AlaskaETC Posted October 29, 2014 Share Posted October 29, 2014 he's a formerly banned poster. that's not allowed, per the rules. What's not allowed? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted October 29, 2014 Share Posted October 29, 2014 I just hope people here are more relaxed compared to last winter. A lot of people were on the edge. Just go with the flow and drink some tea. You're relatively new here so I'll just say that someone will always complain even if they are getting the best wx ever in the history of earth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted October 29, 2014 Share Posted October 29, 2014 You're relatively new here so I'll just say that someone will always complain even if they are getting the best wx ever in the history of earth I can't wait for lots of moderation policy debates in storm threads. Always my totz favz. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted October 29, 2014 Share Posted October 29, 2014 just throwing this into the discussion Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted October 29, 2014 Share Posted October 29, 2014 just throwing this into the discussion Looks better. Get rid of the GOA trough and retrograding it back to the Aleutians. November can torch up until Thanksgiving for all I care. I won't like it, but I can deal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted October 29, 2014 Share Posted October 29, 2014 Looks better. Get rid of the GOA trough and retrograding it back to the Aleutians. November can torch up until Thanksgiving for all I care. I won't like it, but I can deal. Luckily, I'll be in Fairbanks, AK for Thanksgiving. No torch for me (or I think?) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AvantHiatus Posted October 29, 2014 Share Posted October 29, 2014 Looks better. Get rid of the GOA trough and retrograding it back to the Aleutians. November can torch up until Thanksgiving for all I care. I won't like it, but I can deal. It has traditionally been a death sentence for areas south of 40N in every year except 09-10. Some contributors argue for a rare average winter instead of the usual feast or famine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted October 29, 2014 Share Posted October 29, 2014 It has traditionally been a death sentence for areas south of 40N in every year except 09-10. Some contributors argue for a rare average winter instead of the usual feast or famine. What has? Torch November or GOA trough or Aleutians low? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted October 29, 2014 Share Posted October 29, 2014 can I put in a formal request for BB/SoC to please stop sending me messages already? kthanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MacChump Posted October 29, 2014 Share Posted October 29, 2014 can I put in a formal request for BB/SoC to please stop sending me messages already? kthanks. it'll cost you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted October 29, 2014 Share Posted October 29, 2014 it'll cost you not part of the Amwx model package? gip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary Posted October 29, 2014 Share Posted October 29, 2014 a conservative who posted in AP....it was/is inevitable Nope, wrong again. And he wasn't conservative... just stupid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StudentOfClimatology Posted October 29, 2014 Share Posted October 29, 2014 Sure thing. I just wanted to get this over with, as the upfront unraveling was pretty much inevitable. I'm not here to cause trouble or post BS wind obs every other hour. I initially made the new account (after coordinating with admin) because the AmWx model was paywalled. I openly explained that I was a banned member. I requested to have my posting privaleges removed so I wouldn't get lured back into anything, but after I was told to make a new account, the temptation to post got the best of me. It's been a long several years. Back in the earlier years I was going through serious drug addiction issues. The stuff about the weights. winds, etc were fabricated stories an attempt for attention, in order to supplement my falling grades and spiraling depression. Pretty Pathetic, and embarrassing to admit. Probably will be a laughing stock for awhile as a result, but heh, I earned it. So I totally understand my place here. In July of 2012 I decided to seek help at Medstar National Rehabilitation Hospital, and over a period of 18 months was able to right myself, somewhat at least (I hope). I really hope that one day, I'll redeem myself from the errors I made in my teenage years. My love for the weather and climate is truly what kept me going, even through the miserable 2011-2013 winters. That's the only reason I'm back, and I hope to have a full degree shortly. All the best, to all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted October 29, 2014 Share Posted October 29, 2014 Sure thing. I just wanted to get this over with, as the upfront unraveling was pretty much inevitable. I'm not here to cause trouble or post BS wind obs every other hour. I initially made the new account (after coordinating with admin) because the AmWx model was paywalled. I openly explained that I was a banned member. I requested to have my posting privaleges removed so I wouldn't get lured back into anything, but after I was told to make a new account, the temptation to post got the best of me. It's been a long several years. Back in the earlier years I was going through serious drug addiction issues. The stuff about the weights. winds, etc were fabricated stories an attempt for attention, in order to supplement my falling grades and spiraling depression. Pretty Pathetic, and embarrassing to admit. Probably will be a laughing stock for awhile as a result, but heh, I earned it. So I totally understand my place here. In July of 2012 I decided to seek help at Medstar National Rehabilitation Hospital, and over a period of 18 months was able to right myself, somewhat at least (I hope). I really hope that one day, I'll somehow redeem myself from the errors I made in my teenage years. My love for the weather and climate is truly what kept me going, even through the miserable 2011-2013 winters. That's the only reason I'm back, and I hope to have a full degree shortly. All the best, to all. We all make mistakes I suppose. Sorry to here about your drug issues, glad to hear things are looking better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted October 29, 2014 Share Posted October 29, 2014 Sure thing. I just wanted to get this over with, as the upfront unraveling was pretty much inevitable. I'm not here to cause trouble or post BS wind obs every other hour. I initially made the new account (after coordinating with admin) because the AmWx model was paywalled. I openly explained that I was a banned member. I requested to have my posting privaleges removed so I wouldn't get lured back into anything, but after I was told to make a new account, the temptation to post got the best of me. It's been a long several years. Back in the earlier years I was going through serious drug addiction issues. The stuff about the weights. winds, etc were fabricated stories an attempt for attention, in order to supplement my falling grades and spiraling depression. Pretty Pathetic, and embarrassing to admit. Probably will be a laughing stock for awhile as a result, but heh, I earned it. So I totally understand my place here. In July of 2012 I decided to seek help at Medstar National Rehabilitation Hospital, and over a period of 18 months was able to right myself, somewhat at least (I hope). I really hope that one day, I'll redeem myself from the errors I made in my teenage years. My love for the weather and climate is truly what kept me going, even through the miserable 2011-2013 winters. That's the only reason I'm back, and I hope to have a full degree shortly. All the best, to all. I am glad to hear that the drug issues are behind you. It takes courage to seek help and i am happy that you did. This is America and everyone deserves a second chance. So i for one welcome you, but i will miss those grill cover flying posts . