Cold Rain Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 Looks like a feeder band-type of feature has set up across eastern NC, with training showers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rosie Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 1.32" as of 7 am, no thunder or lightning but plenty of wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 Looks like things have started early this morning, earlier than predicted. Could be an interesting day. Had some peeks of sun this morning, but now it is totally overcast here at my office in north Raleigh. If it stays cloudy like this, maybe it will decrease the instability. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 Its kinda weak right now but its enough to be concerned about Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 US National Weather Service Raleigh NC 1 min · 9 AM Tuesday, October 14, 2014: Widespread showers and storms will accompany a cold front as it tracks into central North Carolina late tonight and Wednesday. An isolated storm could become severe, with a primary threat of damaging winds or an isolated tornado. The potential for severe weather will be greatest early Wednesday morning. Widespread rainfall amounts of an inch or more can be expected due to the slow movement of this system. Minor flooding will be possible, especially in urban areas such as Raleigh, Fayetteville and Rocky Mount. An isolated severe storm will remain possible along the cold front through early Wednesday afternoon, primarily in locations along and east of interstate 95. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 A couple 12z soundings. GSO: RNK: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 The bow has weakened considerably, but the eastward progression of the line looks to have slowed way down also! Looks like alot of rain and training for the next few hours, looks floody more than stormy, but I will gladly take it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WES1023 Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 I am in Easley, SC. Not much happening. A couple lightening bolts, moderate rainfall, and a couple wind gusts (25-35mph) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted October 14, 2014 Author Share Posted October 14, 2014 Just crossed the nc/sc line.. Gonna head towards the big peach up 85. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oconeexman Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 No tornado but some hefty wind and copious rain so far. Headed toward 1.5" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 HRRR showing some very strong and heavy returns over CLT in a little bit. Sun keeps peaking out over here and just looks really unstable outside. I've got a great view of downtown CLT so it should be interesting to watch throughout the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nchighcountrywx Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 Sustained winds of 55mph in the mountains since 600am with gusts to 66. This is putting the fall leaf color on the ground. Could not have come at a worse time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 Hot and humid here. Lol until burger said something didn't even cross my mind about hrrr. But looks a tad bit wetter than nam down this way. Shows numerous storms breaking out here in another 2-3 hours across the central FL peninsula with a squall line with the frontal passage later this evening. Really looking at the representation of HRRR over the last couple runs looks rather ragged from severe weather in the piedmont of GA,SC,NC,VA. Maybe the best severe threat 95 east in VA,NC,SC?! Could certainly use the rain... already drying out since the rains stop 2-3weeks ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nchighcountrywx Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 Event Cancelled for Mecklenburg County and Catawba County and Iredell County Tornado Watch valid from Oct 14 10:56 AM to 2:00 PM EDT Sent to SMS and E-Mail at Oct 14 10:56 AM EDT Radar Time: Oct 14 2014 11:00 AM EDT 000 WWUS62 KGSP 141456 WCNGSP WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION FOR WATCH 546 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 1056 AM EDT TUE OCT 14 2014 NCC003-025-035-059-071-097-109-119-159-179-SCC023-091-141600- /O.CAN.KGSP.TO.A.0546.000000T0000Z-141014T1800Z/ THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS CANCELLED TORNADO WATCH 546 FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS IN NORTH CAROLINA THIS CANCELS 10 COUNTIES IN PIEDMONT NORTH CAROLINA CABARRUS DAVIE GASTON IREDELL LINCOLN MECKLENBURG ROWAN UNION IN WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA ALEXANDER CATAWBA IN SOUTH CAROLINA THIS CANCELS 2 COUNTIES IN UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA CHESTER YORK THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...CHARLOTTE...CHESTER...CONCORD... GASTONIA...HICKORY...LINCOLNTON...MOCKSVILLE...MONROE... MOORESVILLE...NEWTON...ROCK HILL...SALISBURY... STATESVILLE AND TAYLORSVILLE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 So, is the threat not as bad now, or has the location shifted? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lj0109 Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 Tornado Watch trimmed back considerably here in SC as well: WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION FOR WATCH 546NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC1107 AM EDT TUE OCT 14 2014GAC073-181-189-SCC037-065-071-081-141800-/O.CON.KCAE.TO.A.0546.000000T0000Z-141014T1800Z/TORNADO WATCH 546 REMAINS VALID UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON FORTHE FOLLOWING AREASIN SOUTH CAROLINA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 4 COUNTIESIN CENTRAL SOUTH CAROLINAEDGEFIELD MCCORMICK NEWBERRYSALUDATHIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...EDGEFIELD...EVANS...JOHNSTON...LINCOLNTON...MARTINEZ...MCCORMICK...NEWBERRY...RIDGE SPRING...SALUDA AND THOMSON. