Chinook Posted November 3, 2014 Share Posted November 3, 2014 I'm just having a little fun at your expense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted November 3, 2014 Share Posted November 3, 2014 DTW dropped to 26F this morning for the first hard freeze, the standouts were 15F at ARB and 18F at White Lake.edit DTW got down to 25F not 26F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted November 3, 2014 Share Posted November 3, 2014 Although it is unlikely, it is at least conceivable that I will see snow in Madison Thursday from the Clipper, and then lake-effect from that very same Clipper on Friday in Valpo. Now that would be something! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted November 3, 2014 Share Posted November 3, 2014 6-10, 10-15 day Euro ensembles are kinda brrrr. Would be nice to sneak in a little moisture with the chill of course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted November 3, 2014 Share Posted November 3, 2014 Although it is unlikely, it is at least conceivable that I will see snow in Madison Thursday from the Clipper, and then lake-effect from that very same Clipper on Friday in Valpo. Now that would be something! Yep, Winter may be off to a pretty fast start this season... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted November 3, 2014 Share Posted November 3, 2014 Looks like CONUS November will be cooler. October was a bit of a torcher(except for this region go think eh?) Yeah, I saw the monthly departures from normal in temps and precip on Accuweather, and the only two states that were predominantly below normal through the month were Wisconsin and Florida. This year long theme has been impressive to say the least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted November 3, 2014 Share Posted November 3, 2014 Clipper for Wed night and Thu is looking weaker, faster, and further north in last several runs. Not expecting anything down this way other than a few brief sprinkles/flurries late Wed night. Looks like areas further north and east will get some decent snow shower action though again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted November 3, 2014 Share Posted November 3, 2014 Clipper for Wed night and Thu is looking weaker, faster, and further north in last several runs. Not expecting anything down this way other than a few brief sprinkles/flurries late Wed night. Looks like areas further north and east will get some decent snow shower action though again. You might be too far west to see much, but I'll bet it digs more than the 12z GFS is depicting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted November 3, 2014 Author Share Posted November 3, 2014 MKX put this out this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted November 3, 2014 Share Posted November 3, 2014 Nice fantasy land Geos jackpot snowstorm, next Mon-Tue, on the 12z Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted November 3, 2014 Share Posted November 3, 2014 MKX put this out this morning. That would be a great storm track to bring SW flow lake effect snow to this part of West Michigan! Way too warm at this time of the year though... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted November 3, 2014 Share Posted November 3, 2014 The 12z GFS at 144 hours has an icy finger of death for Illinois, (as opposed to the warm tongue of death), -15C at 850mb. It's not quite that cold at that hour on the 0z or 06z runs though. By the way, this run has -23C at 700mb over southern Lake Michigan! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted November 4, 2014 Author Share Posted November 4, 2014 Nice fantasy land Geos jackpot snowstorm, next Mon-Tue, on the 12z Euro. Saw that - hard to believe being November and all! That would be a great storm track to bring SW flow lake effect snow to this part of West Michigan! Way too warm at this time of the year though... Yeah you'd probably end up with LE rain if anything. Maybe you'll get some snow on Thursday night if you're lucky. Made it to 60° today. I think these days are by the wayside really quick soon! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted November 4, 2014 Share Posted November 4, 2014 Chance of snow mixing in in the p and c thursday and over the weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spartman Posted November 4, 2014 Share Posted November 4, 2014 Overachieved with a high of 66F. Certain that it will be the highest it will get for this month, no matter how this November shapes up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted November 4, 2014 Share Posted November 4, 2014 I check the 16-day GFS in passing, and about 5 days ago it had a super torchy look for around Veterans day (as did the CFS). So much so that it called for highs in the low 70s, which would flirt with record highs (this is why I took note of something 2 weeks out). It held that way for a few runs...and now.....that has been replaced by a growing consensus for a definite blast of mid-winter before we hit mid-November. Cant believe after last winter we start November with winter threats already (fwiw, this would be a head start on 2013-14 ) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted November 4, 2014 Share Posted November 4, 2014 Picked up 0.16" of rain late yesterday, our first rain in three weeks. Then next two weeks look very dry as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted November 4, 2014 Author Share Posted November 4, 2014 Very typical early November day. Cloudy and damp, but still mild out. I would say 90% of the trees are bare or near bare. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted November 4, 2014 Share Posted November 4, 2014 Very typical early November day. Cloudy and damp, but still mild out. I would say 90% of the trees are bare or near bare. My thoughts/obs exactly Geos Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted November 4, 2014 Share Posted November 4, 2014 temps steady or beginning to fall slightly. 40, with light rain and drizzle in westerly upslope flow. with last nights rain, only snow left is in patches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted November 4, 2014 Author Share Posted November 4, 2014 temps steady or beginning to fall slightly. 40, with light rain and drizzle in westerly upslope flow. with last nights rain, only snow left is in patches. Looks like quite the snowy period from Wed. night - Thurs. night for you! And then nothing above 40* anymore in the 7 day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted November 4, 2014 Share Posted November 4, 2014 Looks like quite the snowy period from Wed. night - Thurs. night for you! And then nothing above 40* anymore in the 7 day. I think this is the step down into more Winter like weather. Normal high is already 43/44 here. The next snow is here to stay I think. Even two days in the mid and upper 40's, it was hard to get this current snow to melt all the way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted November 4, 2014 Share Posted November 4, 2014 12z P-GFS has some ridiculous cold coming down in about a week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted November 4, 2014 Share Posted November 4, 2014 0.27" here last night/early this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted November 4, 2014 Share Posted November 4, 2014 The 12z Euro showing lows mid next week in the single digits here, with a double digit snowstorm on Mon/Tues. probably overdone, but tis the season. Is it early November or mid January? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted November 5, 2014 Share Posted November 5, 2014 12z P-GFS has some ridiculous cold coming down in about a week. I can't even believe it. Specifics for ORD: 1000-500 mb thickness gets down to 509 dam, 850 mb temps to -18 C, 2 m temp maxes out Tuesday at 30 F.... in November!? Even the Euro gets 850's down to -15 C, and that's just looking at the 24-hour panels. Brrr! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted November 5, 2014 Author Share Posted November 5, 2014 Had an early morning high of 59° today. Near 50°/upper 40s most of the afternoon. Managed a little bit of sun within an hour before sunset, but that was it! 18z GFS on Tuesday is really cold as well! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxman1952 Posted November 5, 2014 Share Posted November 5, 2014 That would be a great storm track to bring SW flow lake effect snow to this part of West Michigan! Way too warm at this time of the year though... ya never can tell. They had two inches of snow "on the ground" last Saturday around Mt. Morris MI. I would had thought the ground was way to warm to accumulate that much last weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted November 5, 2014 Share Posted November 5, 2014 Is there a link to the parallel GFS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted November 5, 2014 Share Posted November 5, 2014 Is there a link to the parallel GFS? http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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