tamarack Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 On 10/28/2014 at 7:20 PM, dryslot said: I have planned for a windy day at the least, If its not snow, I hope its just showers a soaking at 35°F is not needed on Saturday although it looks more like Saturday night into Sunday so it don't matter A nice windy 30s rain would extend the lives of many deer (in Maine) past Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 The trough on the ensemble mean is going to close off at least 6 hours faster this run and further south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 On 10/28/2014 at 7:53 PM, IsentropicLift said: Euro ensemble mean is digging further south through 72 hours I would assume the mean will be further W than the op. Probably can get a portion of the members to stay as big hits. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 The ensemble mean is about as beautiful as you could ask for. It's even better than 00z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 Looks to be west of the OP and over the BM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 On 10/28/2014 at 7:58 PM, IsentropicLift said: The ensemble mean is about as beautiful as you could ask for. It's even better than 00z. Yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 Closed 500mb low passes right over Baltimore, then off the NJ coast and south of Long Island. It's cold too. End up with a sub 996mb low just east of Cape Cod by hour 114. Eastern New England crushed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 28, 2014 Author Share Posted October 28, 2014 Wow..if that's true..that's a big hit for SNE..Premature ecancellations? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 just when I was about to put my pants back on..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 On 10/28/2014 at 8:00 PM, IsentropicLift said: Closed 500mb low passes right over Baltimore, then off the NJ coast and south of Long Island. It's cold too. End up with a sub 996mb low just east of Cape Cod by hour 114. Eastern New England crushed. eastern SNE too? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 How much IMBY? I's guts to kno LOL And so it begins Love tracking the evolution of cyclogenesis. So many moving parts, variables, timing and location. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 Based off the ensemble mean, I would think that most members are west of the op. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 On 10/28/2014 at 8:04 PM, ruNNaWayIcEberG said: eastern SNE too? Yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 There's probably a few good hits in there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 I wish I was allowed to post paid maps here, it brought a tear to my eye. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 On 10/28/2014 at 7:55 PM, tamarack said: A nice windy 30s rain would extend the lives of many deer (in Maine) past Saturday. lol, We need to maintain a healthy herd.............. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 On 10/28/2014 at 8:06 PM, IsentropicLift said: I wish I was allowed to post paid maps here, it brought a tear to my eye. Pretty stark contrast at H5 with the trough placement and it being negative from 0z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 we need some hits at 0z though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 On 10/28/2014 at 8:05 PM, dendrite said: There's probably a few good hits in there. Definitely to the west i would think Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 On 10/28/2014 at 8:08 PM, ruNNaWayIcEberG said: we need some hits at 0z though. Bong? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 Well that should calm some nerves. I'll take the Euro ensembles inside of 120hrs everyday of the week and twice on Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 On 10/28/2014 at 8:09 PM, dryslot said: Bong? sooner, 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 On 10/28/2014 at 8:10 PM, IsentropicLift said: Well that should calm some nerves. I'll take the Euro ensembles inside of 120hrs everyday of the week and twice on Sunday. Lube up, young friend, for disappointment is coarse and oddly-shaped. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 On 10/28/2014 at 8:05 PM, dendrite said: There's probably a few good hits in there. Please don't remind people that an ensemble mean is not a deterministic solution. Just tell them how much snow the ensemble mean gives them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toller65 Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 On 10/28/2014 at 8:14 PM, Zeus said: Lube up, young friend, for disappointment is coarse and oddly-shaped. It's good balance to have at least one seriously depraved mind on the board... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 On 10/28/2014 at 7:58 PM, IsentropicLift said: The ensemble mean is about as beautiful as you could ask for. It's even better than 00z. I thought the 00z Euro ensembles sucked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 On 10/28/2014 at 8:17 PM, CT Rain said: I thought the 00z Euro ensembles sucked Not sure where you got that from. The mean looked fine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 On 10/28/2014 at 8:17 PM, CT Rain said: I thought the 00z Euro ensembles sucked Then the standard for improvement by comparison is merely lower. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 28, 2014 Share Posted October 28, 2014 Wow big interior hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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