Cold Miser Posted November 1, 2014 Share Posted November 1, 2014 And now it's raining. Ruining Helloween lol. Rain started right at dusk and is slowing down now. Great timing for the kids. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 1, 2014 Author Share Posted November 1, 2014 lol. Rain started right at dusk and is slowing down now. Great timing for the kids. Yup raining pretty hard here under this shower..It started right as they went out. Parents muttering WTF to selves as the forecasts had cloudy until they changed it at 5:00 lol I'll let Belichek know Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted November 1, 2014 Share Posted November 1, 2014 Yup raining pretty hard here under this shower..It started right as they went out. Parents muttering WTF to selves as the forecasts had cloudy until they changed it at 5:00 lol I'll let Belichek know Was it a zero percent chance though? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 1, 2014 Author Share Posted November 1, 2014 How is the #1 analog for this Nov 11..1987? LOL..that dropped a couple inches of snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 1, 2014 Share Posted November 1, 2014 We are the grinch of the neighborhood. This hood looked better than spooky world....like it was an amusement park. I've never seen people go all out on their house. People hiding in shrubs and boats scaring the sh * t out of kids. Cars driving slow around with dead bodies inside blasting Jason music. And we had no decorations here lol. I'll have to change that next year. Bryce wasn't too into it, but had a good time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 1, 2014 Share Posted November 1, 2014 How is the #1 analog for this Nov 11..1987? LOL..that dropped a couple inches of snow That buried SE MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 1, 2014 Author Share Posted November 1, 2014 That buried SE MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted November 1, 2014 Share Posted November 1, 2014 That buried SE MA. Just saw that was the #1 analog. That was at least a foot here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 1, 2014 Share Posted November 1, 2014 So is that true? Number 1? I can't look at the moment. Analogs don't always equate to the same outcomes obviously. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 1, 2014 Share Posted November 1, 2014 Just saw that was the #1 analog. That was at least a foot here We had a snow day. Was originally 3-6" called for. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 1, 2014 Share Posted November 1, 2014 So is that true? Number 1? I can't look at the moment. Analogs don't always equate to the same outcomes obviously.what a difference two weeks would have made Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 1, 2014 Share Posted November 1, 2014 what a difference two weeks would have made There has been a lot of model swings lately . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted November 1, 2014 Share Posted November 1, 2014 Yup raining pretty hard here under this shower..It started right as they went out. Parents muttering WTF to selves as the forecasts had cloudy until they changed it at 5:00 lol I'll let Belichek know Yup all I heard was other parents saying how "they said it wasn't going to rain."I lol'd to myself, then realized I was soaking wet and cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 1, 2014 Share Posted November 1, 2014 So is that true? Number 1? I can't look at the moment. Analogs don't always equate to the same outcomes obviously. Earlier today the best analog on that site was a huge NW flow upslope event, and CIPS had 60%< probability of 6+ inches just east of BTV lol. Talk about jumping around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 1, 2014 Share Posted November 1, 2014 Earlier today the best analog on that site was a huge NW flow upslope event, and CIPS had 60%< probability of 6+ inches just east of BTV lol. Talk about jumping around. Yeah they honestly don't hold much value except maybe to give you a possible idea. Kind of fun to weenie out and look at, but not much more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted November 1, 2014 Share Posted November 1, 2014 You gotta stop basing snow off those terrible algorithm maps. Yeah Long Island will get snow.So base it off of 850s above zero when there is actual precip falling? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 1, 2014 Share Posted November 1, 2014 You gotta stop basing snow off those terrible algorithm maps. Yeah Long Island will get snow.I'm not defending the snow maps but you do realize how these storms with west-east pre-type gradients work right? Western Long Island and NYC will get colder first before eastern southern New England. If you look at the GFS from 18z, that area of Long Island has say 0.05" of precip in an all snow column from the developing second low, while your area is dry once the snow column moves in. Again not defending the snow maps or that solution, but verbatim Ginxy is right in that's what it shows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 1, 2014 Share Posted November 1, 2014 I'm not defending the snow maps but you do realize how these storms with west-east pre-type gradients work right? Western Long Island and NYC will get colder first before eastern southern New England. If you look at the GFS from 18z, that area of Long Island has say 0.05" of precip in an all snow column from the developing second low, while your area is dry once the snow column moves in. Again not defending the snow maps or that solution, but verbatim Ginxy is right in that's what it shows. I wouldn't have posted it if I didn't check first. Congrats Ray Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 1, 2014 Share Posted November 1, 2014 Srefs lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 1, 2014 Share Posted November 1, 2014 Srefs lol Did they crush? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 1, 2014 Share Posted November 1, 2014 Did they crush? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 1, 2014 Share Posted November 1, 2014 We need to start banning all snow map progs. They do us no good if we don't know how they're calculated. At least Earl Barker gives the Kuchera equation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 1, 2014 Share Posted November 1, 2014 We need to start banning all snow map progs. They do us no good if we don't know how they're calculated. At least Earl Barker gives the Kuchera equationtalk to the Govt, algorithm uses max saturated 0 to 300 mb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 1, 2014 Share Posted November 1, 2014 lol, The 0z Nam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 1, 2014 Share Posted November 1, 2014 talk to the Govt Yeah write them a letter, And send it via message with you're congressman or woman Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 1, 2014 Share Posted November 1, 2014 lol, The 0z Namoh my Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 1, 2014 Share Posted November 1, 2014 Looks like ass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 1, 2014 Share Posted November 1, 2014 Looks like ass. Because it is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 1, 2014 Share Posted November 1, 2014 Because it is Truth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 1, 2014 Share Posted November 1, 2014 Looks like ass. What a wackadoo solution for 24hrs out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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