dryslot Posted October 31, 2014 Share Posted October 31, 2014 Going to be real close for a lot of our area. Some 850 and 925 mb temps tickling 0 C. Its real close, That shift helped verbatim, You making the call today?, I see Eckster did some of the LT yesterday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nittany88 Posted October 31, 2014 Share Posted October 31, 2014 How'd the CRAS do during the sat outage? lol Lol! Although can't be too much worse than when it HAS data. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted October 31, 2014 Share Posted October 31, 2014 Good solid 0.50-0.75" QPF for Jackman, well below freezing soundings there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 31, 2014 Share Posted October 31, 2014 This should be hammer time in SNE with that track but the first low messes it all up. Weather is a cruel hobby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted October 31, 2014 Share Posted October 31, 2014 Its real close, That shift helped verbatim, You making the call today?, I see Eckster did some of the LT yesterday I had to tap out yesterday while out of the office on a site visit, but Ekster filled in admirably I'm sure. I have the short term today, picking up an extra period through 00z Monday. So yes, I'll be making some calls it looks like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 31, 2014 Share Posted October 31, 2014 Good solid 0.50-0.75" QPF for Jackman, well below freezing soundings there. Hunting in Livermore tomorrow and monday, Should still have snow left for tracking purposes monday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 31, 2014 Share Posted October 31, 2014 Good solid 0.50-0.75" QPF for Jackman, well below freezing soundings there. Long duration event too...looks like the mountains get one 6-hr period of 0.25" and then a bunch of 0.1-0.2" panels. Snow for days lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 31, 2014 Share Posted October 31, 2014 Long duration event too...looks like the mountains get one 6-hr period of 0.25" and then a bunch of 0.1-0.2" panels. Snow for days lol. I also like the fact for me here the winds are more NNW once the second low gets cranking then WNW as i would down slope from the latter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted October 31, 2014 Share Posted October 31, 2014 One thing that is pretty evident if the GFS goes to town with frontogenesis late Sat/early Sun. It already has some pretty high QPF for that time period, but I wouldn't be surprised if it tosses a bit more back into the cold air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 31, 2014 Share Posted October 31, 2014 One thing that is pretty evident if the GFS goes to town with frontogenesis late Sat/early Sun. It already has some pretty high QPF for that time period, but I wouldn't be surprised if it tosses a bit more back into the cold air. Close to flakes here. Back edge of CCB is close by. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Christopher Posted October 31, 2014 Share Posted October 31, 2014 That Ebola girl in Ft Kent Maine is gonna be trapped. Will police follow her if snowmobiling? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted October 31, 2014 Share Posted October 31, 2014 Close to flakes here. Back edge of CCB is close by. I'm intrigued. But the two waves are really screwing it up. The GFS really starts going to town as winds are turning to NNW. It's hard for us to hang onto really good deformation when the wind is starting to downslope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 31, 2014 Author Share Posted October 31, 2014 RGEM is interesting for interior SE NY and SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 31, 2014 Share Posted October 31, 2014 I'm intrigued. But the two waves are really screwing it up. The GFS really starts going to town as winds are turning to NNW. It's hard for us to hang onto really good deformation when the wind is starting to downslope. But at least the mid level forcing isn't prone to downsloping so it's just the low level drying you have to deal with. Unlike a place like Albany dealing with a low to mid level TROWAL off the Atlantic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 31, 2014 Share Posted October 31, 2014 RGEM is interesting for interior SE NY and SNE No it isn't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 31, 2014 Author Share Posted October 31, 2014 No it isn't.the panel I saw certainly was Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted October 31, 2014 Share Posted October 31, 2014 No it isn't. LMAO!! I guess he was just hoping it looked interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted October 31, 2014 Share Posted October 31, 2014 No it isn't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 31, 2014 Share Posted October 31, 2014 lol, Some are reaching Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 31, 2014 Share Posted October 31, 2014 lol, Some are reaching Some are drunk already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted October 31, 2014 Share Posted October 31, 2014 lol, Some are reaching Well I'm guessing that's what Kevin was looking at. FWIW the 12z GGEM isn't that far off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 31, 2014 Share Posted October 31, 2014 Some are drunk already. or............ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 31, 2014 Share Posted October 31, 2014 or............pfftff.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted October 31, 2014 Share Posted October 31, 2014 Hunting in Livermore tomorrow and monday, Should still have snow left for tracking purposes monday Unless Sunday remains cloudy, that Monday morning cover might be crunch city, especially with temps 20F or cooler. I'll be on my woodlot tomorrow. (Actually saw a deer yesterday evening - back half only as it headed off the road near the house - first I've seen within 5 miles of home since last winter.) Monday I'll be finishing preps for our Tuesday-Friday annual green certification audit. It's downeast this year; hope we don't need snowshoes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 31, 2014 Share Posted October 31, 2014 Unless Sunday remains cloudy, that Monday morning cover might be crunch city, especially with temps 20F or cooler. I'll be on my woodlot tomorrow. (Actually saw a deer yesterday evening - back half only as it headed off the road near the house - first I've seen within 5 miles of home since last winter.) Monday I'll be finishing preps for our Tuesday-Friday annual green certification audit. It's downeast this year; hope we don't need snowshoes. That is fine, I will be in at dark, And will here them coming from a ways off Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted October 31, 2014 Share Posted October 31, 2014 or............ pfftff.gif More please. Can't expect too many changes this late. I'm expecting cold rain and Euro will confirm. But its good to have systems now, me thinks it bodes well down the ro-ads. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 31, 2014 Share Posted October 31, 2014 More please. Can't expect too many changes this late. I'm expecting cold rain and Euro will confirm. But its good to have systems now, me thinks it bodes well down the ro-ads. Laying some pipe for the winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted October 31, 2014 Share Posted October 31, 2014 You have to love the consistency of the garbage models, this is an all out blizzard from NYC West this run. It's really the only model I've seen that consistenly consolidates the energy with the 500mb low. Wouldn't that be something if it scored a win? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 31, 2014 Share Posted October 31, 2014 The GFS even has a borderline MAUL at 700mb on the Maine coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted October 31, 2014 Share Posted October 31, 2014 You have to love the consistency of the garbage models, this is an all out blizzard from NYC West this run. It's really the only model I've seen that consistenly consolidates the energy with the 500mb low. Wouldn't that be something if it scored a win? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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