hosj III Posted October 29, 2014 Share Posted October 29, 2014 The GEFS looks even better this run. I'm not ready to give up on this threat. There is not a lot of breathing room, but a major coastal storm remains a possibility. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted October 29, 2014 Share Posted October 29, 2014 Prob too late for anything for us... fyp Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted October 29, 2014 Share Posted October 29, 2014 Nice to see we are so quickly in mid-season model-watching form. "Hour ___ looks close" "It wants to" "Comes together too late" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted October 29, 2014 Share Posted October 29, 2014 WPC expects snow in some spots - and has chances close.. VERY LOW chances for 1"+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted October 29, 2014 Share Posted October 29, 2014 Bust Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted October 29, 2014 Share Posted October 29, 2014 Bust ? Still a wind, rain, cold, first freeze event. High impact was never locked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted October 29, 2014 Share Posted October 29, 2014 NAM is wet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted October 29, 2014 Share Posted October 29, 2014 NAM is wet and hard to believe what it's showing at 5H, but wth, it's the NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted October 29, 2014 Share Posted October 29, 2014 and hard to believe what it's showing at 5H, but wth, it's the NAM General vicinity is correct...give or take Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scuddz Posted October 29, 2014 Share Posted October 29, 2014 NAM is wet Sky is blue Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted October 29, 2014 Share Posted October 29, 2014 Sky is blueYes....but why?Lol... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted October 29, 2014 Share Posted October 29, 2014 ? Still a wind, rain, cold, first freeze event. High impact was never locked. Just warming up for winter... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeSuck Posted October 29, 2014 Share Posted October 29, 2014 GFS closed over Ohio/KY at 60 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RickinBaltimore Posted October 29, 2014 Share Posted October 29, 2014 Yes....but why? Lol... Because if it was green, we wouldn't know when to stop mowing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted October 29, 2014 Share Posted October 29, 2014 Euro has a deep Low at 500mb over SC...http://www.instantweathermaps.com/ECMWF-php/showmap-ecmwf.php?run=2014102912®ion=USA&var=HGT_500mb&hour=072 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted October 29, 2014 Share Posted October 29, 2014 As expected, euro holding the dual low evolution. Guidance is fairly uniform now. A shame to waste such a nice closed ull to a strung out and east solution. ETA: euro hanging on to gusts in the upper 30's (low 40's east and also on ridges) on Sunday. With temps in the 40's it should feel like we are getting close to winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted October 29, 2014 Share Posted October 29, 2014 Euro has a deep Low at 500mb over SC...http://www.instantweathermaps.com/ECMWF-php/showmap-ecmwf.php?run=2014102912®ion=USA&var=HGT_500mb&hour=072 but I think it ends up scooting out to sea leaving us with a 12/26/10 scenario Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jonjon Posted October 29, 2014 Share Posted October 29, 2014 I'm ready. http://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-news/pittsburgh-a-taste-of-winter-o/36517891#.VFEwMeZPUM0.facebook Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted October 30, 2014 Share Posted October 30, 2014 GFS and NAM both wet now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted October 30, 2014 Share Posted October 30, 2014 Well looks like the crappy H5 track will verify. The Carolina coast will have a better chance of seeing snow mixing in then here. This would have been a nice setup if either The troff went negative earlier, or if the Central US ridge wasn't super progressive. November 1953 had a much more stationary ridge in the center of the country. That being said the GFS does give some decent snow to the WV higher elevations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted October 30, 2014 Share Posted October 30, 2014 GFS and NAM both wet now Plenty of time....the trend will be ours... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted October 30, 2014 Share Posted October 30, 2014 total qpf off tonight's NAM lol thank God it's not winter, that's all I have to say http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?fhr=081ℑ=data%2Fnam%2F00%2Fnam_namer_081_precip_ptot.gif&model=nam&area=namer¶m=precip_ptot&group=Model+Guidance&preselected_formatted_cycle_date=20141030+00+UTC&imageSize=M&ps=model Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted October 30, 2014 Share Posted October 30, 2014 total qpf off tonight's NAM lol thank God it's not winter, that's all I have to say http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?fhr=081ℑ=data%2Fnam%2F00%2Fnam_namer_081_precip_ptot.gif&model=nam&area=namer¶m=precip_ptot&group=Model+Guidance&preselected_formatted_cycle_date=20141030+00+UTC&imageSize=M&ps=model Laughable! I hope JBerks "Atmospheric memory" is not true or we could be DOOMED! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted October 30, 2014 Share Posted October 30, 2014 Laughable! I hope JBerks "Atmospheric memory" is not true or we could be DOOMED!The atmosphere over our heads will always remember how to screw us. LMAO! Can't wait for winter lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted October 30, 2014 Share Posted October 30, 2014 GFS and NAM both wet now Both dry now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quasievil Posted October 30, 2014 Share Posted October 30, 2014 As mitchnick said earlier - SOOO glad it's not winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted October 30, 2014 Share Posted October 30, 2014 But it's awesome practice for winter. Love getting the Boxing day references dusted off early... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted October 30, 2014 Share Posted October 30, 2014 This is a pretty crappy setup for a good storm here. If it was winter I would have written off or at least had very low expectations several days ago. NS closed ull's can be good hits but diving down over the great lakes is a pretty bad track. Too far east. It's interesting given the track that it can dig south of us. Pretty impressive there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted October 30, 2014 Share Posted October 30, 2014 NAM now even mostly dry for the western areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted October 30, 2014 Share Posted October 30, 2014 Looking ahead to Sunday, wind still an issue? Have my kid's U13 soccer game mid-afternoon in Silver Spring - wondering how much blowing around the ball will be doing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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