dryslot Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 odd I gave you big props but ignored, no problem ,lol They say even a blind squirrel finds a nut once in a while............. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
butterfish55 Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 Still pouring down this way. I'm only about 3 miles from the BOX office in the industrial park, so I go by their numbers for snow/rain. They had 3.6" earlier this afternoon. Must be over 4" by now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 "Even a blind bird catches a bird once in a while" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 Man it's really roaring. Back side LLJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 Dumping again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 Man it's really roaring. Back side LLJ.secondary wind max well modeled, have to give non hydros huge props on this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 Still pouring down this way. I'm only about 3 miles from the BOX office in the industrial park, so I go by their numbers for snow/rain. They had 3.6" earlier this afternoon. Must be over 4" by now Yeah this was the drought buster we needed. I am a stones throw away from that office and I assume i am over four inches now. Pouring Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapturedNature Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 "Even a blind bird catches a bird once in a while" Yep....It reminds me of a tale a professor once told me in a business class. He said that if you took a group of 1000 people and the first day you told half the people that a stock was going up and the other half that it was going down and repeated this every day till you had 10 people, those 10 people would think you're a genius because you're always right. I suppose you can do that with a forecast as well. The problem is that everyone here can see your call but casual users wouldn't and after a while they'd think that you're a genius. Speaking of the storm, there were some impressive wind gusts here. I had one last evening that broke off a large limb from a tree along my road. It landed right on my cable TV line taking out my Internet access and leaving a line down across the street until this afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 Yeah this was the drought buster we needed. I am a stones throw away from that office and I assume i am over four inches now. Pouringif we ever get a real drought that would be news Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 if we ever get a real drought that would be news Well it's no CA drought, but this was the driest I can ever recall. The river that barely was flowing is now moving nicely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 Well weenies give weenie props quite often..but to get the mets to actually admit that we do know our stuff and can do a good job is pretty rare.. almost never ..so it's special. Buit thank you my dear friend Hey! I gave you props yesterday! Old people have feelings too... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 Well it's no CA drought, but this was the driest I can ever recall. The river that barely was flowing is now moving nicely.meh, tertiary river, water tables/reservoirs were fine, to me anyways drought is a long term kind of deal.We have had a long term precip deficit though running 70 to 85% of normal over the past 3 years Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 23, 2014 Author Share Posted October 23, 2014 Yep....It reminds me of a tale a professor once told me in a business class. He said that if you took a group of 1000 people and the first day you told half the people that a stock was going up and the other half that it was going down and repeated this every day till you had 10 people, those 10 people would think you're a genius because you're always right. I suppose you can do that with a forecast as well. The problem is that everyone here can see your call but casual users wouldn't and after a while they'd think that you're a genius. Speaking of the storm, there were some impressive wind gusts here. I had one last evening that broke off a large limb from a tree along my road. It landed right on my cable TV line taking out my Internet access and leaving a line down across the street until this afternoon. Yeah our general area had some 45-50 Mph gusts last night.. I submitted the trees down on wires report to BOX this morning ,but they ignored it because they didn't have any advisories out for the county Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 meh, tertiary river, water tables/reservoirs were fine, to me anyways drought is a long term kind of deal.We have had a long term precip deficit though running 70 to 85% of normal over the past 3 years They weren't around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapturedNature Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 Yeah our general area had some 45-50 Mph gusts last night.. I submitted the trees down on wires report to BOX this morning ,but they ignored it because they didn't have any advisories out for the county I reported it too but last night. I was surprised that it didn't show up on the LSR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapturedNature Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 They weren't around here. We had a real drought back in the 80s or early 90s. That was really bad. I remember wells going dry and Quabbin being lower than it every had been. I think there was one in the early 80s and then one about 1993 if I recall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 23, 2014 Author Share Posted October 23, 2014 I reported it too but last night. I was surprised that it didn't show up on the LSR.When there's damage in a big event and they don't have "said" areas under an advisory.. I've noticed they mysteriously don't show up on the LSR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 Well weenies give weenie props quite often..but to get the mets to actually admit that we do know our stuff and can do a good job is pretty rare.. almost never ..so it's special. Buit thank you my dear friend If credit is being given, wasn't the 24-36 hours of wind call one of Matt Noyes' on Twitter? I recall the mets questioning that and the reply being a link to a tweet of a write-up and some ECM wind probabilities. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 When there's damage in a big event and they don't have "said" areas under an advisory.. I've noticed they mysteriously don't show up on the LSR Chances are winds stayed under advisory criteria though so I don't know why it would matter either way. Only Ledge Light, KHVN, and KBDR gusted over 40 knots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 23, 2014 Author Share Posted October 23, 2014 If credit is being given, wasn't the 24-36 hours of wind call one of Matt Noyes' on Twitter? I recall the mets questioning that and the reply being a link to a tweet of a write-up and some ECM wind probabilities. He had said on Monday he thought BOS would gust to 50 mph but then backed off on that on Tuesday and said non -damaging winds.. Then ramped them back up Wed AM. But the 36 hours thing was not him no. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 He had said on Monday he thought BOS would gust to 50 mph but then backed off on that on Tuesday and said non -damaging winds.. Then ramped them back up Wed AM. But the 36 hours thing was not him no. Ahhh you're right. The first couple pages of this thread are pretty funny in hindsight. Models have BOS gusting up to 45-50 mph for like 36 hours link? Euro wind probs and Nam. Have a look Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 Euro never supported those winds nor did anything really until Tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 Euro did not do very well here, Probably end up busting to high on qpf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 Euro never supported those winds nor did anything really until Tuesday.Look how bad some of those model forecasts were SUN/MON... we won't come close to 3" up here in VT, while this run had a blob of green (0.25-0.49") just south of BOS, in an area that got 4-6". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted October 23, 2014 Share Posted October 23, 2014 Euro never supported those winds nor did anything really until Tuesday. Yeah - Euro winds were never impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 24, 2014 Share Posted October 24, 2014 Look how bad some of those model forecasts were SUN/MON... we won't come close to 3" up here in VT, while this run had a blob of green (0.25-0.49") just south of BOS, in an area that got 4-6". image.jpg But with each model run, the tickle south did occur. Models had the low moving near the cc canal at some point. Ensembles were always a bit SE of the op. One thing models seem to underestimate is the QPF in the 1st 6hrs that models boost QPF. IOW, models all of the sudden jumped with 6hr QPF in BOS after 00s, but then lifted north and brought heavier QPF in the modeled TROWAL. It seems like when the heavier QPF gets established, many time mesoscale areas jackpot because everything is maxing out quickly in those first several hours, vs it moving north and sort of losing its punch. Not always, but our heavy rain events have displayed that before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 24, 2014 Author Share Posted October 24, 2014 @ericfisher: Except for the 6am hour that was for some reason quiet, it's been gusting 30+mph in #Boston for 34 straight hours and counting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted October 24, 2014 Share Posted October 24, 2014 Close to 3" at TAN. Gusts on backside in mid 30s. Still raining now. Nice long duration event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 24, 2014 Share Posted October 24, 2014 Hope y'all enjoyed our Alberta Clipper Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted October 24, 2014 Share Posted October 24, 2014 50/47 Breezy. Just some mist in the air now but 2.6" total since yesterday. Certainly a bit above what most model output was for this area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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