weathafella Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 Model biases on display. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 That second s/w just goes right across Quebec lol. That never gets incorporated. 06z used infused some of that but trough was further north and positive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 Model biases on display. I think its heading the right way, GFS bias in play? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 06z used infused some of that but trough was further north and positive If that goes through Quebec, that squashes any hopes of it being negative fast enough. If the euro holds steady, it may be another classic model battle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 If that goes through Quebec, that squashes any hopes of it being negative fast enough. If the euro holds steady, it may be another classic model battle. Yes, We will need the GFS to infuse it sooner, Trough was further SW this run but went negative to late because of that piece sliding across QUE, You can see that clearly at H5, Agree on the model battle, But like the one that is showing a more positive outcome right now, 12z Euro run will be big to see if it maintains a positive direction with this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 I wonder when the "nevermind" run will occur. So many options. Eureka! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 Well that was interesting...12z GFS shows how flurries are not a given either haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 Well that was interesting...12z GFS shows how flurries are not a given either haha. Yeah this is a crap shoot without question. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 Eureka! Great foreshadowing...you have a skill. Any thoughts on the EURO run today? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 Great foreshadowing...you have a skill. Any thoughts on the EURO run today? Not as amplified as 00z was. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 12z GGEM is a miss but it comes closer than it would first appear. Clips far downeast Maine. 980mb monster though south of Nova Scotia. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 12z GGEM is a miss but it comes closer than it would first appear. Clips far downeast Maine. 980mb monster though south of Nova Scotia. Yeah, It was a total whiff on the 0z run, Its a move towards the Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 Already less leaves on the trees around here than in '11. And while the oaks still held 90% of their leaves, they fared well, it was the maples that took a beating, especially the Norway maples which tend to hold onto their leaves longer. Someone will get snow this weekend, especially in Northern NE. It's a question of how much. Coastal plain however is really where anything that falls won't likely accumulate. '11 was as perfect setup as it could get and while it snowed nearly the whole duration of the storm, I only managed about 5 or 6" of cement. Only 10 miles to my southeast they barely got an inch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 Great foreshadowing...you have a skill. Any thoughts on the EURO run today? The people of eastern Kentucky shall want for coal in the days to come. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 Yeah, It was a total whiff on the 0z run, Its a move towards the Euro Wouldn't take much for that to clip you down to BOS. It's almost like it backs in...at first it looks wayyyyy east then sort of bombs out closer to the mainland. Like a GFS and ECM compromise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 Already less leaves on the trees around here than in '11. And while the oaks still held 90% of their leaves, they fared well, it was the maples that took a beating, especially the Norway maples which tend to hold onto their leaves longer. Someone will get snow this weekend, especially in Northern NE. It's a question of how much. Coastal plain however is really where anything that falls won't likely accumulate. '11 was as perfect setup as it could get and while it snowed nearly the whole duration of the storm, I only managed about 5 or 6" of cement. Only 10 miles to my southeast they barely got an inch. Lowell was sort of in a dryslot. Even Foxboro got more. If winds become northerly then all bets are off. NE winds are a different story. Either way , elevation is a bigger role vs latitude in this case. Unless this blows up in the Gulf of Maine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 Already less leaves on the trees around here than in '11. And while the oaks still held 90% of their leaves, they fared well, it was the maples that took a beating, especially the Norway maples which tend to hold onto their leaves longer. Good riddance! Those are about the weakest of the tree-size maples, along with silver maple. Norway maples in central Maine were almost totally delimbed by the 1998 ice storm. I'm still expecting a sub-40 rain event, maybe mixing/changing Sat night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 GEFS looked a little less disorganized. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 I can't stand the Norway Maples myself. Dense canopy and nothing grows underneath. They're actually considered an invasive species here in MA. The only good thing about them is they make great firewood. Be interested if the Euro holds serve. It's been pretty consistent like it was in '11. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxjim207 Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 Euro really is the only "big game hitter" in the model wars today. I mean with it phasing energy and deep digging trough allowing for a slow down. That brings the sfc low right into the Gulf of Maine nearly missing the BM. I mean the EURO is playing like its Game 7 of the World Series. Do or die. HAHA Anyways with GFS not really closing off and keep the flow pretty open the system (if any) waits until its in never never land before developing. I am telling fellow Met's this looks to be the first big Model War of the year. HAHA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 12z Euro digging the trough further south then 0z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 Awesome to be doing pbp already! I love it! Keeping checking messages on here every 2 minutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 EURO @ 96, wonder if this will turn the corner. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 Euro is gunna go way of the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 Wow way south with the energy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 28, 2014 Author Share Posted October 28, 2014 That looks neg tilt big time..hopefully it doesn't end up too progressive and shunt east as it comes north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 Euro is gunna go way of the GFS. Going to be east of 0z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 Looks more like the GGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 Going to croak DE Maine down to 984mb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 Actually tries to save it last minute with a 982 mb low sitting east of New England at 120. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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