mattie g Posted October 13, 2014 Share Posted October 13, 2014 I actually like it. Good day to stay inside and be productive and/or sleep Doesn't work so easily when you have a rambunctious 21-month-old! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted October 13, 2014 Share Posted October 13, 2014 Damn...I haven't been paying attention to recent forecasts and wasn't exprcting to see a nasty, April-looking radar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 Pea soup outside. Probably about 1/4mi vis right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StudentOfClimatology Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 Was about to say..driving home was certainly an adventure. No dense fog advisory? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 Impressive fog. The reduction in vis gets me thinking ahead to snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 GFS and NAM kinda have the same idea for the rain midweek. Heaviest of the precip is in the mountains or along 81 and then jumps to the coast. The immediate metro areas get about an inch...give or take a few tenths. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 It couldn't be more gross outside in October than it is today. Mid 60s for lows? Forecast of cloudy and 77F today. There is not a cloud in the sky out here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 It couldn't be more gross outside in October than it is today. Mid 60s for lows? Forecast of cloudy and 77F today. There is not a cloud in the sky out here. Sure it could. It could be 85 and sunny. Really windy this morning and already 70 degress. Some breaks of blue skies in between the lower clouds that are zipping by to the NW. Clouds higher up are moving in a different direction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 It couldn't be more gross outside in October than it is today. Mid 60s for lows? Forecast of cloudy and 77F today. There is not a cloud in the sky out here. Was 64 when I went to bed last night. Feeding the kid at 1:30am it was 67. That felt a little odd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 My kind of February weather Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 Wwwhhhhaaaaa??? Tony Pann @TonyPannWBAL 2m2 minutes ago Some heavy rain is possible in MD on Wed, but some models are hinting at a mix of rain and snow for the Baltimore Area by Wed next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 Was 64 when I went to bed last night. Feeding the kid at 1:30am it was 67. That felt a little odd. You meant the temp and not the kid I hope! LOL! Just hit me funny! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted October 14, 2014 Author Share Posted October 14, 2014 Euro weeklies showing generally warm for the first half of Nov. Lowest heights remain out west and the GOA and a tendency for ridging in the eastern half of the conus. I had a feeling back in early Sept that patterns would favor warmer on the means for a while. First freeze looks to go after climo unless we get a sneaky anomalous cold shot. Could easily happen behind a strong lp in late Oct so it's anyone's guess really. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 Fogggggy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted October 14, 2014 Author Share Posted October 14, 2014 Wwwhhhhaaaaa??? Tony Pann @TonyPannWBAL 2m2 minutes ago Some heavy rain is possible in MD on Wed, but some models are hinting at a mix of rain and snow for the Baltimore Area by Wed next week. There a signal for a decent coast next week. Euro ensembles have a decent cluster of sub 1k lows off the coast in d7-9 range. Ens mean 850's actually below zero in parts of MD. I could see some snow out on the ridges in w md if everything comes together. Down here in the lowlands? nah...but not completely impossible... Pattern is looks pretty good for a storm. Sharp ridge/trough placement with short wavelengths. Pretty far out. Could be fun to track if the signal gets stronger. Tenman would not be happy though... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 There a signal for a decent coast next week. Euro ensembles have a decent cluster of sub 1k lows off the coast in d7-9 range. Ens mean 850's actually below zero in parts of MD. I could see some snow out on the ridges in w md if everything comes together. Down here in the lowlands? nah...but not completely impossible... Pattern is looks pretty good for a storm. Sharp ridge/trough placement with short wavelengths. Pretty far out. Could be fun to track if the signal gets stronger. Tenman would not be happy though... Yeah, I think the coastal idea looks fine, but it takes something really extreme (which isn't what it looks like) to expect RASN in Baltimore in mid-October. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted October 14, 2014 Author Share Posted October 14, 2014 Yeah, I think the coastal idea looks fine, but it takes something really extreme (which isn't what it looks like) to expect RASN in Baltimore in mid-October. No doubt. And it's far from an extreme setup. Especially temp wise. Could be fun if we get a coastal track 850 and a nice closed ull pass. Dynamic storms are always interesting regardless of ptype. Further north in upstate ny and vt may get their first dose. Globals look very similar right now. This is the 6z GEFS. Euro looks basically the same. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 That central Canadian mega-ridge is a total road block to getting cold air in here that would be enough for even consider RASN in the lowlands. At higher elevations and higher latitudes, you obviously don't need anomalies as great as we do down here at 300ft AGL in mid-October. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted October 14, 2014 Author Share Posted October 14, 2014 That central Canadian mega-ridge is a total road block to getting cold air in here that would be enough for even consider RASN in the lowlands. At higher elevations and higher latitudes, you obviously don't need anomalies as great as we do down here at 300ft AGL in mid-October. I'm surprised Tony Pann made that tweet. There's really no support anywhere and the pattern doesn't even hint at the possibility. I checked the flawed eps member output and even with that only 3 members show snow in Garrett Co. I'm rooting for a coastal just so we have something interesting to discuss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sparky Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 It got warmer overnight. Got rid of the fog. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 Have some breaking in the clouds with the sun peaking through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 feels amazing outside. that is all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 Torchy torch outside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 Wwwhhhhaaaaa??? Tony Pann @TonyPannWBAL 2m2 minutes ago Some heavy rain is possible in MD on Wed, but some models are hinting at a mix of rain and snow for the Baltimore Area by Wed next week. agree, that's a stretch ratings week? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 Feels very TPWy out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 Looks like Eazy E out there in Stephens City is gonna get more rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 78 with a few clouds is fantastic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 Wwwhhhhaaaaa??? Tony Pann @TonyPannWBAL 2m2 minutes ago Some heavy rain is possible in MD on Wed, but some models are hinting at a mix of rain and snow for the Baltimore Area by Wed next week. Tony Pann is usually a very conservative met, surprised he would say that. Unless there is something he sees that we all don't (he's usually not a model hugger either). Also its too hot out. I liked the first weekend of this month much better. 60-75 is ideal, pushing 80 is not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted October 14, 2014 Share Posted October 14, 2014 Looks like Eazy E out there in Stephens City is gonna get more rain Well, we haven't gotten any yet. Still sitting on the .02" that fell in the pre-dawn hours. Plenty windy though.... leaves are taking a beating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted October 15, 2014 Share Posted October 15, 2014 If the GFS is right, we are going to go pretty much unscathed with this rain. Very large area over the metro areas with < .50" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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