Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,586
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    LopezElliana
    Newest Member
    LopezElliana
    Joined

Oct 31- Nov 2nd Storm Disco


Damage In Tolland

Recommended Posts

  • Replies 2k
  • Created
  • Last Reply

LOL, maybe it's on to something??  Lots of juice to work with..Huge Trough with lots of Shortwaves phasing and all.  This thing should be a bomb with the set up that's coming with it.  This two low thing is what's screwing it all up. Everybody will friek if the GFS goes the same route right...

1/50, Looked close to my avatar

Link to comment
Share on other sites

LOL, maybe it's on to something?? Lots of juice to work with..Huge Trough with lots of Shortwaves phasing and all. This thing should be a bomb with the set up that's coming with it. This two low thing is what's screwing it all up. Everybody will friek if the GFS goes the same route right...

I'm guessing no, NAM hitting the pipe, run out of Jefffafas basement tonight
Link to comment
Share on other sites

The NAM is similar to the 18z GFS yesterday.  Small embedded s/w and vorticity orbiting around the parent ULL steers a mid-level southeasterly flow into SNE and precip blossoms.  This might be a nowcast situation because the fine-scale details could make or break this and we might not know how far west precip makes it until tomorrow afternoon or evening.  I think this lends a little credibility to the higher impact scenario but I would still side with the Euro/GFS for now.  This keeps snow a possibility in the hilltowns of WMA and SVT, which is fun.  Any pronounced banding could conceivably produce snow just about anywhere late tomorrow night.  Low heights and mid-level deformation could spell surprises.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

The NAM is similar to the 18z GFS yesterday.  Small embedded s/w and vorticity orbiting around the parent ULL steers a mid-level southeasterly flow into SNE and precip blossoms.  This might be a nowcast situation because the fine-scale details could make or break this and we might not know how far west precip makes it until tomorrow afternoon or evening.  I think this lends a little credibility to the higher impact scenario but I would still side with the Euro/GFS for now.  This keeps snow a possibility in the hilltowns of WMA and SVT, which is fun.  Any pronounced banding could conceivably produce snow just about anywhere late tomorrow night.  Low heights and mid-level deformation could spell surprises.

 

With this one, I would tend to agree, A lot of vorticity

Link to comment
Share on other sites

The NAM is similar to the 18z GFS yesterday.  Small embedded s/w and vorticity orbiting around the parent ULL steers a mid-level southeasterly flow into SNE and precip blossoms.  This might be a nowcast situation because the fine-scale details could make or break this and we might not know how far west precip makes it until tomorrow afternoon or evening.  I think this lends a little credibility to the higher impact scenario but I would still side with the Euro/GFS for now.  This keeps snow a possibility in the hilltowns of WMA and SVT, which is fun.  Any pronounced banding could conceivably produce snow just about anywhere late tomorrow night.  Low heights and mid-level deformation could spell surprises.

I Agree. Some of these shortwaves werent sampled well until just late this afternoon.  Perhaps this new data is the result? Or Not??  GFS will be interesting in an hour or so.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

With this one, I would tend to agree, A lot of vorticity

Thus a lot of Potential.  This is a very Anomalous set up.  If the energy could consolidate...we would have a bomb on our hands.  Wasn't the NAM brought into existance just for set ups like this...so that the sudden explosion of Precip/convection might be detected a day or so/24hrs or less, from a possible event??  So that we are not to be taken completely by surprise by a last minute shift in the make-up of a system.  Or am I just off my rocker?? lol.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

The NAM is similar to the 18z GFS yesterday.  Small embedded s/w and vorticity orbiting around the parent ULL steers a mid-level southeasterly flow into SNE and precip blossoms.  This might be a nowcast situation because the fine-scale details could make or break this and we might not know how far west precip makes it until tomorrow afternoon or evening.  I think this lends a little credibility to the higher impact scenario but I would still side with the Euro/GFS for now.  This keeps snow a possibility in the hilltowns of WMA and SVT, which is fun.  Any pronounced banding could conceivably produce snow just about anywhere late tomorrow night.  Low heights and mid-level deformation could spell surprises.

Steve and I and others discussed the now cast aspect yesterday. Yes

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.

×
×
  • Create New...