JoMo Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 12z Euro suggests some snow showers/light snow/flurries from time to time with a couple of weak waves passing mostly to our west and south over the next few days..... Another NW flow type of wave on Wed night/Thurs may bring more of the same. This run is bringing out a bit of a stronger system on Fri/Sat which may bring a bit heavier snow, especially in most of OK. This one wraps up a bit and brings a deformation looking zone across OK/AR/southern MO along and SE of I-44 with additional snow (could be a lot) on Sat Night into Sunday. And another weakish type system coming out on Monday (mostly MO/KS) this round. All of this will change next run... lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spot Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Just a glance at 18z NAM... looks like a decent bump north? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Waterboy Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Just a glance at 18z NAM... looks like a decent bump north? It looks better with each run. Just need it a little bit further north for me since I'm selfish! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx2K4 Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Just a glance at 18z NAM... looks like a decent bump north? It does appear that way to me as well. Will be interesting to see if anything else follows that thought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Just a glance at 18z NAM... looks like a decent bump north? Quite a jump north by about 2 counties: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spot Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Quite a jump north by about 2 counties: Yea that is a jump! .Haha 18z NAM why must you tease me with this run. I would get more than flurries. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx 24/7 Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 It will be an interesting 00z run tonight... this is about the time the models have been moving into place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
natecast Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Quite a jump north by about 2 counties: Bump that a county north along I-35 and I'll be happy. Thanks. Haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted February 22, 2015 Share Posted February 22, 2015 Tons of 20 percent chances of snow from tomorrow til, way way out lol. Dont be teasing me with some lil 20 percent chance tulsa ok! haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Waterboy Posted February 22, 2015 Share Posted February 22, 2015 Looks like the 00z NAM was still a narrow band around Fort Smith (I-40). Not as impressive as the 18z run. Also looks like two waves about 12-24 hours apart. Still shows 3-6 inches or slightly heavier amounts. Two of our three weekend mets at local TV blew it off into nothing more than flurries. They may bust on this one. We'll see what the GFS shows shortly. The storm out in Colorado is definitely strong. My brother in Denver is expecting well over a foot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJ_Ken Posted February 22, 2015 Share Posted February 22, 2015 As of this moment, NWS is calling for 2"-4" in my backyard, which would make me VERY happy.... But there is no margin for error. We get that accumulation from one wave sideswiping us to the north and the second doing so from the south. We could just as easily split the uprights and see nary a flake. Why is it always so darn difficult? LOL. Edit: I probably should have looked at a radar before posting the above. Wave 1 has already missed to the north. Presumably, Wave 2 will commence missing us to the south tomorrow afternoon. On the bright side, I only have to kill 9 or 10 more months of 100+ F temps before our next snow chance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ouamber Posted February 22, 2015 Share Posted February 22, 2015 Looks like a giant snow globe outside! I'm about to hit the end of it here in Tulsa. Just a dusting, but it's so pretty! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted February 22, 2015 Share Posted February 22, 2015 Got some snow flurries here falling but it looks like most this stuff is in springdale(just to my north lol) and northward. This place just seems like the screwzone! Everything always seems to fall just north or just south of here, must be something to do with the terrain or something I dont know Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx2K4 Posted February 22, 2015 Share Posted February 22, 2015 Snowflakes to the north of me, snowflakes to the south....here I am. Said to the tune of Stuck In the Middle. Hahaha :-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted February 22, 2015 Share Posted February 22, 2015 And the 'big' system is now ejecting out to our west. Well, this winter sucked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx 24/7 Posted February 22, 2015 Share Posted February 22, 2015 And the 'big' system is now ejecting out to our west. Well, this winter sucked. Refering to the EURO or GFS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted February 22, 2015 Share Posted February 22, 2015 And the 'big' system is now ejecting out to our west. Well, this winter sucked. Are you really shocked though man? It just hasn't been our winter, everything gets lost in a big ole shuffle of confusion this season it seems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx2K4 Posted February 22, 2015 Share Posted February 22, 2015 And the 'big' system is now ejecting out to our west. Well, this winter sucked. Is that your version of throwing in the towel? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ouamber Posted February 22, 2015 Share Posted February 22, 2015 Jomo, how do the ensembles look? The big one is still 5-7 days away. It will change. FWIW, the 12Z Canadian looked good, eh? