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North Indian Ocean Cyclone Season 2014


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The floater loop pretty clearly shows this system organizing now.  It already appears to have a nice circulation.  The GFS has been showing this system getting pretty strong for several+ runs, while the Euro was less bullish.  However, today's 12z Euro jumped onto the strong-cyclone bandwagon.  The northeastern Indian coast appears to be the target.  This system plus Vongfong should make for an interesting next week.

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TC HudHud really looks to be cranking up in the bay of Bengal. Headed straight to a city of 2 million with the only natural port in India. Forecast intensity 110kts. Could be pretty bad.

 

With the upper ridge centered north of the storm there is still some ene shear undercutting the outflow with some dry air, but the storm was finally able to wrap the convection around the north side of the center.  The visible loop shows a well-organized core that should be able to rev up pretty good now.

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