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted October 29, 2014 Author Share Posted October 29, 2014 Now that's a memorable re-entry. Peace, BB. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted October 29, 2014 Share Posted October 29, 2014 Nice humble and genuine post BB. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted October 29, 2014 Share Posted October 29, 2014 Welcome back, BB, and respect for your honesty and openness. I'm actually still bummed that your forecast for, was it March '13, never panned out.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StudentOfClimatology Posted October 29, 2014 Share Posted October 29, 2014 Welcome back, BB, and respect for your honesty and openness. I'm actually still bummed that your forecast for, was it March '13, never panned out.... Thanks everyone, I'm very lucky to have been given this opportunity and will make the most of it. Yeah, that forecast was a naive disaster. I've toyed with a bunch of analoging techniques since then, and if I've learned anything it's that the older analogs can be sketchy. Unfortunately I've only had limited success so far, but I got my best results when I weighted ENSO analogs by QBO and August to November solar forcing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hosj III Posted October 30, 2014 Share Posted October 30, 2014 Heading up to Shenandoah on Saturday. Provided we don't get QPF whiffed I imagine the top of Hawksbill (4k feet) should see a couple inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted October 30, 2014 Share Posted October 30, 2014 Sure thing. I just wanted to get this over with, as the upfront unraveling was pretty much inevitable. I'm not here to cause trouble or post BS wind obs every other hour. I initially made the new account (after coordinating with admin) because the AmWx model was paywalled. I openly explained that I was a banned member. I requested to have my posting privaleges removed so I wouldn't get lured back into anything, but after I was told to make a new account, the temptation to post got the best of me. It's been a long several years. Back in the earlier years I was going through serious drug addiction issues. The stuff about the weights. winds, etc were fabricated stories an attempt for attention, in order to supplement my falling grades and spiraling depression. Pretty Pathetic, and embarrassing to admit. Probably will be a laughing stock for awhile as a result, but heh, I earned it. So I totally understand my place here. In July of 2012 I decided to seek help at Medstar National Rehabilitation Hospital, and over a period of 18 months was able to right myself, somewhat at least (I hope). I really hope that one day, I'll redeem myself from the errors I made in my teenage years. My love for the weather and climate is truly what kept me going, even through the miserable 2011-2013 winters. That's the only reason I'm back, and I hope to have a full degree shortly. All the best, to all. i hope rehab helped you with your back problems!https://www.medstarhealth.org/nrh/Pages/Services-and-Locations/MedStar-National-Rehabilitation-Services.aspx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted October 30, 2014 Share Posted October 30, 2014 Hmmm......by the time you get to Hawksbill....assuming you enter the park via the Front Royal entrance......you could be most of the way to Davis by then. Go there instead. Especially considering that Hawksbill is at about mile marker 45 on a road with a speed limit of 35. It can be painfully slow going up there on the weekend. Heading up to Shenandoah on Saturday. Provided we don't get QPF whiffed I imagine the top of Hawksbill (4k feet) should see a couple inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted October 30, 2014 Share Posted October 30, 2014 i hope rehab helped you with your back problems! https://www.medstarhealth.org/nrh/Pages/Services-and-Locations/MedStar-National-Rehabilitation-Services.aspx Where's drug rehab on there? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted October 30, 2014 Share Posted October 30, 2014 Today I sued some of the old American/easternwx snow presentation in a lecture to a synoptics class at U of MD. It was fun as the students were a good group. I was with DTK's synoptic metoerology class. On a different note. BB welcome back. Second chances are good. Most of us make mistakes somewhere along the line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StudentOfClimatology Posted October 30, 2014 Share Posted October 30, 2014 Thanks. Just to clear up any confusion, I initially went to Medstar for nutritional counseling during the withdrawal process as my weight and physical health were becoming problems https://www.medstarhealth.org/nrh/Pages/Services-and-Locations/Outpatient-Services/Nutrition-Counseling-.aspx I was referred to the Kolmac Clinic for further guidance during the withdrawal process: http://www.kolmac.com Anyway, I look forward to hopefully being a positive contributor here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted October 30, 2014 Share Posted October 30, 2014 Thanks. Just to clear up any confusion, I initially went to Medstar for nutritional counseling during the withdrawal process as my weight and physical health were becoming problems https://www.medstarhealth.org/nrh/Pages/Services-and-Locations/Outpatient-Services/Nutrition-Counseling-.aspx I was referred to the Kolmac Clinic for further guidance during the withdrawal process: http://www.kolmac.com Anyway, I look forward to hopefully being a positive contributor here. Best of luck. Hope everything works out for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted October 30, 2014 Share Posted October 30, 2014 Meh, lying about who you are after being banned isn't the best way to start a "second chance". But that's just me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StudentOfClimatology Posted October 30, 2014 Share Posted October 30, 2014 I'm being as upfront and honest as possible. If you have any questions, let me know. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hosj III Posted October 31, 2014 Share Posted October 31, 2014 http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/cras/cras45_NA/12/index_pcp_l_loop.html CRAS is the number one weenie model. Even when the SREFs, DGEX and EPS suck, you can count on the cras. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted October 31, 2014 Share Posted October 31, 2014 I accidentally ate all of my Halloween candy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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