IsentropicLift Posted November 14, 2014 Share Posted November 14, 2014 On 11/14/2014 at 9:23 PM, bluewave said: The timing is wrong as the coming cold snap will be relaxing around that time as the big high moves off the coast and we get into the mild return flow. Push that ridging up into Canada and it changes everything. As progged, it's not a great pattern for snow, but that was a day ten ensemble mean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted November 14, 2014 Share Posted November 14, 2014 On 11/14/2014 at 9:23 PM, bluewave said: The timing is wrong as the coming cold snap will be relaxing around that time as the big high moves off the coast and we get into the mild return flow. You are too good of a poster to have to defend urself over a weenie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted November 14, 2014 Share Posted November 14, 2014 Are any of the city locales expected to hit 32F or lower tonight? Just asking since suburbs expected mid to upper 20s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted November 14, 2014 Share Posted November 14, 2014 Euro weeklies are cold up until next week...then warm until dec 14th -Pna Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted November 14, 2014 Share Posted November 14, 2014 On 11/14/2014 at 10:45 PM, Allsnow said: You are too good of a poster to have to defend urself over a weenieStop clogging the threads with garbage like this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted November 14, 2014 Share Posted November 14, 2014 Quote @NWSNewYorkNY: Freeze Warning tonight for NYC, Hudson, and S. Nassau. Temps in the low 30s will kill crops and sensitive vegetation. http://t.co/zPScy10pnN About a week or so early. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chaser25973 Posted November 14, 2014 Share Posted November 14, 2014 On 11/14/2014 at 8:51 PM, TeleConnectSnow said: oh he's one of them...rain is horrible. no matter the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mranger48 Posted November 15, 2014 Share Posted November 15, 2014 Bring on the November rain. Doesn't soil moisture content help establish a conducive pattern and winter storm track east of the Mississippi? I vaguely recall DT pointing this out way back in his forum visiting days Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted November 15, 2014 Share Posted November 15, 2014 Already at 31 at 8 pm. Not bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted November 15, 2014 Share Posted November 15, 2014 29 in springfield. colder than i thought it would be and much colder than NAM 2m temps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rickwx1006 Posted November 15, 2014 Share Posted November 15, 2014 23.7 here in Jackson NJ (northwestern Ocean County, near Six Flags). Much colder than anticipated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted November 15, 2014 Share Posted November 15, 2014 Down to 29, coldest of the season Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted November 15, 2014 Share Posted November 15, 2014 It dropped to 33 here 1-2 hrs ago, but it's 35 now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted November 15, 2014 Share Posted November 15, 2014 On 11/14/2014 at 12:17 PM, Weathergun said: GFS and Euro have 850mb temperatures -12C next Tuesday and Wednesday. Which supports highs in the middle to upper 30s. We could have an early post-midnight high early Tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 15, 2014 Share Posted November 15, 2014 38 right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted November 15, 2014 Share Posted November 15, 2014 On 11/15/2014 at 3:46 AM, tmagan said: We could have an early post-midnight high early Tuesday. Which always annoys me because it can sometimes completely give a false account of how a day was as well as changing temp departures. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 15, 2014 Share Posted November 15, 2014 0z GFS has a nice little snow event for next weekend. Looks like a possible overrunning event. A lot of cold air around for the precip. Para doesn't look bad for next weekend http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfsp/2014111500/gfsp_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_28.png http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfsp/2014111500/gfsp_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_29.png Rain and snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted November 15, 2014 Share Posted November 15, 2014 On 11/14/2014 at 8:35 PM, TeleConnectSnow said: who cares...its rain. Yea its rain, but it could be a storm that resets the cold pattern and leads to a tanking NAO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted November 15, 2014 Share Posted November 15, 2014 On 11/14/2014 at 10:56 PM, Allsnow said: Euro weeklies are cold up until next week...then warm until dec 14th -Pna 2nd half of Dec looks really cold though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TeleConnectSnow Posted November 15, 2014 Share Posted November 15, 2014 GFS continues to show a superbomb right over us, rain obviously though. Around the 24-26th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 15, 2014 Share Posted November 15, 2014 On 11/15/2014 at 5:02 AM, TeleConnectSnow said: GFS continues to show a superbomb right over us, rain obviously though. Around the 24-26th Worry about the possibility of a snow event next weekend. Looks like there will be enough cold air. . Also, the warmup was muted on this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TeleConnectSnow Posted November 15, 2014 Share Posted November 15, 2014 On 11/15/2014 at 5:09 AM, Snow88 said: Worry about the possibility of a snow event next weekend. Looks like there will be enough cold air. . Also, the warmup was muted on this run. Enough cold air to start before the layers warm and we turn to rain on a few of the models which show this GGEM etc. Will be interesting anyways. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 15, 2014 Share Posted November 15, 2014 On 11/15/2014 at 5:11 AM, TeleConnectSnow said: Enough cold air to start before the layers warm and we turn to rain on a few of the models which show this GGEM etc. Will be interesting anyways. Nice look on the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TeleConnectSnow Posted November 15, 2014 Share Posted November 15, 2014 On 11/15/2014 at 5:24 AM, Snow88 said: Nice look on the GFS Just not a lot of precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 15, 2014 Share Posted November 15, 2014 On 11/15/2014 at 5:30 AM, TeleConnectSnow said: Just not a lot of precip. It's at 180 hours. Regardless of the amount of precip, it's a nice look if we want wintry precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TeleConnectSnow Posted November 15, 2014 Share Posted November 15, 2014 On 11/15/2014 at 5:33 AM, Snow88 said: It's at 180 hours. Regardless of the amount of precip, it's a nice look if we want wintry precip. true Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 15, 2014 Share Posted November 15, 2014 On 11/15/2014 at 5:35 AM, TeleConnectSnow said: true Anything can change this far out. I like how the GFS muted the warmup in the long range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TonyLovesSnow Posted November 15, 2014 Share Posted November 15, 2014 On 11/15/2014 at 5:36 AM, Snow88 said: Anything can change this far out. I like how the GFS muted the warmup in the long range. it makes sense considering climate change will make this winter especially interesting because you will have cold from now until late february Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted November 15, 2014 Share Posted November 15, 2014 On 11/15/2014 at 6:28 AM, TonyLovesSnow said: it makes sense considering climate change will make this winter especially interesting because you will have cold from now until late february. Think about it there's more snow cover now than when this warm up was forecasted. Now the models are considering that and also the fact that days are relatively very short now. Uv index is in the 2-6 range. Pretty much a great signal that we will have a very long and snowy winter. That's my opinion. Now this could change but my prediction is a relaxation will occur but not to an extent the euro has been advertising. Remember guys models are only outlooks not forecasts or guidance other people like to call them. I still think we need to use common sense and look at all the signals which are great and I think negative NAO will occur once the relaxation ends which should be right after Thanksgiving. I expect a big miller A winter storm for the northeast a few days after Thanksgiving and blocking may be involved by than. Noreaster lol.. is this for real? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TonyLovesSnow Posted November 15, 2014 Share Posted November 15, 2014 On 11/15/2014 at 7:03 AM, snywx said: lol.. is this for real?never been more serious Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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