CoastalWx Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 The antecedent air mass isn't cold so it would Flip to snow , but it's pretty impressive looking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 On 10/28/2014 at 8:26 PM, CoastalWx said: The antecedent air mass isn't cold so it would Flip to snow , but it's pretty impressive looking. Seems like two camps to the individuals...some like the OP and GGEM, but others much more tucked in. A couple even bring it straight into the mid-Maine coast, and over the Cape before that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 On 10/28/2014 at 8:02 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Wow..if that's true..that's a big hit for SNE..Premature ecancellations?Yeah I mean it could go either way still. Stupid to say anything for certain. Id prefer the ens looking better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 28, 2014 Author Share Posted October 28, 2014 On 10/28/2014 at 8:22 PM, CoastalWx said: Wow big interior hit.What did you think of 00z? I thought you had said they looked juicy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 On 10/28/2014 at 8:30 PM, sbos_wx said: Yeah I mean it could go either way still. Stupid to say anything for certain. Id prefer the ens looking better Absolutely nothing is going to stop me from parading around as the Stay-Puft marshmallow man this weekend. Nothing, do you hear me, Ray?! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 On 10/28/2014 at 8:32 PM, Damage In Tolland said: What did you think of 00z? I thought you had said they looked juicy I only got a brief look on phone. Can't compare , but it was likely drier out your way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 Well that's a horse of a different color, interesting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 On 10/28/2014 at 8:30 PM, sbos_wx said: Yeah I mean it could go either way still. Stupid to say anything for certain. Id prefer the ens looking betterI think everybody would lolSent from my SM-G900V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 Cluster of 12 Z Euro Ens much better than 0Z ,impressive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 The ensemble mean doesn't exactly show you much. The members are all over the place - tons and tons of spread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 28, 2014 Author Share Posted October 28, 2014 On 10/28/2014 at 8:39 PM, Ginxy said: Cluster of 12 Z Euro Ens much better than 0Z ,impressive Eerily similar to same timeframe Oct 2011 re: Euro ensembles. Also a paste job Scooter said Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 On 10/28/2014 at 9:01 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Eerily similar to same timeframe Oct 2011 re: Euro ensembles. Also a paste job Scooter said Well that's the verbatim look in the high terrain in the usual areas. Not all snow.It could easily go back to a meh solution too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 28, 2014 Author Share Posted October 28, 2014 On 10/28/2014 at 9:03 PM, CoastalWx said: Well that's the verbatim look in the high terrain in the usual areas. Not all snow. Is this atmosphere overall warmer or colder than Oct 2011..Just curious? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nittany88 Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 On 10/28/2014 at 7:01 PM, Damage In Tolland said: @BigJoeBastardi: I still like my idea of WVA northeast with heaviest snows from ne pa into New England. More people seeing storm now, eh? God I hate him and how everything he says is confrontational in some way or calling someone or something out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 On 10/28/2014 at 9:01 PM, CT Rain said: The ensemble mean doesn't exactly show you much. The members are all over the place - tons and tons of spread.interesting that the members in the 980 ish range are tightly clustered from east of NJ to the BM while weaker members are scattered . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 It doesn't look like much here but hopefully you guys can cash in farther east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 On 10/28/2014 at 6:53 PM, dryslot said: Did it run when he was finished? Purrs like a kitten. Unfortunately, it needs new wheels. Friggin' things are expensive. Might be worth just buying a new one. Base your forecast on that scenario. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 On 10/28/2014 at 9:35 PM, eyewall said: It doesn't look like much here but hopefully you guys can cash in farther east. Being further south, I'm better. But, I'm afraid I'll be too far west. Of course, this might be a Calais special leaving the bulk of us with cirrus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 On 10/28/2014 at 9:04 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Is this atmosphere overall warmer or colder than Oct 2011..Just curious? Warmer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 On 10/28/2014 at 9:35 PM, eyewall said: It doesn't look like much here but hopefully you guys can cash in farther east. Some members are very close to SNE. Rejoice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 Woah Ryan took a hard no storm at all stance on his FB feed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 On 10/28/2014 at 9:40 PM, Ginxy said: Woah Ryan took a hard no storm at all stance on his FB feed.For his viewership I would take those odds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 On 10/28/2014 at 9:37 PM, moneypitmike said: Being further south, I'm better. But, I'm afraid I'll be too far west. Of course, this might be a Calais special leaving the bulk of us with cirrus. Pull out the shawl and brew another pot of dark roast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 On 10/28/2014 at 9:42 PM, HoarfrostHubb said: For his viewership I would take those oddsantihype? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 On 10/28/2014 at 9:37 PM, CoastalWx said: Some members are very close to SNE. Rejoice. There were a couple that were really amped for Eyewall. One even over BOS, a couple over the elbow of the Cape, etc. I wont be around, but doubt you can write anything off at this point...though obviously east is looking much more likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 On 10/28/2014 at 6:25 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Seems a little crazy climowise to have it dig that far south. A little blocking would really help us out and tuck it in closer for the qpf queens off to the NW if it does in fact end up that far south. I'd bet the ensemble mean doesn't dig it that far south So the last nor'easter sought out the warmer water. This one will ignore it and come north. Got it. Seems like my long term shift tomorrow will be eventful anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 On 10/28/2014 at 9:40 PM, Ginxy said: Woah Ryan took a hard no storm at all stance on his FB feed. On 10/28/2014 at 9:42 PM, HoarfrostHubb said: For his viewership I would take those odds Probably would have been a bit less categorical if I posted that after looking at the Euro Ensembles but still the odds of accumulating snow are very very low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 On 10/28/2014 at 9:45 PM, OceanStWx said: So the last nor'easter sought out the warmer water. This one will ignore it and come north. Got it. Seems like my long term shift tomorrow will be eventful anyway. +1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 Respect the Gulf Stream Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 On 10/28/2014 at 9:52 PM, HoarfrostHubb said: Respect the Gulf Stream When you need or want it...otherwise toss it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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