Cfa Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 This is reminding me of that August storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 The leaf blizzard was by far the best part. I don't remember seeing anything like that since a similar cold front passage as a kid. Was in the leaf blizzard on the van wyck expy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 The leaf blizzard was by far the best part. I don't remember seeing anything like that since a similar cold front passage as a kid. Yeah, I can't remember the last time that I saw so many leaves blow off the trees at once. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maxwell03 Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 Neither PHI nor OKX have issued any storm reports. What gives? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 Yeah, I can't remember the last time that I saw so many leaves blow off the trees at once. Impressive wind gusts here. Est 40-50 mph gust when it blew through . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 While not a big storm a white Thanksgiving is not out of the question . As the coldest air to date may follow that weekend . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 Which could lead to the coldest air to date Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 Impressive cold coming up for this time of year... not much above freezing tues and wed...into the 40's for thurs and back in the 30's for Friday... normal highs still in low 50's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 So I guess the warm front never really made it up here as we haven't gotten out of the 40s all day. Pretty big bust considering the forecast had a high in the upper 50s today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jjvesnow Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 Which could lead to the coldest air to date Whats the normal conversion from 850's to the surface for temp this time of year? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 Watertown expected to get 18-24"+ and Buffalo 2-3 feet of lake effect snow. Pretttty awesome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chaser25973 Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 Unfortunately for winter weather enthusiasts in the metro - BUT better it happens in November then December - as of right now we are facing a stretch after this weeks arctic blast of normal to above normal temps with limited chances of frozen precip because the pattern is changing. The EPO is going positive the NAO is going positive with a strong Pacific Jet and eventually a zonal flow.MJO is forecasted to work its way through stages 2 -4 which in late November around the metro promotes a mild weather pattern........ Days 1 -6 http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/cfs-avg/2014111618/cfs-avg_T2ma5d_us_1.png Days 6 - 10 http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/cfs-avg/2014111618/cfs-avg_T2ma5d_us_2.png I find this about as unfortunate as someone who loves high tide feels about low tide. Much like how the tide ebbs and flows, the cold weather and pattern reload weather ebbs and flows as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 This will be a good test of the new GFS MOS. The new parallel run gets NYC down to 21 on Wednesday and the old 23. The average of the two would still tie the coldest November reading of 22 for NYC in the 2000's set in 2005. 21 would be good for a second place finish for NYC. 11/19-NYC record low 18 in 1936 21 in 1924 21 in 1880 http://www.mdl.nws.n...a=KNYC&cycle=12 November lows at NYC since 2000: 2000...23 2001...34 2002...24 2003...29 2004...29 2005...22 2006...35 2007...26 2008...23 2009...35 2010...34 2011...36 2012...31 2013...23 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 Watertown expected to get 18-24"+ and Buffalo 2-3 feet of lake effect snow. Pretttty awesome. You can already see the bands lining up on the CLE radar, when it has the whole stretch of Lake Erie on a SW flow such as the next couple days, it can be pretty impressive. FROM A LARGE SCALE PATTERN...THIS HAS ALL THE MAKINGS OF A HISTORIC OR AT LEAST WELL REMEMBERED LAKE EFFECT EVENT...WITH SNOW TOTALS EXCEEDING 3 FEET IN SOME AREAS BY WEDNESDAY. THE 24 HR/36+ INCH EVENT IN 12/1995 FOR KBUF IS HARD TO BEAT...BUT SOME LOCATIONS MAY REACH THIS VALUE TO THE SOUTH. SIMILAR AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO. FOR LAKE ERIE...AS IS TYPICALLY THE CASE...EXPECT A VERY TIGHT NORTHERN GRADIENT WITH SNOW LIKELY REACHING BUFFALO/KBUF...BUT POSSIBLY BARELY GRAZING THE NORTHTOWNS. THIS IS NEARLY IMPOSSIBLE TO NAIL DOWN...AND WILL HAVE TO DEAL WITH THE NORTHTOWNS AS THE EVENT UNFOLDS. MEANWHILE...AREAS EAST OF BUFFALO...THE MAIN INTERCHANGES OF THE THRUWAY TO THE SOUTH...AND THE SOUTHTOWNS SHOULD TAKE A HARD HIT. CONFIDENCE IS HIGH FOR FEET OF SNOW...WITH