calculus1 Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 Oh. I didn't realize that. Thanks for crushing my dreams, Calc. Ha! You're welcome, Joe. Sorry. Ummm...Happy Thanksgiving? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted November 27, 2014 Author Share Posted November 27, 2014 Temps have fallen pretty good tonight. Down to 33 degrees. The Radar out of TN looks very good. I really like the way this looks. Not true NW flow though so not sure how some spots may do but, that is a pretty impressive band of moisture coming across TN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted November 27, 2014 Share Posted November 27, 2014 Temps have fallen pretty good tonight. Down to 33 degrees. The Radar out of TN looks very good. I really like the way this looks. Not true NW flow though so not sure how some spots may do but, that is a pretty impressive band of moisture coming across TN. Agreed, I have noticed that Enka/Candler tends to do alright with these type flows so it will be interesting to see if we get much if anything. One time it wasn't snowing anywhere else in town except in Enka/Candler during a clipper but I am not sure if that will be the case this time. Nonetheless good moisture upstream and the models have been trending wetter all day. Temp 38.5 here currently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted November 27, 2014 Author Share Posted November 27, 2014 Agreed, I have noticed that Enka/Candler tends to do alright with these type flows so it will be interesting to see if we get much if anything. One time it wasn't snowing anywhere else in town except in Enka/Candler during a clipper but I am not sure if that will be the case this time. Nonetheless good moisture upstream and the models have been trending wetter all day. Yeah I was thinking the way the band is coming in and the intensity of the band there may be more people get in on the action. It looks like the band will come through then the NW flow may kick in tomorrow. Anyway I like were we stand. A lot better than last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted November 27, 2014 Author Share Posted November 27, 2014 Moisture is on our doorstep. Temp down to 30 degrees. Dropping pretty quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted November 27, 2014 Share Posted November 27, 2014 Moisture is on our doorstep. Temp down to 30 degrees. Dropping pretty quickly. Yeah met we are dropping quick in the valley now down to 36 in my back yard. NAM temp profile looks to be a good 3-5 degrees off from the sounding at hr3 on the 00z so I would say it doesn't have a handle on the solution. Also displaces moisture and looks nothing like radar. RAP looks better but temps are still a bit off. If we drop to 35-34 degrees, 850mb temps will allow flakes to make it to the surface. This one already looks better than last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneTracker Posted November 27, 2014 Share Posted November 27, 2014 Yeah met we are dropping quick in the valley now down to 36 in my back yard. NAM temp profile looks to be a good 3-5 degrees off from the sounding at hr3 on the 00z so I would say it doesn't have a handle on the solution. Also displaces moisture and looks nothing like radar. RAP looks better but temps are still a bit off. If we drop to 35-34 degrees, 850mb temps will allow flakes to make it to the surface. This one already looks better than last night. Certainly has a better chance at producing snow in the valleys! I am down to 33° in MBY (southwest Buncombe county). Projected NAM 850mb temps are below zero after midnight, so I think flakes will survive their downward paths. Biggest question is QPF, which looks to be 0.03-0.05" based on SREF mean. So maybe a dusting in the areas that get it. Won't be widespread, I don't think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted November 27, 2014 Share Posted November 27, 2014 Hopefully those bands can survive that are west of Chattanooga. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted November 27, 2014 Author Share Posted November 27, 2014 Yeah looking upstream it looks like the whole batch of moisture will be rotating into the mountains through the night. Looks pretty good if the bands hold together as Franklin said. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoJoe Posted November 27, 2014 Share Posted November 27, 2014 Certainly has a better chance at producing snow in the valleys! I am down to 33° in MBY (southwest Buncombe county). Projected NAM 850mb temps are below zero after midnight, so I think flakes will survive their downward paths. Biggest question is QPF, which looks to be 0.03-0.05" based on SREF mean. So maybe a dusting in the areas that get it. Won't be widespread, I don't think. HT, as Met implied, will this transition into more of a NWFS tomorrow ? My spot forecast has a 40% chance of snow showers until 12 tomorrow night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
QC_Halo Posted November 27, 2014 Share Posted November 27, 2014 At 2800ft or so near Bryson City. Really big flakes coming down steadily. Starting to cover our deck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted November 27, 2014 Share Posted November 27, 2014 At 2800ft or so near Bryson City. Really big flakes coming down steadily. Starting to cover our deck. Send it this way... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
