scoob40 Posted October 19, 2014 Share Posted October 19, 2014 Why does BOX keep insisting on highs in the 50's and 60's this week? There going to be at least 1-2 days of highs in the 40's with the rain and wind This fellow also buys BOX ideas on temps. http://wwlp.com/7-day-forecast/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 19, 2014 Author Share Posted October 19, 2014 This fellow also buys BOX ideas on temps. http://wwlp.com/7-day-forecast/ Take the under Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 19, 2014 Share Posted October 19, 2014 I don't see the south shift yet........lol, Euro is further north, GFS about the same, QPF is 3-4" range Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted October 19, 2014 Share Posted October 19, 2014 I don't see the south shift yet........lol, Euro is further north, GFS about the same, QPF is 3-4" range I'm expecting anywhere from .75" to 1.5" here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 19, 2014 Share Posted October 19, 2014 I don't see the south shift yet........lol, Euro is further north, GFS about the same, QPF is 3-4" range Yeah I didn't see what mechanism would cause this other than the mercy of the synoptics. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted October 19, 2014 Share Posted October 19, 2014 Yeah I didn't see what mechanism would cause this other than the mercy of the synoptic. The Gulf Stream off Cape Cod, MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 19, 2014 Share Posted October 19, 2014 Yeah I didn't see what mechanism would cause this other than the mercy of the synoptic. Jackpot depending on model of choice is either Central Maine or Northern Maine in the 3-5" range which is more then the run of the mill but not to the point of extreme as of yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 19, 2014 Share Posted October 19, 2014 The Gulf Stream off Cape Cod, MA. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 19, 2014 Share Posted October 19, 2014 Crapnadian GGEM tried to whiten the Berks' and Greens on the 00z run.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted October 19, 2014 Share Posted October 19, 2014 Just taking a peek at last night's euro. Winds look unimpressive to me unless you are in northern maine or far western sne or the IMMEDIATE coast. Low stacks up almost directly overhead of most sne locales. Winds get going in the western elevations of sne as the surface low backs inland and winds come down the backside of the low. Also looking at the different heights, doesn't support qpf maxes in SNE, but likely in Maine. Cool storm though, love the slow movers. Storm of this type seem to be unique to our portion of the world. This would be one hell of a storm if it stacked up south of sne. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted October 19, 2014 Share Posted October 19, 2014 LLJ really cranks over Nova Scotia with good rains. None of best winds really even remotely close to us. Honestly looks windier on the weekend post storm than during. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 19, 2014 Share Posted October 19, 2014 12z GFS cutting back on qpf, Not a real surprise as the heaviest remains off the east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted October 19, 2014 Share Posted October 19, 2014 12z GFS cutting back on qpf, Not a real surprise as the heaviest remains off the east The sos signal has certainly been muted. Best rains still cne but nothing that's needs a boat to travel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 19, 2014 Share Posted October 19, 2014 The sos signal has certainly been muted. Best rains still cne but nothing that's needs a boat to travel. Yeah, Nothing extreme really Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 19, 2014 Share Posted October 19, 2014 A bit more progressive too it seems. Still is going to be a nasty 2-3 day stretch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 19, 2014 Share Posted October 19, 2014 A bit more progressive too it seems. Still is going to be a nasty 2-3 day stretch. That is a given from Tues-Thurs with the bulk of the precip falling on Weds/Weds night it seems ATT, But we look to be losing the sultan signal now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted October 19, 2014 Share Posted October 19, 2014 It's gonna be cloudy/drizzle for days in sw ct. Honestly, gonna feel like a typcial autumn in sne. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted October 19, 2014 Share Posted October 19, 2014 This "massive noreaster" is slipping away faster then the leaves falling off the trees. If climo holds true one should be looking for a GL, Gales of November type storm before a noreaster. Indian Summer has yet to occur, second or third week in Nov. until then time to tone back and sharpen the crystal ball forecasts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted October 19, 2014 Share Posted October 19, 2014 Thread cancel for anyone south of extreme northern MA per GFS. Big yawns all around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 19, 2014 Author Share Posted October 19, 2014 This "massive noreaster" is slipping away faster then the leaves falling off the trees. If climo holds true one should be looking for a GL, Gales of November type storm before a noreaster. Indian Summer has yet to occur, second or third week in Nov. until then time to tone back and sharpen the crystal ball forecasts.Its been Indian summer most of October Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted October 19, 2014 Share Posted October 19, 2014 Its been Indian summer most of October No. Indian Summer is defined as a warm spell after a killing frost. http://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Indian_s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted October 19, 2014 Share Posted October 19, 2014 Thread cancel for anyone south of extreme northern MA per GFS. Big yawns all around. It's not a big deal anywhere Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 19, 2014 Share Posted October 19, 2014 Still looking fairly wet for NNE on the GFS and GGEM... long duration easterly flow. That downslope area in NE VT may very well be smaller than that, as east flow will upslope again along the Green Spine, downslope on the west slopes, then back up on the east slopes of the Adirondacks. Of course the coarse GFS grid won't resolve those meso-scale differences, but you can see the Lyndon State College in VT downslope area near St Johnsbury. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 19, 2014 Share Posted October 19, 2014 Still manages 1.9" at BTV, but over like 3 days. Going to be a fairly ugly spell though... cold rain and some NE winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 19, 2014 Share Posted October 19, 2014 Truth is it never was a massive Noreaster,never saw in any run MSLP below 999 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted October 19, 2014 Share Posted October 19, 2014 Truth is it never was a massive Noreaster,never saw in any run MSLP below 999 It really is stupid to create a thread and mislead people like someone did. (but it does drop a few mb's lower than that). But there is no massive noreaster, there is no big wind, there is no big rain, there is no big anything in sne. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 19, 2014 Share Posted October 19, 2014 It really is stupid to create a thread and mislead people like someone did. (but it does drop a few mb's lower than that). But there is no massive noreaster, there is no big wind, there is no big rain, there is no big anything in sne. Well to be fair, some of those GFS and ECM runs had some fairly significant rains a couple days ago. It happens, things change. At least it kept the discussion of this little event all in one place. Plus its been boring, can't fault folks for having something to look at. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted October 19, 2014 Share Posted October 19, 2014 Well to be fair, some of those GFS and ECM runs had some fairly significant rains a couple days ago. It happens, things change. At least it kept the discussion of this little event all in one place. Plus its been boring, can't fault folks for having something to look at. I would argue NNE looks pretty good for solid rainfall across the board still even.. We'll have to see the afternoon euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted October 19, 2014 Share Posted October 19, 2014 I would argue NNE looks pretty good for solid rainfall across the board still even.. We'll have to see the afternoon euro. Euro qpf ranges from 1.5 in CT to 1.25 for most of MA and 2-4 for the northern 2/3 of Maine. It ain't hay iow. Catskill region of New York with 1.75-2.5 for a little mini southern jack. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted October 19, 2014 Share Posted October 19, 2014 rain breaks out in the afternoon tuesday. looks like heaviest is wednesday into early thurs then focus shifts off to the northeast and intensity wanes. really picks up over nova scotia and maine. off and on showers for the rest of us. 2" Long Island, SNE 1"-1.5", 2-3" Maine, jackpot is downeast maine showing close to 4/5". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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