MGorse Posted October 17, 2014 Share Posted October 17, 2014 I'm not sure that estimated wind in the METARs is all that accurate, it's hard to believe winds are only 25kts right now Do you know why the winds are being estimated? Instrumentation issue? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted October 17, 2014 Share Posted October 17, 2014 Do you know why the winds are being estimated? Instrumentation issue? I believe their anemometer has been broken since the last storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted October 17, 2014 Share Posted October 17, 2014 Might Fay have helped act as a trial run, so that Bermuda will be more prepared? Or will it have more of a negative impact with saturated soil, weakened infrastructure etc.? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MGorse Posted October 17, 2014 Share Posted October 17, 2014 I believe their anemometer has been broken since the last storm. That makes sense. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaculaWeather Posted October 17, 2014 Share Posted October 17, 2014 West side starting to look a little ragged Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaculaWeather Posted October 17, 2014 Share Posted October 17, 2014 Weather from a personal weather station with webcam http://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=ISMITHSP2 http://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=IDEVONSH5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthNJwx Posted October 17, 2014 Share Posted October 17, 2014 This page has AWOS observations from three stations in Bermuda: http://199.172.239.3/gemamet/index.jsp The login and password are both "guest." The stations update every 10 minutes. It looks like the most-exposed AWOS site of the three is Commissioner's Point, which currently has ESE winds at 39 kt gusting to 50 kt. No idea as to the height above ground level/sea level of these stations, but the data looks good from that one and the St. David's station. The other station - Fort Prospect - appears to be down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 17, 2014 Share Posted October 17, 2014 This page has AWOS observations from three stations in Bermuda: http://199.172.239.3/gemamet/index.jsp The login and password are both "guest." The stations update every 10 minutes. It looks like the most-exposed AWOS site of the three is Commissioner's Point, which currently has ESE winds at 39 kt gusting to 50 kt. No idea as to the height above ground level/sea level of these stations, but the data looks good from that one and the St. David's station. The other station - Fort Prospect - appears to be down. Comm point is 150 ft Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted October 17, 2014 Share Posted October 17, 2014 Direct link to webcam at Port Bermuda. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 17, 2014 Share Posted October 17, 2014 High tide 441 their time,not good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nflwxman Posted October 17, 2014 Share Posted October 17, 2014 Looks like solidly 40 mph sustained. What kind of winds are they expecting at ground level? 80ish? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted October 17, 2014 Share Posted October 17, 2014 geez, webcam looking rough and they are only in the outermost bands. will go downhill quickly now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
icebreaker5221 Posted October 17, 2014 Share Posted October 17, 2014 Latest TMI pass certainly consistent with CIMSS analysis of SSW'erly shear. This implies that Gonzalo will most likely be front-loaded for Bermuda. The amount of damage that occurs will likely be closely tied to how direct a hit the island takes from the partial inner-eyewall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eduardo Posted October 17, 2014 Share Posted October 17, 2014 Might Fay have helped act as a trial run, so that Bermuda will be more prepared? Or will it have more of a negative impact with saturated soil, weakened infrastructure etc.? I have traveled to Bermuda several times (was actually supposed to be on a vacation there now, but got called off for work-related reasons). It is probably one of the safest places to be during a storm: first-world infrastructure, all concrete houses, and mostly high elevations (it's basically a giant rock in the middle of the Atlantic). The reef that surrounds the island also blunts some of the the storm surge, although 10 feet will doubtless do some damage to coastal resorts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted October 17, 2014 Share Posted October 17, 2014 I have traveled to Bermuda several times (was actually supposed to be on a vacation there now, but got called off for work-related reasons). It is probably one of the safest places to be during a storm: first-world infrastructure, all concrete houses, and mostly high elevations (it's basically a giant rock in the middle of the Atlantic). The reef that surrounds the island also blunts some of the the storm surge, although 10 feet will doubtless do some damage to coastal resorts. I agree with Eduardo's post as I've been there. The homes have to be concrete and the roofs are rock solid. Evacuation from storm surge means mainly getting off the beaches/away from the immediate shore and barely going inland (driving up the hills), Still, there very likely will be a lot of damage if it stays strong and on the same track. Also, I think there is at least one main causeway between a couple of the flatter/smaller islands in eastern Bermuda near the airport that will likely be under a lot of water. People have died there in past storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted October 17, 2014 Share Posted October 17, 2014 Direct link to webcam at Port Bermuda. It's getting pretty wild now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted October 17, 2014 Share Posted October 17, 2014 It's getting pretty wild now. Gusts getting close to hurricane force, now up to 62 knots. I hope that webcam holds up. Looks like they could end up getting a big break since It sure looks like the center will either end up going right over the island or to the east unless there is a pretty big and sustained wobble to the west instead of that pretty much perfect forecast track for getting the strongest winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 17, 2014 Share Posted October 17, 2014 Irc at the wrong time, huge eye almost wrapped tight with rapidly cooling tops Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 17, 2014 Share Posted October 17, 2014 Gusts getting close to hurricane force, now up to 62 knots. I hope that webcam holds up. Looks like they could end up getting a big break since It sure looks like the center will either end up going right over the island or to the east unless there is a pretty big and substained wobble to the westLike Cabo not a break though, if that back side wraps up like its starting to Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted October 17, 2014 Share Posted October 17, 2014 Like Cabo not a break though, if that back side wraps up like its starting to Yeah they will still get hit hard no doubt about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sophisticated Skeptic Posted October 17, 2014 Share Posted October 17, 2014 any other webcam links besides the port bermuda one ? doesn't seem like any of the major networks feel like giving this even an ounce of live reporting. Just the port bermuda webcam alone would keep viewers stationed...ebola would have to take a back seat...for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 17, 2014 Share Posted October 17, 2014 They may in fact end up with front side then west eyewall with the eye just skimming as it goes by, pretty strong indications now that the IRC has led to some reintensification of the core. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsmwhrms Posted October 17, 2014 Share Posted October 17, 2014 Pressure holding. Dropsonde in eye 949 mb with 11 kt of wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted October 17, 2014 Share Posted October 17, 2014 Direct link to webcam at Port Bermuda. Thanks for this link. cam bouncing around a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VodkaLass Posted October 17, 2014 Share Posted October 17, 2014 any other webcam links besides the port bermuda one ? doesn't seem like any of the major networks feel like giving this even an ounce of live reporting. Just the port bermuda webcam alone would keep viewers stationed...ebola would have to take a back seat...for now. There's this one on UStream that I found http://www.ustream.tv/channel/hurricane-gonzalo---bermuda Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sophisticated Skeptic Posted October 17, 2014 Share Posted October 17, 2014 ^ thx vodka. house in the middle of the ocean... prolly not a good idea. odds on it being there 6 hours from now ? I say 50/50. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 17, 2014 Share Posted October 17, 2014 ^ thx vodka. house in the middle of the ocean... prolly not a good idea. odds on it being there 6 hours from now ? I say 50/50. Its the welcome center for cruise ships Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted October 17, 2014 Share Posted October 17, 2014 ^ thx vodka. house in the middle of the ocean... prolly not a good idea. odds on it being there 6 hours from now ? I say 50/50. They need storm walls. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sophisticated Skeptic Posted October 17, 2014 Share Posted October 17, 2014 Its the welcome center for cruise ships shows how much I know about Bermuda. :-/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VodkaLass Posted October 17, 2014 Share Posted October 17, 2014 ^ thx vodka. house in the middle of the ocean... prolly not a good idea. odds on it being there 6 hours from now ? I say 50/50. You're welcome I don't think it will be there in a few hours! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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