snowfan Posted October 8, 2014 Share Posted October 8, 2014 12Z NAM seems to like the idea of holding off on the bulk of the rain Friday until very late, if not the wee hours of Saturday. At midnight, there's a batch moving in and what had fallen in the previous 6 hours was fairly light.....maybe .1" in the metro areas. Of course, that'll change 20 times before then, but we could get it in if this holds. And after that the bulk of the precip heads more NNE across PA and into the NE. Thru 84h, the NAM keeps both Baltimore and DC at .5" or less. Sign me up for that. GFS keeps the axis of heaviest precip further south......sandwiched in between the PA turnpike and I-70. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted October 8, 2014 Share Posted October 8, 2014 They'll never postpone a playoff, I found out- they'll just delay it for hours and hours. I was at ALDS #1 in 2012 when we had a record lowest max and rain all day... they delayed it for hours until it was "dry" enough to play. Terrible weather for a game and it still pisses me off that they didn't just postpone it to another day. I was at that game! Didn't thaw out until about 2 days later. Meteorologically though, I think that's a different case than what Friday looks like. It might start raining in the evening and keep raining steadily (although probably never pouring) until early Saturday morning. Can't really delay that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted October 8, 2014 Share Posted October 8, 2014 Was there as well and it was kinda miserable. And then the 9th inning happened and my mood was even worse...... I was at that game! Didn't thaw out until about 2 days later. Meteorologically though, I think that's a different case than what Friday looks like. It might start raining in the evening and keep raining steadily (although probably never pouring) until early Saturday morning. Can't really delay that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted October 8, 2014 Share Posted October 8, 2014 1.44 inches of rain here yesterday with the four different rounds of showers and thundershowers. Two day total of 2.21. Really nice day out there now with the sun and breeze. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted October 8, 2014 Share Posted October 8, 2014 High end EF1 tornado confirmed in Blacksburg's CWA from last night's storm. Weakened before it reached me, but still got some gusty winds and heavy rain from the same cell that produced it. Only the second known tornado to touch down in Mercer County since 1950. https://nwschat.weather.gov/p.php?pid=201410081930-KRNK-NOUS41-PNSRNK Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted October 8, 2014 Share Posted October 8, 2014 High end EF1 tornado confirmed in Blacksburg's CWA from last night's storm. Weakened before it reached me, but still got some gusty winds and heavy rain from the same cell that produced it. Only the second known tornado to touch down in Mercer County since 1950. https://nwschat.weather.gov/p.php?pid=201410081930-KRNK-NOUS41-PNSRNK Saw a Facebook video of a pretty stout tornado somewhere in Ky yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted October 8, 2014 Share Posted October 8, 2014 the 18Z NAM continued to push the heaviest of the Friday/Sat precip to the north. Looks like another round with the front at the beginning of the week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted October 8, 2014 Share Posted October 8, 2014 Today was nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted October 8, 2014 Share Posted October 8, 2014 GFS moved in the general direction of the NAM for Friday. Most precip stays north of the M/D line. Baltimore north is at about .5" and then close to an inch at the border and further north. GFS wants to drop an inch or so with the front early in the week. Those things seem to never drop as much as advertised unless its a crawler. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted October 8, 2014 Share Posted October 8, 2014 I think something's wrong with the Ocean City Airport's thermometer. It's reading 61F, while Wallops Island to the south is 69F, Bethany Beach to the north is 70F, and Salisbury to the west is 68F. Unless it radiates like there's no tomorrow, I think it's broken. Also, while I'm at it, the Fort Meade temp is completely inaccurate. For example, Monday's low at BWI was 42, while Monday's low at Fort Meade was 36. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted October 8, 2014 Share Posted October 8, 2014 Euro gets us to 80+ Mon-Wed next week. #torch #firstfreezefail Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted October 9, 2014 Share Posted October 9, 2014 GFS moved in the general direction of the NAM for Friday. Most precip stays north of the M/D line. Baltimore north is at about .5" and then close to an inch at the border and further north. GFS wants to drop an inch or so with the front early in the week. Those things seem to never drop as much as advertised unless its a crawler. pretend the 10C line is the 0C line and that system for Friday looks like your typical 40N overrunning snow event during the winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AdamHLG Posted October 9, 2014 Share Posted October 9, 2014 Given the importance of the ALCS and a potential rain delay or game cancellation, can this Friday system get its own thread? Just a thought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted October 9, 2014 Share Posted October 9, 2014 0z NAM sticking with the super sharp cut off in heavy precip totals. DC and Bmore don't get more than .3-.4 while n and w gets an inch plus. Rain moves out around Dawn Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AdamHLG Posted October 9, 2014 Share Posted October 9, 2014 But when does it move in? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted October 9, 2014 Share Posted October 9, 2014 But when does it move in? Looked early by my quick glance at NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted October 9, 2014 Share Posted October 9, 2014 Anyone got thoughts for Saturday the 18th? Double outdoor parties going on! May be a EURO vs GFS forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted October 9, 2014 Share Posted October 9, 2014 And the NAM caves to the soaker idea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted October 9, 2014 Share Posted October 9, 2014 Given the importance of the ALCS and a potential rain delay or game cancellation, can this Friday system get its own thread? Just a thought. Unless it is a normal fall rain event, I don't see why we can't have threads for some of the bigger storms we get. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted October 9, 2014 Share Posted October 9, 2014 Euro gets us to 80+ Mon-Wed next week. #torch #firstfreezefail dammit -- i just packed away all my summer clothes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted October 9, 2014 Share Posted October 9, 2014 Unless it is a normal fall rain event, I don't see why we can't have threads for some of the bigger storms we get. I'm ok with a separate thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted October 9, 2014 Share Posted October 9, 2014 EURO still keeps the idea of some action around Oct. 15th...looks like it might be our yearly fall soaker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted October 9, 2014 Share Posted October 9, 2014 October rain event separate thread? Do it! Yes!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted October 9, 2014 Share Posted October 9, 2014 I placed a temp sensor about a mile up the road from my house yesterday, trying to understand regional temperatures a little better, and the results were pretty shocking. The sensor read 42.5F for the low, while my station on the water recorded 48F. Crazy stuff... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted October 9, 2014 Share Posted October 9, 2014 I placed a temp sensor about a mile up the road from my house yesterday, trying to understand regional temperatures a little better, and the results were pretty shocking. The sensor read 42.5F for the low, while my station on the water recorded 48F. Crazy stuff... Microclimates are really interesting. On a calm clear night with good radiational cooling I can be 10 degrees higher than some of the low spots within a mile or two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted October 9, 2014 Share Posted October 9, 2014 58F inland already. 64F on the water. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sparky Posted October 10, 2014 Share Posted October 10, 2014 55 for the high today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted October 10, 2014 Share Posted October 10, 2014 55 for the high today. 61 here in the lowlands. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted October 11, 2014 Share Posted October 11, 2014 61 here in the lowlands. Same here. Midnight high of 61.4F. High during the day got to 61.3 I believe. 57.6F now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NinjaWarrior2 Posted October 11, 2014 Share Posted October 11, 2014 The Midweek Cold Front has definitely slowed down on the models. 12z GFS/18z NAM Wednesday Afternoon/Evening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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