dailylurker Posted October 1, 2014 Share Posted October 1, 2014 52 or 53". I'd have to dig up the thread from last winter to be exact. I do know that I got about 12" less than Winchester (6 miles N), and similarly less than Front Royal (10 miles SE). Try living near Annapolis. We get 5" of mush, while 30 miles NW gets 15" of powder. Or we just get rain lol. I'll take your climate any day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted October 1, 2014 Share Posted October 1, 2014 I know topography makes a huge difference in CA, but still--- I can't recall ever seeing this anywhere. There is a Heat Advisory and a Frost Advisory (for the valleys) separated by only one county right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted October 1, 2014 Share Posted October 1, 2014 I know topography makes a huge difference in CA, but still--- I can't recall ever seeing this anywhere. There is a Heat Advisory and a Frost Advisory (for the valleys) separated by only one county right now. That is interesting. Hayfork...low 37, high 87. Valley location plus clear skies and 10% humidity. Reminds me a bit of Yellowstone when I was there a few years ago in late July. Highs in the mid 90s, lows in the 40s. Super low dewpoints. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted October 2, 2014 Share Posted October 2, 2014 As a region we do better w/ temps (and ratio and p-type) due to our interior location and modest elevation. Moisture...nasomuch. My problem is more imby than a region problem. It's always drier in the town of Stephens City... for some reason. I know the valley gets 'rain-shadowed' from both directions due to the mountains east and west, but why it is SO much more in your general area I have no idea. That is an arid September you had.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StudentOfClimatology Posted October 2, 2014 Share Posted October 2, 2014 Pretty significant -AO progged, by October standards at least: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StudentOfClimatology Posted October 2, 2014 Share Posted October 2, 2014 Nice morning. A light fog/haze, 57.5/57. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted October 2, 2014 Share Posted October 2, 2014 I know the valley gets 'rain-shadowed' from both directions due to the mountains east and west, but why it is SO much more in your general area I have no idea. That is an arid September you had.... Yeah, the valley is 'rain shadowed' as a whole, but other parts of the valley are still wetter than me. Doesn't seem to be any geographic differences between me, Winchester, Martinsburg.....elevation similar, width of the valley fairly similar, etc. Yet, they are usually wetter, especially in convective-type events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted October 2, 2014 Share Posted October 2, 2014 59F and humid. Kinda gross. Can't wait for Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted October 2, 2014 Share Posted October 2, 2014 Low of 58. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted October 2, 2014 Author Share Posted October 2, 2014 Nice cool shot imminent this weekend and early next week. Model war down the line. Euro ens set on modest ridging returning with lowest heights out West. Gefs wants to keep the trough axis centered in the middle and eastern conus with much cooler temps compared to the euro. Will be interesting to see who wins. Both have been set in their ideas for 2-3 days. GEFS is moving towards the euro ens d9-15. Lowest heights in the center and western part of the conus and we're going to be AOB on temps. Not heat or anything. Oct may end up AN on the means for temps but nothing crazy is my wag. Long ways to go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted October 2, 2014 Share Posted October 2, 2014 GEFS is moving towards the euro ens d9-15. Lowest heights in the center and western part of the conus and we're going to be AOB on temps. Not heat or anything. Oct may end up AN on the means for temps but nothing crazy is my wag. Long ways to go. GEFS is retrograding the big western ridge out towards Alaska, hence putting the trough axis farther west as well. I think frost is a legit possibility in some colder spots Sunday morning if the winds die down enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted October 2, 2014 Author Share Posted October 2, 2014 GEFS is retrograding the big western ridge out towards Alaska, hence putting the trough axis farther west as well. I think frost is a legit possibility in some colder spots Sunday morning if the winds die down enough. Yea, frost is almost likely nearby on sunday or even Monday night if the conditions are right. Euro ens have the same retrograding pattern. I've noticed that ensembles get too smooth with that kind of progression unlike typical progressive patterns. It will likely change a good bit as we approach medium range. Could get a bit stormy on the west coast if things go down like that. Hopefully central and southern CA can get some rain. Man they need it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted October 2, 2014 Share Posted October 2, 2014 Forecast high of 72F w/ partly sunny skies. Hardly a cloud in the sky and currently 78F. Humid and very uncomfortable in the sun. Terrible day for October. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted October 2, 2014 Share Posted October 2, 2014 I'd take today every day thru April. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted October 2, 2014 Share Posted October 2, 2014 I'd take today every day thru April. you still post here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted October 2, 2014 Share Posted October 2, 2014 you still post here? It's weenie influx season. You're back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted October 2, 2014 Share Posted October 2, 2014 It's weenie influx season. You're back. yea..october 1st is when i start my march back towards Mecca Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted October 2, 2014 Share Posted October 2, 2014 yea..october 1st is when i start my march back towards Mecca you know, if you take a direct route, you'll be leaving Mecca by the 1st of November, sooooo..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted October 2, 2014 Share Posted October 2, 2014 Today is certainly better than the windy hell that is April. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted October 2, 2014 Share Posted October 2, 2014 Forecast high of 72F w/ partly sunny skies. Hardly a cloud in the sky and currently 78F. Humid and very uncomfortable in the sun. Terrible day for October. I hope you have a good winter....afraid you might snap soon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted October 3, 2014 Share Posted October 3, 2014 I hope you have a good winter....afraid you might snap soon I'm hanging on by a thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted October 3, 2014 Share Posted October 3, 2014 I'm thinking frost in N. Carroll County (freeze on 4km NAM), N. Baltimore County, Frederick County, N. Montgomery County, extreme NW Howard County, and maybe a frost in extreme NW Harford County. Predictions: DCA: 48F BWI: 41F IAD: 38F EDIT: I forgot... This is for Sunday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted October 3, 2014 Share Posted October 3, 2014 pre-frontal rain shield is just falling apart as it heads east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jonjon Posted October 3, 2014 Share Posted October 3, 2014 Maybe some flakes tomorrow? Leaves falling quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted October 3, 2014 Share Posted October 3, 2014 Temps falling through the 50s late afternoon/evening tomorrow is going to be fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted October 3, 2014 Share Posted October 3, 2014 Best of whatever rain remains is over me right now according to radar. A couple sprinkles which can't even come close to wetting the ground. Another 0.00" event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NinjaWarrior2 Posted October 3, 2014 Share Posted October 3, 2014 GFS has been trying to put out a freak storm in the LR lately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted October 4, 2014 Share Posted October 4, 2014 Some breezy showers moving in. Can't wait for some nice fall weather. The last couple days were kinda nasty. This weekend looks awesome! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted October 4, 2014 Share Posted October 4, 2014 .05". Overperformer. October is rockin'. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted October 4, 2014 Share Posted October 4, 2014 Started raining at about 7:30. Up to .81 in.so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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