powderfreak Posted October 31, 2014 Share Posted October 31, 2014 We'll have to see how this changes after the afternoon forecast package...this is what the various NWS offices had in their grids for snowfall with this storm: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 31, 2014 Share Posted October 31, 2014 On 10/31/2014 at 2:33 PM, ORH_wxman said: It's really too bad we can't back that CCB in another 75 miles on the NAM...that's impressive and there's pretty sufficient cold. It may yet by some... If that lead meso-beta scaled S/W is being too emphasized by the model, that might let room for a slightly west adjustment to that 2ndary more powerful dynamical event. The first being what it is at presence run and prior, ...appears to slightly lower the west wall of the west Atl ridging enough that the 2nd system can find a way E of the v-max .. huh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 31, 2014 Share Posted October 31, 2014 Huron SD was 8F this morning. Next stop HIE Monday morning? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted October 31, 2014 Share Posted October 31, 2014 On 10/31/2014 at 3:09 PM, Typhoon Tip said: It may yet by some... If that lead meso-beta scaled S/W is being too emphasized by the model, that might let room for a slightly west adjustment to that 2ndary more powerful dynamical event. The first being what it is at presence run and prior, ...appears to slightly lower the west wall of the west Atl ridging enough that the 2nd system can find a way E of the v-max .. huh. Or if it goes like the CRAPS and actually digs all the way to Florida and then ends up almost being a cutter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 31, 2014 Share Posted October 31, 2014 CRAS is great if you want half an inch and then dryslot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted October 31, 2014 Share Posted October 31, 2014 On 10/31/2014 at 3:18 PM, CoastalWx said: CRAS is great if you want half an inch and then dryslot. Actually the CRAS is great if you live southwest of New England. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted October 31, 2014 Share Posted October 31, 2014 On 10/31/2014 at 3:20 PM, IsentropicLift said: Actually the CRAS is great if you live southwest of New England. Which .... we don't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted October 31, 2014 Share Posted October 31, 2014 On 10/31/2014 at 3:18 PM, CoastalWx said: CRAS is great if you want half an inch and then dryslot. I think it is all rain for most. But we've reached the CRAS discussion quota for the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted October 31, 2014 Share Posted October 31, 2014 On 10/31/2014 at 3:21 PM, MaineJayhawk said: Which .... we don't. Well the whole point is that it's still really far West. It's actually the only model that I've seen which somewhat consolidates the energy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted October 31, 2014 Share Posted October 31, 2014 So, here's DIT's boy's accum ideas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 31, 2014 Share Posted October 31, 2014 On 10/31/2014 at 3:12 PM, CoastalWx said: Huron SD was 8F this morning. Next stop HIE Monday morning?Probably some ridiculous cold in the mountain valley radiators Monday morning. 12Z NAM MOS has the following: 15F Whitefield HIE 14F Berlin BML 14F Morrisville-Stowe MVL 11F Saranac Lake SLK Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 31, 2014 Share Posted October 31, 2014 How'd the CRAS do during the sat outage? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted October 31, 2014 Share Posted October 31, 2014 Maybe I am looking too much into it, but it looks to me like at just 12 hours in, the GFS is already 100 miles SW of 06z at H5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted October 31, 2014 Share Posted October 31, 2014 The 12z GFS is a tick southeast with the 500mb low by 36 hours which probably isn't great for the secondary low. The first system whacks eastern MA pretty hard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 31, 2014 Share Posted October 31, 2014 It's a little east of 6z at 30hrs but that's not surprising...6z was pretty far west. We should be getting some consensus at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted October 31, 2014 Share Posted October 31, 2014 Yup, the trend so far today has been to dig the 500mb low further south and then southeast. That in return ticks everything east a tad. Starting to run out of time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 31, 2014 Share Posted October 31, 2014 12z GFS is colder up here, Slightly East but probably will bring more frozen to the coast this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 31, 2014 Share Posted October 31, 2014 On 10/31/2014 at 3:22 PM, JC-CT said: I think it is all rain for most. But we've reached the CRAS discussion quota for the season. Yeah that's what I meant..half inch of rain. Meeeehhhhhhh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 31, 2014 Share Posted October 31, 2014 On 10/31/2014 at 3:37 PM, dryslot said: 12z GFS is colder up here, Slightly East but probably will bring more frozen to the coast this run You are one of the few folks a more eastern slip will benefit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 31, 2014 Share Posted October 31, 2014 On 10/31/2014 at 3:39 PM, powderfreak said: You are one of the few folks a more eastern slip will benefit. Yup, If i could get that second low on the gfs to just go nuts 50 miles further south it would be real fun here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 31, 2014 Share Posted October 31, 2014 That Ebola girl in Ft Kent Maine is gonna be trapped. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 31, 2014 Share Posted October 31, 2014 CAR gets clocked this run............vim toot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 31, 2014 Share Posted October 31, 2014 On 10/31/2014 at 3:41 PM, CoastalWx said: That Ebola girl in Ft Kent Maine is gonna be trapped. She should be anyways, Biiitchhh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted October 31, 2014 Share Posted October 31, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 31, 2014 Share Posted October 31, 2014 CCB is darn close on the GFS. Dam. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 31, 2014 Share Posted October 31, 2014 On 10/31/2014 at 3:43 PM, CoastalWx said: CCB is darn close on the GFS. Dam. I just need it a hair south sooner Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 31, 2014 Share Posted October 31, 2014 Close to 1.0" here qpf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 31, 2014 Share Posted October 31, 2014 On 10/31/2014 at 3:41 PM, CoastalWx said: That Ebola girl in Ft Kent Maine is gonna be trapped. She should be able to lose her State Troopers if she takes off on a snowmobile in the blizzard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 31, 2014 Share Posted October 31, 2014 CAR will be honking, GYX may as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted October 31, 2014 Share Posted October 31, 2014 On 10/31/2014 at 3:46 PM, dryslot said: CAR will be honking, GYX may as well Going to be real close for a lot of our area. Some 850 and 925 mb temps tickling 0 C. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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