Dan Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 I still have a fully leafed 40' maple tree. Leaves are just starting to turn now. This tree always drops late. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 Down here in NJ we're 85-90% leafed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 28, 2014 Author Share Posted October 28, 2014 I'm losing a good amount of oak leaves and so are you. I still have leaves, but they are coming down.dude the OAks are still loaded with leaves. Sure they coming down but still a ton up there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 Nearly fully foliated trees down this way, though '11 only produced a few sloppy inches and wasnt an issue with respect to trees and power at least not right along the immediate shore. If this comes to fruition I imagine another big gradient right along the coast. Are you near peak? I would say we are very close here. The mild fall has continued the grass growth here and roses are still producing flowers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 dude the OAks are still loaded with leaves. Sure they coming down but still a ton up there Agreed. The ones behind my house are still mainly green too. It always takes until the latter part of November for them to drop here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 Foliage thread................... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 I think brake pumping should be in full effect until Thursday night at least. With such a fickle setup, a lot can go wrong. Not saying it can't happen, but more things need to come together than not Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 I think brake pumping should be in full effect until Thursday night at least. With such a fickle setup, a lot can go wrong. Not saying it can't happen, but more things need to come together than not Trends are good however, and most models have something at this point, about all we can want at this time of year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 A strong ULL has been there for days, How it effects the region is what is in play now and to what extent and type of precip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 Are you near peak? I would say we are very close here. The mild fall has continued the grass growth here and roses are still producing flowers I would say past. We still have plenty of green trees, but we also have some beginning to lose their leaves, so I think we've seen our best foliage at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 First threat of the season...so the hyping will be a bit more out of control than usual. LEts keep in mind how easy this is for it to give us nothing but a few wet flakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 A strong ULL has been there for days, How it effects the region is what is in play now and to what extent and type of precipI would love to be in your shoes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 First threat of the season...so the hyping will be a bit more out of control than usual. LEts keep in mind how easy this is for it to give us nothing but a few wet flakes. Yeah the spread in options is from high impact to no impact. Haven't checked the DGEX or NAVGEM yet so not sure what to lock in at this point lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 I would love to be in your shoes. Before its all said and done i may want to be in yours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 Screw the brakes, full speed ahead. Good trends on euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 The Euro has definitely come in with a much more phased solution and a robust low in the overnight run with jackpot snows in NH and ME. Farther west here in the BTV area, synoptic snows would be light at best and any tick farther east would leave us smoking cirrus. The GFS appears to be a little less developed and farther east before the system really gets it act together. Either way I have no doubt there is something to watch for at least the eastern half of New England. Up here as far as mesoscale features and upslope potential that remains to be seen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 28, 2014 Author Share Posted October 28, 2014 I'm losing a good amount of oak leaves and so are you. I still have leaves, but they are coming down. Just taken. Most other species bare..Oaks still full disaster.Loaded like you after 2 beers. Do you remember what the Euro Ens did 4 days prior to Oct 2011? Obviously this is different, but I can't recall if they had that Storm 4-5 days out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 If we did get snow, leaves still on trees would not be a huge problem here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 Just taken. Most other species bare..Oaks still full disaster.Loaded like you after 2 beers. Do you remember what the Euro Ens did 4 days prior to Oct 2011? Obviously this is different, but I can't recall if they had that Storm 4-5 days out? Euro first showed 2011 around 126 hours out I recall...and never lost it after that. The other models all basically came on board by 72-84 hours...it was a suprisingly well forecast storm in the medium range by model guidance...but it was tough to actually pull the trigger on it until we were more like 48 hours out since you need everything perfect this time of year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 There shouldn't be honking so far out. Pump the brakes. It's very easy for folks to see a 33 F rainstorm on the coastal plain this time of year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 It's very easy for folks to see a 33 F rainstorm on the coastal plain this time of year. Sure is, I would favor foothills and mtns for this if it holds to something like the euro with some snow possibly down this way in the overnight time frame Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 It's very easy for folks to see a 33 F rainstorm on the coastal plain this time of year. I'm expecting it.but more like 36 and rain. with a stray flake at the end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 But the oak leaves are turning brown and getting brittle with less on the trees by the day. I have a lot of leaves too, but 2011 actually had a nice green canopy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 It's very easy for folks to see a 33 F rainstorm on the coastal plain this time of year. And easy for folks to see some flakes with 35kt winds inland. There is a lot to work out. Hopefully 12z continues the trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 It's very easy for folks to see a 33 F rainstorm on the coastal plain this time of year. See last nights ECM at hour 138. Granted 2-m temps are right up there with QPF for modeling skills. Huge area of 33-35F temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 See last nights ECM at hour 138. Granted 2-m temps are right up there with QPF for modeling skills. That probably would be pasty right to the coast if we had NNW winds like that and deformation banding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 28, 2014 Author Share Posted October 28, 2014 And easy for folks to see some flakes with 35kt winds inland. There is a lot to work out. Hopefully 12z continues the trend.Lol.. Had to make sure you got that in there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 That probably would be pasty right to the coast if we had NNW winds like that and deformation banding. Yeah I was just using 2-m temps as OceanSt mentioned 33F rain. You're right this set up seems like anyone under like 36-37F would be wet snow or catpaws. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 Yeah I was just using 2-m temps as OceanSt mentioned 33F rain. You're right this set up seems like anyone under like 36-37F would be wet snow or catpaws. 925mb temps will be more useful in this setup since 850 temps are definitely below zero during the meaningful precip on a Euro-esque solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 925mb temps will be more useful in this setup since 850 temps are definitely below zero during the meaningful precip on a Euro-esque solution. Seems like it would be easier to get a 33F paste than a 33F rain. Even with a steep lapse rate in the lowest 1kft you'd still get flakes probably making it down to the SFC in anything close to moderate/heavy precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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