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted February 22, 2015 Share Posted February 22, 2015 Oh looky, earlier missed to just the north now its another piece missing us just to the south lmao. I thought that piece would maybe hit here, nope now it looks to be turning east as well. Sighhhhhhhhhh c'mon already this is so pathetic lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJ_Ken Posted February 22, 2015 Share Posted February 22, 2015 The kick is up... it is definitely inside the north goalpost.... and it sure looks like it will stay within the southern goalpost. Yes! OKC splits the uprights and gets a grand total .001" of graupel as a storm total! Woo hoo! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted February 22, 2015 Share Posted February 22, 2015 As far as the 'big storm' is concerned......The GGEM did look pretty good, and a few of the 12z Euro ensemble members do look a lot like the GGEM. The majority of the members are farther NW in KS though. I've been looking for one last big system to deliver us all one last nice snow before Spring. The weeklies have been shifting the mean trough to the west and north over time over to the western states, this means the cold air will be found over the west and north and the storm track will likely be to our west as we head into Spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spot Posted February 22, 2015 Share Posted February 22, 2015 As far as the 'big storm' is concerned......The GGEM did look pretty good, and a few of the 12z Euro ensemble members do look a lot like the GGEM. The majority of the members are farther NW in KS though. I've been looking for one last big system to deliver us all one last nice snow before Spring. The weeklies have been shifting the mean trough to the west and north over time over to the western states, this means the cold air will be found over the west and north and the storm track will likely be to our west as we head into Spring. Had a few flurries out of this.. meanwhile just a few counties south get inches.. this has to be the worst spot to be in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJ_Ken Posted February 23, 2015 Share Posted February 23, 2015 OUN folded and acknowledged that Central OK ain't getting any snow tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted February 23, 2015 Share Posted February 23, 2015 00z Euro gives the OKC area a bunch of snow this Fri/Sat before everything shifts back NW into Kansas due to a very large positive tilt trough digging into the west. Probably get a mix of stuff as the trough kicks out on Monday as well. On this run, everyone in the area may get some amount of frozen precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
natecast Posted February 23, 2015 Share Posted February 23, 2015 About a half an inch has fallen this morning in Edmond & North OKC. Roads are pretty slick with it being the low 20's. Another round this afternoon looks like it may drop another inch of snow before coming to an end mid-afternoon. 12Z GFS doesn't look very impressive with the late week Fri/Sat storm system JoMo mentioned, but details still need to be worked out on that one since we're still about 4 days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted February 23, 2015 Share Posted February 23, 2015 Had a 20 percent chance of snow here this morning, it snowed fairly good for about 20 minutes! Got a dusting then the sun came out briefly and melted it that quick even at 22 degrees lol. So whats tulsa do, stick and advisory up and all things look to have ended. Regardless its up til 6pm. I tell you guys this has been one confusing, crazy, weird winter season! I really dont wish to see another like it but we all know that probly wont happen haha. It's like the winter that no one has absolutely no clue on even with short term forecasts!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted February 23, 2015 Share Posted February 23, 2015 12z Euro still has the snow for OK on Friday, probably flurries or light snow for our area. Then it warms up as the cold lifts NW into Kansas along with the frozen precip... maybe a mix or something when the trough moves through Monday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJ_Ken Posted February 23, 2015 Share Posted February 23, 2015 Tulsa (probably the city proper and the southern burbs), this band is coming your way! The radar doesn't do it justice. I am in downtown OKC, and we have been getting pasted for nearly 3 hours. I am just eyeballing, but I bet we've been getting an inch per hour since well before lunch. Up to that point, we'd had a dusting that had melted on the all the streets. Now, everything (including the major thoroughfare I can see from my office window) is covered by at least 2" of snow... and maybe 3" or 4". It has lightened up a bit in the past few minutes, but it is still coming down steady and the radar looks decent for at least another hour or two. Evening rush looks to be a disaster. I just read I-35 has been closed just north of OKC due to numerous accidents. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
natecast Posted February 23, 2015 Share Posted February 23, 2015 Tulsa (probably the city proper and the southern burbs), this band is coming your way! The radar doesn't do it justice. I am in downtown OKC, and we have been getting pasted for nearly 3 hours. I am just eyeballing, but I bet we've been getting an inch per hour since well before lunch. Up to that point, we'd had a dusting that had melted on the all the streets. Now, everything (including the major thoroughfare I can see from my office window) is covered by at least 2" of snow... and maybe 3" or 4". It has lightened up a bit in the past few minutes, but it is still coming down steady and the radar looks decent for at least another hour or two. Evening rush looks to be a disaster. I just read I-35 has been closed just north of OKC due to numerous accidents. Yep, 20 degrees out and just had a heavy band come through the center of the city. Roads are a mess. Probably up to around 2" now, with another inch possible before sunset. Definitely more today than I had expected and what the models were showing yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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