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lj0109 Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 So, is the threat not as bad now, or has the location shifted? The severe threat for the Central/Eastern Carolina's is not over as the main line will not push through until late in the day/night. Just nothing to warrant a Tornado Watch in these areas for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 Let us know if you get any wind with that segment. It still looks bowed out, but the northern part of it looks to have weakened over the last few frames...just going by the reflectivity.DUD! 10 mph wind gust, mod rain, not even a rumble of thunder! The last 2 hours of steady rain has been welcomed!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jshetley Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 DUD! 10 mph wind gust, mod rain, not even a rumble of thunder! The last 2 hours of steady rain has been welcomed!! And we are not even going to get that here. Maybe not even enough to wet the ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bevo Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 And we are not even going to get that here. Maybe not even enough to wet the ground. By God - he's actually not exaggerating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lj0109 Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 New AFD out from CAE describing how they think the day will play out: AREA FORECAST DISCUSSIONNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC1131 AM EDT TUE OCT 14 2014 .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...FORWARD PROGRESSION OF THUNDERSTORMS HAS SLOWED THIS MORNING WITHTHE COLD FRONT CURRENTLY MOVING INTO WESTERN GA. WITH THE SLOWERPROGRESSION THE TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT IN GA FORCOLUMBIA...LINCOLN AND MCDUFFIE COUNTIES AND IN SC EDGEFIELD...MCCORMICK...SALUDA AND NEWBERRY WHILE ALL OTHER COUNTIES HAVE BEENREMOVED FROM THE WATCH. POTENTIAL FOR STRONG TO SEVERETHUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THIS EVENING REMAINS AND WILL CONTINUE TOCOORDINATE WITH SPC REGARDING POTENTIAL WATCHES THROUGH THE DAY.CURRENT VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS CLOUD TOP ENHANCEMENTACROSS CENTRAL GA AND UPSTATE SC WHICH WILL MOVE INTO THE FORECASTAREA THIS AFTERNOON. MAIN THREAT WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS...WITH ANISOLATED TORNADO AND LOCALIZED HEAVY RAIN CAUSING FLOODING.TEMPERATURES ARE SLIGHTLY WARMER THAN ORIGINALLY EXPECTED WITHCURRENT READINGS IN THE UPPER 70S TO AROUND 80 SO HAVE INCREASEDAFTERNOON HIGHS INTO THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 80S. .SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...MODELS HAVE BEEN A LITTLE SLOW WITH THE MOVEMENT OF THE CURRENTACTIVITY...BUT FOR THE MOST PART THE MAIN AREA OF SHOWERS ANDTHUNDERSTORMS SHOULD BE MOVING THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA EARLYTHIS EVENING...PROBABLY ALONG A PREFRONTAL TROUGH. INSTABILITYSHOULD REMAIN MARGINAL THROUGH THE EVENING...BUT THE SHEAR ACROSSTHE REGION WILL BE STRONG. STRONG LOW-LEVEL JET OF 35 TO 40 KNOTSWILL BE MOVING OVER THE FORECAST AREA...AND THIS WILL BE COUPLEDWITH AN EVEN STRONGER MID AND UPPER LEVEL JET. MUCH OF THE ENERGYWILL BE PARALLEL TO THE MAIN UPPER FLOW...AND WHEN YOU ADD IN PWVALUES AROUND 2 INCHES THIS EVENING...WE CAN EXPECT PERIODS OFHEAVY RAINFALL. BULK OF THE ACTIVITY THIS EVENING WILL BE MOVINGTHROUGH BETWEEN 00Z-05Z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 And we are not even going to get that here. Maybe not even enough to wet the ground. I think you're going to get something here. Patience is a virtue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 Not too confident CAE will see too much other than a bit of rain and wind. Guess we'll see. The tor watch is down into FL right now and has been trimmed back quite a bit around these parts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 Hard to tell whether this will be worth my heading south or not. I don't want to deal with Charlotte rush hour while chasing, so my plan is to go south on I74 toward Rockingham and then let the radar determine my next move. However, so far at least, I see more of a general rain than major storminess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 Under a severe thunderstorm watch. I believe this is the first severe thunderstorm watch of the entire outbreak. Every other watch was a tornado watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 I just read the CAE forecast discussion a bit closer.. and it sounds to me like their update... about SPC/CAE or whatever removing the TOR watch is because the line has slowed down. It may become reissued with a different time considering it was only until 2PM earlier. FWIW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kory Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 The airmass ahead of the main rain in Eastern GA, and South/North Carolina will slowly destabilize throughout the day. This will not be the widespread damaging wind event or isolated tornado event of yesterday. But as the atmosphere ahead of the main line destabilizes, the main part of the low level jet will begin to pull more north as the whole system itself begins to take off NE. Don't rule out some isolated strong winds...or perhaps a very brief spin up, but it's going to be very isolated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kory Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 The storms over South Georgia and Florida appears it's taking over as the main severe part. Appears that's where the best dynamics are for now. The best dynamics will pull north throughout the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sparklecity Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 About to get into some heavy echos. Let's see if we can get some good gusts. Earlier under light echos it was very breezy for about 5 minutes. Now it's completely calm again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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