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Oct 31- Nov 2nd Storm Disco


Damage In Tolland

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What could more ridging there mean?

 

It probably would mean that there is a better chance the s/w dives further south and deepens. Now could it mean it digs too far south and swings east? Possibly, but that detail is probably one in our favor.  You can see even on the 18z  GFS and 12z Euro op The differences exist thanks to that ridging. Notice how the ridge in srn Greenland is a bit stronger and forcing more of a southward push to the vorticity over Hudson Bay meanwhile the gfs is weaker and this causes the s/w vorticity to be directed more SE. That's why it cuts across Quebec on the GFS.

 

Hr 60 18z GFS.

 

post-33-0-60047800-1414541687_thumb.png

 

hr 66 12z euro.

 

post-33-0-64798700-1414541703_thumb.png

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Scott,

lol at that Boston Globe article you responded to on Facebook regarding "Bracing yourselves" for the incoming snow.

 

If this is how the winter is going to play out with the Kevin style hype machine rolling on I will be sure not to read such news.

 

Yeah I responded on the banter thread.

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EC is still essentially a miss for all but Maine...does clip eastern Mass though. Half inch QPF from the Mass beaches north up the NH/ME border and east. Next to nothing SW of a PVD-BTV line.

Looks much warmer though for whatever reason, no shot of snow outside NNE, but big snowstorm for eastern two-thirds of Maine.

EC ensembles still look decent but definitely show Maine needs to be on the lookout.

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EC is still essentially a miss for all but Maine...does clip eastern Mass though.

Looks much warmer though for whatever reason, no shot of snow outside NNE.

 

I guess I'll delete my post--map reading fail.

 

I thought it was showing a track that held much closer to the Cape as it was deepening (though is much stronger further north). 

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0z GFS is a monster but it misses east after it looked to scrape the cape

Pretty much all the models are now showing large ocean storms, just grazing the coast until hitting either Maine or Nova Scotia.

GGEM, GFS, ECM all have monster storms in the Gulf of Maine, close but just teasingly far away.

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