PB GFI Posted November 7, 2014 Share Posted November 7, 2014 Keep in mind in this kind of upcoming pattern EC storms will come on arctic waves. They will come out of N branch and run under the pressing HP. Its just going take one to run from Hatteras to Nantucket . Remember when watching the models over the next few weeks as the vortex presses in Canada storms will appear shunted then as it relaxes the systems will line up and if models see too much relaxing one will cut. The key for me is the water is still warm off the EC and LP has been developing there recently. So I am optimistic that there is snow in this pattern . I like a pressing vortex In E Canada it's the coasts best chance for seeing early snow accumulations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted November 7, 2014 Share Posted November 7, 2014 Then you have unrealistic expectations. Sorry. You can call it whatever you want. No Winter to me is complete without at least one blockbuster event. Spoiled? Perhaps. Could care less. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted November 7, 2014 Share Posted November 7, 2014 Deadliest catch TodaySE wind 45 kt increasing to 70 kt by late morning. Bering side...seas 20 ft building to 28 ft in the afternoon. Pacific side...seas 24 ft building to 35 ft in the afternoon. Rain. TonightSW wind 70 kt. Seas 45 ft. Rain showers. SatSW wind 55 kt. Seas 39 ft bering side...41 ft pacific side. Rain showers. Sat NightW wind 60 kt. Seas 40 ft. I was thinking that yesterday-if the boats are out there now, they're about to take a huge beating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted November 8, 2014 Share Posted November 8, 2014 Peak gust to 97 mph so far at Shemya. http://w1.weather.gov/obhistory/PASY.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted November 8, 2014 Share Posted November 8, 2014 Well hey, we've got C00 and P11 on our side for an early-season snowstorm. http://synoptic.envsci.rutgers.edu/dougsimo/GEFSIndiesUSPrecip18174.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TeleConnectSnow Posted November 8, 2014 Share Posted November 8, 2014 Well hey, we've got C00 and P11 on our side for an early-season snowstorm. http://synoptic.envsci.rutgers.edu/dougsimo/GEFSIndiesUSPrecip18174.gif 27.gif P11 PLEASE lol. that would be a full blown snowstorm. In my weenie dreams. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 8, 2014 Share Posted November 8, 2014 Gfs is north with the midweek event fwiw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TeleConnectSnow Posted November 8, 2014 Share Posted November 8, 2014 Gfs is north with the midweek event fwiw And....... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TeleConnectSnow Posted November 8, 2014 Share Posted November 8, 2014 uhh the 00z GFS-P, I could be wrong, but it looks like its about to spit out a powder keg in a few frames. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 8, 2014 Share Posted November 8, 2014 And....... Skirts the area with light precip. Parallel GFS has the low much closer to the coast but it's warmer. Parallel GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TeleConnectSnow Posted November 8, 2014 Share Posted November 8, 2014 Interesting this looks like its trying to tuck into the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 8, 2014 Share Posted November 8, 2014 BRRRRR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 8, 2014 Share Posted November 8, 2014 0z Parallel GFS bombs out the midweek storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted November 8, 2014 Share Posted November 8, 2014 Did the JMA give birth to the parallel GFS. We got ourselves another weenie delight model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted November 8, 2014 Share Posted November 8, 2014 BRRRRR POLAR VORRTEXXX!!! Hide yo' wives, hide yo' daughter!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hailstorm Posted November 8, 2014 Share Posted November 8, 2014 I find it amazing that the temperature patterns from Sept, Oct and Nov of this year are strikingly very similar to last year's Sept-Nov period. The central theme for both years: Warm Sept and Oct with a 90+ degree reading in Sept with sunny and dry conditions, then a windy, cold and stormy start to November. We had our first sub-50*F high and sub-40*F low at about the same dates. NYC hit freezing on November 13 last year, and we will have our first sub-freezing night near that time frame this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted November 8, 2014 Share Posted November 8, 2014 So it looks like the Nuri ET set the new Bering Sea record for lowest pressure coming in at 924 mb on the latest update. It's really going to pump the EPO ridge to very strong levels. CURRENT RECORD LOWEST PRESSURE OBSERVEDIN THE BERING SEA IS 925 MB MEASURED AT DUTCH HARBOR ON OCTOBER 251977. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted November 8, 2014 Share Posted November 8, 2014 POLAR VORRTEXXX!!! Hide yo' wives, hide yo' daughter!! The hype on TV was just too unbearable to watch. Needless to say i dont plan on watching the news for a while lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted November 8, 2014 Share Posted November 8, 2014 Came eerily close to freezing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted November 8, 2014 Share Posted November 8, 2014 Nuri ET 924mb bomb: http://www.arh.noaa.gov/goes.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted November 8, 2014 Share Posted November 8, 2014 Came eerily close to freezing. Same here... wind stayed up all night here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted November 8, 2014 Share Posted November 8, 2014 You get the sense this fall many things have been lining up to give us that truly memorable winter. Im standing behind what i mean when i say this may be the year we get a true slow moving blizzard like 03' and 96'. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted November 8, 2014 Share Posted November 8, 2014 First freeze here last night! 30 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted November 8, 2014 Share Posted November 8, 2014 Really nice weather coming up with a shot at 70F perhaps on Tuesday. More along the lines of an Indian Summer after this mornings coldest temps thus far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted November 8, 2014 Share Posted November 8, 2014 Just barely managed the lightest of frosts on the roof of my car this morning, and I'm within NYC so that's pretty decent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 9, 2014 Share Posted November 9, 2014 Wow the GFS is cold in the long range. Jeez. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted November 9, 2014 Share Posted November 9, 2014 Wow the GFS is cold in the long range. Jeez. PGFS cold and very dry next 10 days http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfsp/2014110906/gfsp_apcpn_us_40.png Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted November 9, 2014 Share Posted November 9, 2014 PGFS cold and very dry next 10 days http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfsp/2014110906/gfsp_apcpn_us_40.png N D J F M 1976-77 T 5.1 13.0 5.8 0.6 24.5 For those rooting on the 1976 analog cold and dry shows up . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted November 9, 2014 Share Posted November 9, 2014 N D J F M 1976-77 T 5.1 13.0 5.8 0.6 24.5 For those rooting on the 1976 analog cold and dry shows up . I remember watching a couple of events miss us to the south that January 1977 - this pattern we are about to enter the next few weeks is exactly what we want in December through February - the PV this month is NOT going to visit us directly - stays to our north then moves northeast BUT sets up recurring reinforcements of Arctic air with multiple blocking in all directions basically and a split flow -El Nino jet stream pattern Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted November 9, 2014 Share Posted November 9, 2014 I remember watching a couple of events miss us to the south that January 1977 - this pattern we are about to enter the next few weeks is exactly what we want in December through February - the PV this month is NOT going to visit us directly - stays to our north then moves northeast BUT sets up recurring reinforcements of Arctic air with multiple blocking in all directions basically and a split flow -El Nino jet stream pattern I agree. I am usually inclined to want to bring the cold air east then take my chances with storms . Then its just timing as the vortex pulses in or retrograde out it usually opens up a window on the EC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.