QC_Halo Posted November 27, 2014 Share Posted November 27, 2014 This was 15 mins ago...still Coming down Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted November 27, 2014 Share Posted November 27, 2014 Nice pic QC. Rain is being reported at AVL airport although I have a feeling there is some snow mixed in. I will be driving up 26 tomorrow am into Tennessee, don't think the roads will be too treacherous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneTracker Posted November 27, 2014 Share Posted November 27, 2014 HT, as Met implied, will this transition into more of a NWFS tomorrow ? My spot forecast has a 40% chance of snow showers until 12 tomorrow night. You got it right... A typical NWFS event will follow on the heels of this departing wave. Should be a windy cold day with intermittent snow showers. Happy Thanksgiving! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted November 27, 2014 Share Posted November 27, 2014 Had a nice snow shower in Candler around 330 this morning and it is flurrying again currently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted November 27, 2014 Author Share Posted November 27, 2014 Happy Thanksgiving everyone! What a beautiful morning out! We have about 2 to 2.5 inches of paste on the ground and it is covering everything! Just beautiful outside. Wow 2 years in a row having a white Thanksgiving. What are the odds. Still snowing lightly with temp of 28 degrees. Will post pics in a little bit when the sun comes up a bit more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted November 27, 2014 Author Share Posted November 27, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted November 27, 2014 Author Share Posted November 27, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted November 27, 2014 Author Share Posted November 27, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted November 27, 2014 Share Posted November 27, 2014 I'm enjoying the beautiful light snow here in the Swannanoa Valley this morning. We woke up to snow-covered roofs and elevated surfaces. Just a light dusting, but the snow continues to fall. It's apparent that the surrounding mountain peaks have quite a bit more than survived down here in the valley. Temperature is around 35 F here at the house. My first White Thanksgiving in over 10 years. (The last one was while visiting family in Michigan.) Beautiful pics, Met1985. Thanks for sharing this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted November 27, 2014 Share Posted November 27, 2014 Getting some snowflakes here in West Asheville finally after calling for snow for 2 days I am finally seeing a few flakes right now. Guess I'll wait until the next chance of snow but I know we need to get into Dec. to really have a good shot and more so into Jan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted November 27, 2014 Author Share Posted November 27, 2014 I'm enjoying the beautiful light snow here in the Swannanoa Valley this morning. We woke up to snow-covered roofs and elevated surfaces. Just a light dusting, but the snow continues to fall. It's apparent that the surrounding mountain peaks have quite a bit more than survived down here in the valley. Temperature is around 35 F here at the house. My first White Thanksgiving in over 10 years. (The last one was while visiting family in Michigan.) Beautiful pics, Met1985. Thanks for sharing this morning. That's great Calc! Awesome you are seeing snow down there this morning. It is truly magical on Thanksgiving. Also my pleasure just a beautiful morning out. Snowing still moderately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeGold Posted November 27, 2014 Share Posted November 27, 2014 That's great Calc! Awesome you are seeing snow down there this morning. It is truly magical on Thanksgiving. Also my pleasure just a beautiful morning out. Snowing still moderately. Nice pics Met! Radar/webcams show that what is basically round 3 of the snow-in this case NW upslope variety is having less trouble than normal crusing right over the TN line and well into the Balsams. Perhaps the pre-moistened air due to the Clipper last night is helping the cause. The radar suggests some of the snowshowers are quite intense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted November 27, 2014 Share Posted November 27, 2014 Lught dusting here, snow continues to fall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoJoe Posted November 27, 2014 Share Posted November 27, 2014 A solid 2 1/2 inches on the ground here and still snowing. A beautiful Thanksgiving morning. We have some family up from "N'awlins" and they are in awe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted November 27, 2014 Author Share Posted November 27, 2014 Yeah we continue to get good snow squalls and snow growth. New total of about 3 inches know. Just beautiful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted November 27, 2014 Share Posted November 27, 2014 Good band coming thru now decent sized flakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted November 27, 2014 Share Posted November 27, 2014 Nice pics Met! Congrats to all who are seeing flakes! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted November 27, 2014 Share Posted November 27, 2014 Got a very nice snow shower currently in candler with moderate sized flakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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