MainePhotog Posted November 1, 2014 Share Posted November 1, 2014 Latest from GYX: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted November 1, 2014 Share Posted November 1, 2014 Mid levels are everything. Didn't think surface tracks were much different from 6z. But 5h is way better. It's location in GOM is way better for eastern mass. 7h is better too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted November 1, 2014 Share Posted November 1, 2014 37F windy rain for Maine's deer season opener on Saturday? One more time when I wish I'd been wrong. At least this morning's 37 and -RA had a few sleety things as I came in from the woods. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 1, 2014 Share Posted November 1, 2014 s/w ull over sc is already rounding the bottom of the trof which is a good sign. 12z gfs snow maps (TAKE WITH GRAIN OF SALT) say 2-3" interior ne ma and orh hills with first storm. Hard to see on wxbell but 6+ at BOS if these snow maps are correct with second wave? LOL. SV maps are no where near 6+ but they indicate about 2 though by gfs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 1, 2014 Share Posted November 1, 2014 I'm not doing anything unless the euro goes west. I've seen this before too.Well be careful and be sure to give credence to ground truth as things unfold. Euro can often sh it the bed with qpf placement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted November 1, 2014 Share Posted November 1, 2014 Well be careful and be sure to give credence to ground truth as things unfold. Euro can often sh it the bed with qpf placement.At the very least, our chances of seeing our first flakes either later tonight or early tomorrow with whatever round two throws back this way have increased. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 1, 2014 Share Posted November 1, 2014 Well be careful and be sure to give credence to ground truth as things unfold. Euro can often sh it the bed with qpf placement. Well what I mean is that the GFS sometimes has these last minute tick east in the final 24 hrs. So it's a matter of miles and that is important. I'm not looking at QPF per se, but more at mid level features. I won't have to worry about it until later anyways. Of course the subtle trend the last 24 hrs is formidable. So nothing can be tossed right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted November 1, 2014 Share Posted November 1, 2014 The Watch is for 1-3"? You know it's for the potential but interesting wording. Point and click and zones look odd too with only a 30% chance of snow and no accums. Talk about uncertainty. I have so many problems with what I was handed. If we think impacts are going to be significant from wet snow, then put that in the forecast. We had zero snow in the forecast for all of Cumberland County, yet a winter storm watch. I'd honestly rather jump from nothing to warning/advisory than have a watch out with no accumulations or 30% PoP. The update you see now is basically without looking at anything, but just getting the forecast closer to the headlines. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted November 1, 2014 Share Posted November 1, 2014 Man that's really interesting. What a nowcast deal. That 12-18z period of the GFS really pounds. Around RKD you could see mangled flakes flip to 1"/hr in a flash. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted November 1, 2014 Share Posted November 1, 2014 I have so many problems with what I was handed. If we think impacts are going to be significant from wet snow, then put that in the forecast. We had zero snow in the forecast for all of Cumberland County, yet a winter storm watch. I'd honestly rather jump from nothing to warning/advisory than have a watch out with no accumulations or 30% PoP. The update you see now is basically without looking at anything, but just getting the forecast closer to the headlines. Awesome. Nice work...it was confusing as hell before lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 1, 2014 Share Posted November 1, 2014 Tailgating. Can't dee. Anything flakes gor GC? Rhx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 1, 2014 Share Posted November 1, 2014 I'm not doing anything unless the euro goes west. I've seen this before too.I have a sneaky suspicion it will but only a little Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 1, 2014 Share Posted November 1, 2014 Tailgating. Can't dee. Anything flakes gor GC? Rhx Maybe later. You need more coffee I think Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 1, 2014 Share Posted November 1, 2014 until the Euro shots call me skeptical Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 1, 2014 Share Posted November 1, 2014 Later when? Rd 2 still whifging me? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 1, 2014 Share Posted November 1, 2014 Sorry for the mby questions. Congrats to the winners. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 1, 2014 Share Posted November 1, 2014 Later when? Rd 2 still whifging me?Prob after 5-6 or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 1, 2014 Share Posted November 1, 2014 Tailgating. Can't dee. Anything flakes gor GC? Rhx wow good party Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 1, 2014 Share Posted November 1, 2014 Maybe later. You need more coffee I think I'm having coffee as we speak and I can't dee either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 1, 2014 Author Share Posted November 1, 2014 Awesome wx for soccer. Pounding big drop rain and 43 in Glastonbury Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 1, 2014 Share Posted November 1, 2014 Awesome wx for soccer. Pounding big drop rain and 43 in Glastonbury Lol...easier for the players than the spectators freezing in place... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 1, 2014 Share Posted November 1, 2014 Canadian regional doesn't agree with the GFS as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 1, 2014 Author Share Posted November 1, 2014 Lol...easier for the players than the spectators freezing in place...Outties have turned in. Hoping for flakes later. Please deliver Jerry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 1, 2014 Share Posted November 1, 2014 Canadian regional doesn't agree with the GFS as well. When the gfs is on its own we toss. Let's see what cmc and euro have to say. This system has been tough on the models! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 1, 2014 Share Posted November 1, 2014 Outties have turned in. Hoping for flakes later. Please deliver JerryIt was raw but dry at ours earlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxjim207 Posted November 1, 2014 Share Posted November 1, 2014 I have so many problems with what I was handed. If we think impacts are going to be significant from wet snow, then put that in the forecast. We had zero snow in the forecast for all of Cumberland County, yet a winter storm watch. I'd honestly rather jump from nothing to warning/advisory than have a watch out with no accumulations or 30% PoP. The update you see now is basically without looking at anything, but just getting the forecast closer to the headlines. That's what I was curious about earlier on the post. I understood the threat you all over there are seeing but wondering why the grids didn't have any update to them to match the headlines. I am here near BXM and if things set up nice I look to be right on the edge of the serious band action. However like a lot of us have been saying. Boy this is very complex and models can't handle all of that and we are on the border line of short term to near term. This has to be for sure one of the most complex systems to develop and come close or hit Maine. I got skunked in the woods hunting so I am back just looking at the weather. HAHA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 1, 2014 Share Posted November 1, 2014 Outties have turned in. Hoping for flakes later. Please deliver Jerry I'm working with the helpers.....all like you and know the calendar date. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 1, 2014 Share Posted November 1, 2014 Snow in Franconia Notch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 1, 2014 Share Posted November 1, 2014 That's what I was curious about earlier on the post. I understood the threat you all over there are seeing but wondering why the grids didn't have any update to them to match the headlines. I am here near BXM and if things set up nice I look to be right on the edge of the serious band action. However like a lot of us have been saying. Boy this is very complex and models can't handle all of that and we are on the border line of short term to near term. This has to be for sure one of the most complex systems to develop and come close or hit Maine. I got skunked in the woods hunting so I am back just looking at the weather. HAHA I passed a field with about 25-30 herded up this AM (on private land) I think they know boundary lines. Tracking should be easier Sun afternoon with new snowcover although they will probably be bedded up. I am rooting for the GFS to score a coup for once for you Maniacs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 1, 2014 Share Posted November 1, 2014 Snow in Franconia Notch snowing at the top of SR too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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