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Oct 31- Nov 2nd Storm Disco


Damage In Tolland

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I guess the NAM wasn't so Nuts afterall...it has some support from the GFS now. This is the NAM's wheelhouse...inside of 24 hours; if one is ever going to give it some consideration, it's within a 24 hr. window.

 

NAM never really has a wheel house. It completely shat itself 6 hrs into an event last winter. It can be used as guidance though if it makes sense.  We'll see if the euro makes a move..until then just have to sit tight.

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I guess the NAM wasn't so Nuts afterall...it has some support from the GFS now. This is the NAM's wheelhouse...inside of 24 hours; if one is ever going to give it some consideration, it's within a 24 hr. window.

It scores a coup or its an epic bust of major proportions,Euro should decide the fate
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Hopefully this hasn't been Debbied so bad it's mishandled

 

I don't think it's being mishandled. I know I mentioned not writing it off since the s/w was so intense (easier for me to say being east). However, it would not be the first time to have the NCEP models get too excited about a closer pass. I just would like to see the euro. The GFS has intense lift in the 700-500 layer over ern areas. Despite the QPF not showing, my experience tells me that if it were to happen..it wouldn't be so dry.

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WOW

As like many have said I hope this is a precursor to this upcoming Winter.

In past years (maybe a month or so from now) if a clipper with much potential it might have garnered more interest.

Hoping the "trend continues" I forewarned my FB peeps Wed with quick hitting winter blast with possible flurries. Umm might have to rethink and escalate the warn to hyped incoming possible first accumulations...

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NAM never really has a wheel house. It completely shat itself 6 hrs into an event last winter. It can be used as guidance though if it makes sense. We'll see if the euro makes a move..until then just have to sit tight.

Nam we joke about because basically it is one,But what a major bust it would be for the GFS inside 24 hrs if its wrong

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I don't think it's being mishandled. I know I mentioned not writing it off since the s/w was so intense (easier for me to say being east). However, it would not be the first time to have the NCEP models get too excited about a closer pass. I just would like to see the euro. The GFS has intense lift in the 700-500 layer over ern areas. Despite the QPF not showing, my experience tells me that if it were to happen..it wouldn't be so dry.

parallel is a tad east but wet
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