MAJOR DISRUPTIONS TO TRAFFIC AS SNOW RATES FAR EXCEED THE ABILITY TO KEEP ROADS CLEAR. WILL NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE SEVERAL HOURS OF LOCALIZED 3-5 INCH/HR SNOW RATES LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY WITH THUNDERSNOW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 1.55 inches of rain here in Sheepshead Bay Brooklyn so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 Record rainfall set at all 6 climate sites! NYC: 1.47"/1.42" in 2002, LGA: 1.44"/1.09" in 2002, JFK: 1.30"/0.80" in 1977, EWR: 1.42"/1.31" in 2002, BDR: 1.36"/0.98" in 2010, ISP: 1.44"/0.82" in 2002. Key: today's record/previous record in previous year. per upton facebook Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 Watertown expected to get 18-24"+ and Buffalo 2-3 feet of lake effect snow. Pretttty awesome. Those bands can be intense too. The only time I've seen truly zero vis. was in a lake effect band. Couldn't see the front of the hood of the truck we were in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 What's the departure so far for the month? Should go more negative after the next few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chaser25973 Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 You can already see the bands lining up on the CLE radar, when it has the whole stretch of Lake Erie on a SW flow such as the next couple days, it can be pretty impressive. FROM A LARGE SCALE PATTERN...THIS HAS ALL THE MAKINGS OF A HISTORIC OR AT LEAST WELL REMEMBERED LAKE EFFECT EVENT...WITH SNOW TOTALS EXCEEDING 3 FEET IN SOME AREAS BY WEDNESDAY. THE 24 HR/36+ INCH EVENT IN 12/1995 FOR KBUF IS HARD TO BEAT...BUT SOME LOCATIONS MAY REACH THIS VALUE TO THE SOUTH. SIMILAR AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO. FOR LAKE ERIE...AS IS TYPICALLY THE CASE...EXPECT A VERY TIGHT NORTHERN GRADIENT WITH SNOW LIKELY REACHING BUFFALO/KBUF...BUT POSSIBLY BARELY GRAZING THE NORTHTOWNS. THIS IS NEARLY IMPOSSIBLE TO NAIL DOWN...AND WILL HAVE TO DEAL WITH THE NORTHTOWNS AS THE EVENT UNFOLDS. MEANWHILE...AREAS EAST OF BUFFALO...THE MAIN INTERCHANGES OF THE THRUWAY TO THE SOUTH...AND THE SOUTHTOWNS SHOULD TAKE A HARD HIT. CONFIDENCE IS HIGH FOR FEET OF SNOW...WITH MAJOR DISRUPTIONS TO TRAFFIC AS SNOW RATES FAR EXCEED THE ABILITY TO KEEP ROADS CLEAR. WILL NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE SEVERAL HOURS OF LOCALIZED 3-5 INCH/HR SNOW RATES LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY WITH THUNDERSNOW. 5 inches of snow in one hour. Wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 What's the departure so far for the month? Should go more negative after the next few days. Around +2 after today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 lol parts of northern FL are going to have a freeze before knyc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 Currently 60.8F, looks like it did reach the 60's after all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chaser25973 Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 lol parts of northern FL are going to have a freeze before knyc knyc had a freeze 3 nights ago I thought? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 Around +2 after today. incorrect knyc is -1.6 so far for the month Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 knyc had a freeze 3 nights ago I thought? negative only got down to 33 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 5 inches of snow in one hour. Wow. That can happen in storms here-i.e. 2/8/13 and the storm last Feb 13th but for short periods of time compared to that. Those bands will likely hover over one area for an entire day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 That can happen in storms here-i.e. 2/8/13 and the storm last Feb 13th but for short periods of time compared to that. Those bands will likely hover over one area for an entire day. I would have liked to experience that 6" per hour rate up in CT. http://www.wunderground.com/blog/24hourprof/unprecedented-radar-reflectivities-and-snowfall-rates Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TwcMan Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 lol parts of northern FL are going to have a freeze before knyc Terrible lol. Parts of Dallas received measurable snow I believe yesterday, before knyc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 12/24/13 had 5" per hour rates here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted November 17, 2014 Share Posted November 17, 2014 That can happen in storms here-i.e. 2/8/13 and the storm last Feb 13th but for short periods of time compared to that. Those bands will likely hover over one area for an entire day. Jan. 26-27, 2011 also had 3"-5" an hour rates, as did February 2006. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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