Met I didn't much sleep last night either. Guess you could call it a dusting. Lol.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 10, 2015 Author Share Posted February 10, 2015 Met I didn't much sleep last night either. Guess you could call it a dusting. Lol..lol. I know this year has been final. Right know I would not mind a widespread 4 inch event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 10, 2015 Author Share Posted February 10, 2015 Still have light snow this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoJoe Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 From GSP long range...... ....HIGH TEMPS MODERATE A LITTLE MONDAY...BUT REMAIN 10 TO 15 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL. WILL HAVE TO KEEP AN EYE ON THE 2 DAYAVERAGE TEMPS AS THEY COULD BE COLD ENUF TO REACH THE DEFINITION OFA COLD WAVE. What does that mean ? Seems like it will be a cold wave to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 10, 2015 Author Share Posted February 10, 2015 From GSP long range...... ....HIGH TEMPS MODERATE A LITTLE MONDAY...BUT REMAIN 10 TO 15 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL. WILL HAVE TO KEEP AN EYE ON THE 2 DAY AVERAGE TEMPS AS THEY COULD BE COLD ENUF TO REACH THE DEFINITION OF A COLD WAVE. What does that mean ? Seems like it will be a cold wave to me. lol maybe a cold wave by definition is multiple days below normal to a certain point and right know we look to sustain quite a cold stretch from Thursday through about 7 to 10 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 lol maybe a cold wave by definition is multiple days below normal to a certain point and right know we look to sustain quite a cold stretch from Thursday through about 7 to 10 days. I didn't understand their reasoning with that statement either. Why are they keeping an eye out for that?? Who cares if it meets the definition.or not? All I care about is the temps and precipitation chances. Maybe Isohume can explain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 I believe the NWS defines a cold wave as a rapid fall in temperature across an area to a specific minimum or below. The actual numbers vary both by area and time of year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaculaWeather Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 "Specifically, as used by the U.S. National Weather Service, a cold wave is a rapid fall in temperature within a 24-hour period requiring substantially increased protection to agriculture, industry, commerce, and social activities." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaculaWeather Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cold_wave Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 Yeah Met I am liking the look for Thursday. I havent got to look at the 12z gfs but the 12z nam looked very favorable for a few hours of upslope. Hopefully someone in the valley can pick up a quick inch! LR looks great but I want to see the models agree on the threat within 3 days after all we have been through this year. Thank goodness for living in the mountains and NWF to keep us sain! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
isohume Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 Maybe Isohume can explain. Here's the definition from our Winter Wx Ops Plan: Eastern Region Supplement 02-2003 provides guidance on handling “cold waves” of extended temperatures well below normal. It states: Empirical data suggests that when the average daily temperature is 12°F or more below normal mid-January average daily temperatures for 48 hours or longer, significant infrastructure impacts begin to occur. Significant impacts may include frozen water pipes (…) and warrant extra caution by emergency managers, fire departments, building managers, and the public at-large. In line with this guidance, the normal mean daily temperatures for January 15 are: Asheville Area...37 Charlotte Area...41 Greer Area.......42 So, we should issue a "cold-wave" outlook (in the HWO) when we have a couple of consecutive days of forecast average temps of: AVL...25 (This has happened 265 times since 1869)* CLT...29 (237 events since 1878)* GSP...30 (222 events since 1890)* *Recurrence statistics using XMAcis. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 Here's the definition from our Winter Wx Ops Plan: Eastern Region Supplement 02-2003 provides guidance on handling “cold waves” of extended temperatures well below normal. It states: Empirical data suggests that when the average daily temperature is 12°F or more below normal mid-January average daily temperatures for 48 hours or longer, significant infrastructure impacts begin to occur. Significant impacts may include frozen water pipes (…) and warrant extra caution by emergency managers, fire departments, building managers, and the public at-large. In line with this guidance, the normal mean daily temperatures for January 15 are: Asheville Area...37 Charlotte Area...41 Greer Area.......42 So, we should issue a "cold-wave" outlook (in the HWO) when we have a couple of consecutive days of forecast average temps of: AVL...25 (This has happened 265 times since 1869)* CLT...29 (237 events since 1878)* GSP...30 (222 events since 1890)* *Recurrence statistics using XMAcis. I was going to ask you about that on facebook. thanks for explaining! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 10, 2015 Author Share Posted February 10, 2015 Here's the definition from our Winter Wx Ops Plan: Eastern Region Supplement 02-2003 provides guidance on handling “cold waves” of extended temperatures well below normal. It states: Empirical data suggests that when the average daily temperature is 12°F or more below normal mid-January average daily temperatures for 48 hours or longer, significant infrastructure impacts begin to occur. Significant impacts may include frozen water pipes (…) and warrant extra caution by emergency managers, fire departments, building managers, and the public at-large. In line with this guidance, the normal mean daily temperatures for January 15 are: Asheville Area...37 Charlotte Area...41 Greer Area.......42 So, we should issue a "cold-wave" outlook (in the HWO) when we have a couple of consecutive days of forecast average temps of: AVL...25 (This has happened 265 times since 1869)* CLT...29 (237 events since 1878)* GSP...30 (222 events since 1890)* *Recurrence statistics using XMAcis. Great explanation isohum. Thanks for stopping by. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted February 10, 2015 Share Posted February 10, 2015 12z Euro crushed mountains starting on 17th as did 12z GFS. I'm still in classroom so I didn't look at it closely outside snow maps. We'll see how this go... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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