dryslot Posted October 29, 2014 Share Posted October 29, 2014 Looks like ya'll have to wait for your snow. Enjoy fall for what it is. I am cool with that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted October 29, 2014 Share Posted October 29, 2014 Sorry Kevin. I still hope you get birthday snow and failing that sex at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 29, 2014 Share Posted October 29, 2014 It gets tugged back way NW some to late and scrapes some of DE and Northern Maine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted October 29, 2014 Share Posted October 29, 2014 Dr no advises to put my pants back on. Says there will be plenty chances to take em off again starting in 30 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 29, 2014 Share Posted October 29, 2014 Not saying it's an analog but this is starting to remind me of the big bomb last march that trended e and wound up missing most Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 29, 2014 Share Posted October 29, 2014 Annnnnd it's gone. What a fish storm though lol, gnarly bastad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 29, 2014 Share Posted October 29, 2014 Good thing Kevin told Ryan to put snow on the 5 day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted October 29, 2014 Share Posted October 29, 2014 Not saying it's an analog but this is starting to remind me of the big bomb last march that trended e and wound up missing most Wasn't that east the entire time, and weenies (myself included) were just grasping at straws that it "could come back west"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
It's Always Sunny Posted October 29, 2014 Share Posted October 29, 2014 Dr no advises to put my pants back on. Says there will be plenty chances to take em off again starting in 30 days. No worries you'll have your pants off for months once true cold finally settles in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted October 29, 2014 Share Posted October 29, 2014 Yeah a definite whiff as the H5 Low and associated energy lag behind the primary sfc. reflection as they rotate through The Carolinas/GA. It is a 2 low elongated mess with no consolidated bomb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted October 29, 2014 Share Posted October 29, 2014 It may have something to do with the way the southern vort was initialized this run. On the 00z run it was a more consolidated feature just starting to come onshore in Washington State. On the 12z run it's a strung out mess. If you follow the progression of that S/W and compare it to 00z you can see how it was a much cleaner and complete phase on 00z which allowed it to close off much further north. Below is our southern stream feature that eventually phases in. Bottom line is, by 00z tonight we should have all of the features involved in areas that will be initialized well so we'll give it one more complete model cycle before pulling the plug. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 29, 2014 Share Posted October 29, 2014 Wasn't that east the entire time, and weenies (myself included) were just grasping at straws that it "could come back west"? Yeah maybe so. This thing is trying desperately to smack faces. Ha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 29, 2014 Share Posted October 29, 2014 I think the horn will be placed on mute in Gray, Maine, Time for the lucy/charlie brown avatar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 29, 2014 Author Share Posted October 29, 2014 Well those that got invested in snow were likely going to be disappointed in this as the pattern was just too progressive..but those that just expected flakes in the air and big winds will get exactly what they expected Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 29, 2014 Share Posted October 29, 2014 It's very simple. You can't have a lead low move off the coast and then a s/w digging to FL right in its wake. No time for recovery. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 29, 2014 Author Share Posted October 29, 2014 Sorry Kevin. I still hope you get birthday snow and failing that sex at least. Well I'll get my flurries/snow showers Sat night and maybe first thing Sunday morning..Was hopeful for snow OTG, but knew it was a remote chance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 29, 2014 Share Posted October 29, 2014 It's very simple. You can't have a lead low move off the coast and then a s/w digging to FL right in its wake. No time for recovery. Been the issue the last several runs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted October 29, 2014 Share Posted October 29, 2014 Good thing Kevin told Ryan to put snow on the 5 day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 29, 2014 Share Posted October 29, 2014 Been the issue the last several runs Well not with the EC yesterday. It was wet. But the overall issue has been discussed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted October 29, 2014 Share Posted October 29, 2014 Well I'll get my flurries/snow showers Sat night and maybe first thing Sunday morning..Was hopeful for snow OTG, but knew it was a remote chance. No model shows that. Is the KFS running again? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted October 29, 2014 Share Posted October 29, 2014 Sorry Kevin. I still hope you get birthday snow and failing that sex at least. I can't look at things....but any flakes in the Blue Ridge? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 29, 2014 Share Posted October 29, 2014 No model shows that. Is the KFS running again? KFS runs on 1DVAR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 29, 2014 Share Posted October 29, 2014 Well not with the EC yesterday. It was wet. But the overall issue has been discussed. No but everything else was and now with the euro it is as well, When it does recover its long gone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 29, 2014 Author Share Posted October 29, 2014 No model shows that. Is the KFS running again? There isn't any model that doesn't bring some instability flurries/snow showers thru from the lakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 29, 2014 Author Share Posted October 29, 2014 Just too damn progressive..Flow doesn't buckle enough for second s/w Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 29, 2014 Share Posted October 29, 2014 No but everything else was and now with the euro it is as well, When it does recover its long gone It's also important to be fair too. The GFS shifted west quite a bit from yesterday. As usual, models compromise and that's what we sort of have right now. Sure some details can be argued, but overall..a compromise. As far as sensible impacts, the Cape and DE Maine stand the best shot at some precip with stronger winds. My thoughts here haven't changed much. Some room for wiggles here and there, but the setup doesn't have much room if at all. Could even tick east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted October 29, 2014 Share Posted October 29, 2014 No model shows that. Is the KFS running again? KFS was OTS, but there are still a few weenie members of the KEFS showing big hits. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted October 29, 2014 Share Posted October 29, 2014 Here you go, I found the KFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 29, 2014 Author Share Posted October 29, 2014 Why were the Euro ensembles so west and juiced the last few days? The majority of the members were good hits..why did they falter? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted October 29, 2014 Share Posted October 29, 2014 I'd wait a bit to put the nails in the coffin and keep an eye on it. 5h has been jumping around. Obviously western areas seem out of the game. Strung out lows are the worst. I hate that. if we cant get snow lets make it as cold and windy as possible in foxboro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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