BuffaloWeather Posted November 20, 2014 Author Share Posted November 20, 2014 ROFL that band. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted November 20, 2014 Share Posted November 20, 2014 ROFL that band. You should hear the rumbles of thunder! Good lord man Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted November 20, 2014 Share Posted November 20, 2014 it did go to two bands. the north one will become predominate, but it will prob quickly sink south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted November 20, 2014 Share Posted November 20, 2014 Latest AFD "NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... -- Changed Discussion -- ...RENEWED LAKE EFFECT WILL DUMP MULTIPLE FEET OF SNOW ON AREAS NORTHEAST OF BOTH LAKES THROUGH TONIGHT...INCLUDING THE AREA THAT WAS JUST CRIPPLED WITH 3 TO 5 FEET OF SNOW DOWNWIND OF LAKE ERIE... A PATTERN VERY REMINISCENT OF LAST YEARS WINTER WILL BE IN PLACE ACROSS NORTH AMERICA TODAY...AS RIDGING WILL BE FOUND OVER THE WESTERN THIRD OF THE CONTINENT WHILE AN ANOMALOUSLY DEEP TROUGH WILL BE CENTERED OVER THE GREAT LAKES. THIS WILL KEEP THE DOOR WIDE OPEN FOR COLD AIR TO CONTINUE TO POUR SOUTHWARDS ACROSS THE RELATIVELY WARM WATERS OF THE GREAT LAKES. THEREIN LIES THE FORECAST PROBLEM FOR WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW YORK. A DEEP...CYCLONIC FLOW OF -14C H85 AIR WILL CIRCULATE ACROSS LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO TODAY AND TONIGHT. THIS WILL ESTABLISH IMPRESSIVE INSTABILITY OVER THE LOWER GREAT LAKES...AND WITH A LOW SHEAR ENVIRONMENT AND A CAPPING INVERSION RISING FROM 10K FT TO AT LEAST 15K...THE INGREDIENTS WILL BE IN PLACE FOR ANOTHER PROMINENT ROUND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW. WHILE THIS WILL CERTAINLY HAVE AN IMPACT ON SITES EAST AND NORTHEAST OF LAKE ONTARIO...A GREATER CONCERN WILL BE NORTHEAST OF LK ERIE WHERE THIS SNOW WILL FALL ON AREAS THAT RECEIVED UP TO FIVE FEET OF SNOW JUST 30 HOURS AGO. A FAIRLY PERSISTENT 250 TO 260 FLOW IS FORECAST BY THE BULK OF THE ON STATION 6KM MESOSCALE MODELS...WHICH JUST HAPPENED TO PERFORM ADMIRABLY DURING THE JUST ENDED HISTORIC EVENT. OUR FORECAST WILL BE BASED ON A BLEND OF CONTINUITY AND AN AVERAGE OF THESE 6KM MODELS... WITH A SUBTLE TENDENCY TO KEEP THE AXIS OF THE BAND ABOUT 10 MILES NORTH OF THE MODELS DUE TO THE EARLY SEASON LAKE AGGREGATE EFFECT. THIS WILL PLACE THE BAND TODAY OVER THE CHAUTAUQUA COUNTY SHORE AND STRETCH IT NORTHEAST ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF ERIE COUNTY...WITH THE NORTHERN EXTENT OF THE BAND OVER THE BUFFALO SOUTHTOWNS WHILE REMAINING JUST TO THE SOUTH OF THE BUFFALO METROPOLITAN AREA. SNOWFALL RATES OF ONE TO TWO INCHES AN HOUR ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE BAND...WITH SOMEWHAT LACKING MOISTURE ABV 6K KEEPING RATES FROM BEING ANY MORE IMPRESSIVE. COMPARING THIS TO THE MOST RECENT EVENT...SNOWFALL RATES OF FOUR TO SIX INCHES PER HOUR WERE FOUND WITH IT. IN ANY CASE...SUCH AS ORCHARD PARK...HAMBURG...EAST AURORA AND MARILLA COULD EASILY PICK UP ONE TO TWO FEET OF SNOW TODAY. IT IS NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION THAT THE HEAVIEST SNOW COULD BE ACCOMPANIED BY SOME THUNDER AND LIGHTNING EARLY THIS MORNING...BUT WITH A MORE SHALLOW MIXED PHASE CLOUD IN PLACE AS COMPARED TO THIS PAST EVENING (WHEN THUNDERSNOW WAS WIDESPREAD)...THE ODDS TODAY ARE A BIT LONGER." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 20, 2014 Author Share Posted November 20, 2014 Latest AFD Really weird AFD, as there is more thunder snow with this event than the last by far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 20, 2014 Author Share Posted November 20, 2014 http://www.thruway.ny.gov/travelers/map/index.html white outs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted November 20, 2014 Share Posted November 20, 2014 the radar is lighting up with lightenging etc. perhaps, the most ive ever seen. in winter obviously. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted November 20, 2014 Share Posted November 20, 2014 2.5" IN 30 MINS! STILL SNOWING HARDDD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 20, 2014 Author Share Posted November 20, 2014 12 strikes. OMFG Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 20, 2014 Author Share Posted November 20, 2014 2.5" IN 30 MINS! STILL SNOWING HARDDD Congrats man you deserve it. Enjoy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted November 20, 2014 Share Posted November 20, 2014 Congrats man you deserve it. Enjoy! Yea man i got till next hr or so before the southward shift! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 20, 2014 Author Share Posted November 20, 2014 Yea man i got till next hr or so before the southward shift! Idk man, the drift is slow. hopefully it stalls over you guys. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 20, 2014 Author Share Posted November 20, 2014 It's really difficult to sleep when you have a band like that parked over Metro. This is once in lifetime stuff. Sleep can come later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted November 20, 2014 Share Posted November 20, 2014 It's really difficult to sleep when you have a band like that parked over Metro. This is once in lifetime stuff. Sleep can come later. i think i slept like 4 hrs within the last 48 hrs. no work for 3 days now haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 20, 2014 Author Share Posted November 20, 2014 i think i slept like 4 hrs within the last 48 hrs. no work for 3 days now haha same here haha. It looks like the band is taking on that double banded structure. Snow has started up here again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 20, 2014 Author Share Posted November 20, 2014 I love how the special weather statements are like this now....I think the NWS is sick of the snow lol! No specifics anymore. TLR- It's going to snow in Buffalo, be careful. ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE NIAGARA FRONTIER...* AT 347 AM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED ALAKE EFFECT SNOW BAND. THIS LAKE EFFECT SNOW BAND WAS LOCATED FROMBUFFALO TO ROCHESTER.* SOME LOCATIONS AFFECTED BY THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW BAND INCLUDE... METRO BUFFALO AND NORTHTOWNS... FAR SOUTHEAST NIAGARA COUNTY... AKRON TO BATAVIA... NORTHERN GENESEE COUNTY... WESTERN MONROE COUNTY...THIS INCLUDES THE NEW YORK THRUWAY BETWEEN EXITS 47 AND 56.DRIVING WITHIN THIS SNOW BAND WILL BE DIFFICULT AT TIMES WITH SNOWCOVERED AND SLIPPERY ROADWAYS. IF TRAVELING ACROSS THE AREA SLOW DOWNAND BE PREPARED FOR RAPIDLY CHANGING ROAD AND WEATHER CONDITIONS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 20, 2014 Author Share Posted November 20, 2014 Bands merging. This thing is about to unload snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted November 20, 2014 Share Posted November 20, 2014 Wow, didn't expect the band to shift north again after checking out around midnight. Very heavy snow right now - heading out to measure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted November 20, 2014 Share Posted November 20, 2014 same here haha. It looks like the band is taking on that double banded structure. Snow has started up here again. Wow look at that band, it has 30 dbz reaching all the way out to Brockport. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 20, 2014 Author Share Posted November 20, 2014 I just heard thunder and looks like Kbuf is getting it too. Last Updated: Nov 20 2014, 3:54 am ESTThu, 20 Nov 2014 03:54:00 -0500 Weather: Thunderstorm Heavy Snow Freezing Fog Temperature: 28.0 °F (-2.2 °C) Dewpoint: 25.0 °F (-3.9 °C) Relative Humidity: 88 % Wind: from the West at 11.5 gusting to 19.6 MPH (10 gusting to 17 KT) Wind Chill: 18 F (-8 C) Visibility: 0.25 miles MSL Pressure: 1008.5 mb Altimeter: 29.75 in Hg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted November 20, 2014 Share Posted November 20, 2014 Wow, didn't expect the band to shift north again after checking out around midnight. Very heavy snow right now - heading out to measure. We got 3.3" so far here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 20, 2014 Author Share Posted November 20, 2014 DUMPING SNOW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 20, 2014 Author Share Posted November 20, 2014 Serious... NYZ010>012-085-201700- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0012.000000T0000Z-141121T0600Z/ NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUFFALO...BATAVIA...WARSAW... ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE 349 AM EST THU NOV 20 2014 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST FRIDAY... * LOCATIONS...ERIE...GENESEE...AND WYOMING COUNTIES. THIS INCLUDES THE BUFFALO METRO AREA. GREATEST ACCUMULATIONS EXPECTED FROM SOUTH BUFFALO TO THE NEARBY SOUTHERN AND EASTERN SUBURBS EXTENDING INTO THE SOUTHWEST CORNER OF GENESEE COUNTY AND THE NORTHWEST CORNER OF WYOMING COUNTIES. * TIMING...THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. * ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 6 INCHES THROUGH 6 AM...MORE THAN 2 FEET TODAY...AND 5 TO 10 INCHES TONIGHT. * WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 MPH. * VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A FEW HUNDRED FEET AT TIMES. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted November 20, 2014 Share Posted November 20, 2014 This pics were taken 30 mins ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 20, 2014 Author Share Posted November 20, 2014 Thundersnow is back. This band is better than the other. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 20, 2014 Author Share Posted November 20, 2014 Death band is forming and about to hit me. Maybe I should go out and get more video of the thunder+lightning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 20, 2014 Author Share Posted November 20, 2014 That band nearly covers the entire county, thing of beauty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted November 20, 2014 Share Posted November 20, 2014 That band nearly covers the entire county, thing of beauty. Wow I'm looking at the radar and this band is nearly stationary w/no movements visible! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 20, 2014 Author Share Posted November 20, 2014 Wow I'm looking at the radar and this band is nearly stationary w/no movements visible! You see those 40 DBZ returns in the middle of that band. omg... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted November 20, 2014 Share Posted November 20, 2014 We got 3.3" so far here. Wind is making it tough to accurately measure - but estimating 7 inches since snow first started around 10 PM with about 4 inches in last couple hours. Easily over a foot now for the week. Paltry by comparison, but I'll take it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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