Disc Posted October 12, 2014 Share Posted October 12, 2014 53 and rain.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted October 12, 2014 Share Posted October 12, 2014 Nice day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted October 12, 2014 Share Posted October 12, 2014 Wpc thinks we will get very wet. We could use a good soaking rain. Brush fires have been the majority of our fire calls the past two weeks and the 0.2" - 0.4" of rain hasn't done much to damped things. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThePhotoGuy Posted October 12, 2014 Share Posted October 12, 2014 Wonderful day. 60/48 and I can smell the fireplaces going in the breeze. I hate that smell. Mostly because my neighbors love to burn crappy wood constantly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted October 12, 2014 Share Posted October 12, 2014 High of 67.... Must be a station siting issue. On cloudy days the high temp is fine though. 57F now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted October 13, 2014 Share Posted October 13, 2014 Wpc thinks we will get very wet. Gfs backing off on the big totals...nam ramping it up...we know how that goes..early call...less than .75 for everyone below 40N Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted October 13, 2014 Share Posted October 13, 2014 Gfs backing off on the big totals...nam ramping it up...we know how that goes..early call...less than .75 for everyone below 40N my leaves are still crunchy. I need to stop eating them Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted October 13, 2014 Share Posted October 13, 2014 my leaves are still crunchy. I need to stop eating them They wouldn't taste bad in the oven with some olive oil and salt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted October 13, 2014 Share Posted October 13, 2014 The WPC totals have been cut back a good bit. Aside from north of Baltimore, many of us are in a 1.25-1.75 area. Not the crazy totals from two days ago. And leesburg is right, NAM is going crazy, so we know how that goes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted October 13, 2014 Share Posted October 13, 2014 picked up a little shower. .14". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted October 13, 2014 Author Share Posted October 13, 2014 A bit close in for usefulness but euro ensemble precip output paints most all of us with about an inch through thursday morning. Seems reasonable. Setup looks pretty good for some jackpots if training of some kind sets up. The storm isn't moving very fast. ETA: closed ull's are fun for surprises. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted October 13, 2014 Share Posted October 13, 2014 A bit close in for usefulness but euro ensemble precip output paints most all of us with about an inch through thursday morning. Seems reasonable. Setup looks pretty good for some jackpots if training of some kind sets up. The storm isn't moving very fast. ETA: closed ull's are is always fun for surprises. fixed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted October 13, 2014 Share Posted October 13, 2014 Jackpot today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted October 13, 2014 Share Posted October 13, 2014 Raining for a while, but this last gasp has been the only time it has really accumulated. 0.15" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted October 13, 2014 Share Posted October 13, 2014 Ended up with .20" picked up a little shower. .14". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted October 13, 2014 Share Posted October 13, 2014 A bit close in for usefulness but euro ensemble precip output paints most all of us with about an inch through thursday morning. Seems reasonable. Setup looks pretty good for some jackpots if training of some kind sets up. The storm isn't moving very fast. ETA: closed ull's are fun for surprises. Tuesday - Thursday...just an inch? Doesn't seem like much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC_WX Posted October 13, 2014 Share Posted October 13, 2014 .35 - maybe enough to close the soccer fields for yet another day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted October 13, 2014 Share Posted October 13, 2014 A bit close in for usefulness but euro ensemble precip output paints most all of us with about an inch through thursday morning. Seems reasonable. Setup looks pretty good for some jackpots if training of some kind sets up. The storm isn't moving very fast. ETA: closed ull's are fun for surprises. Latest NAM is a bit drier than its earlier run. That's the recent theme of the models I've looked at. This last system looked really wet for a while. We all know how it ended up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted October 13, 2014 Author Share Posted October 13, 2014 Tuesday - Thursday...just an inch? Doesn't seem like much. 0z ens mean and op are pretty tight. My guess is 1 - 1.5 for most of us. Could easily be an upside surprise though given the setup. The ull track is pretty good for some bands of heavy rain. Rain is kinda boring so I don't look too close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted October 13, 2014 Share Posted October 13, 2014 Fairly s***ty weather for a secondary holiday day off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
astarck Posted October 13, 2014 Share Posted October 13, 2014 I'm not sure I've seen this type of analysis done here before for this area, but in case anyone is wondering, today marks the day with the greatest 31-day temperature decline at DCA based on the 1981-2010 normals. The 31-day decline is 12.2 degrees. The September 12 average temperature is 72.5, while today's is 60.3. We keep up a 31-day drop pace of more than 9.8 degrees through December 22. Early on the pace is sustained by a drop in minimum temperatures (biggest drop is 12.5 degrees most of this week), and then the pace is sustained by falling maximum temperatures (biggest drop is 12.4 degrees Dec 6-11). The idea for this analysis is from this great Alaska weather blog: http://ak-wx.blogspot.com/2014/09/fall-temperature-drop-off.html Edited to add: If you change the parameters to greatest 7-day temperature fall-off, that would be the period from September 27 through October 3, with 7-day temperature fall-offs of 2.9 degrees throughout the time period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted October 13, 2014 Share Posted October 13, 2014 I'm not sure I've seen this type of analysis done here before for this area, but in case anyone is wondering, today marks the day with the greatest 31-day temperature decline at DCA based on the 1981-2010 normals. The 31-day decline is 12.2 degrees. The September 12 average temperature is 72.5, while today's is 60.3. We keep up a 31-day drop pace of more than 9.8 degrees through December 22. Early on the pace is sustained by a drop in minimum temperatures (biggest drop is 12.5 degrees most of this week), and then the pace is sustained by falling maximum temperatures (biggest drop is 12.4 degrees Dec 6-11). The idea for this analysis is from this great Alaska weather blog: http://ak-wx.blogspot.com/2014/09/fall-temperature-drop-off.html Edited to add: If you change the parameters to greatest 7-day temperature fall-off, that would be the period from September 27 through October 3, with 7-day temperature fall-offs of 2.9 degrees throughout the time period. Interesting. What is the 31 day period with the highest climb? I imagine that would come in April? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PDIII Posted October 13, 2014 Share Posted October 13, 2014 Any one have any thoughts on the ALCS in KC tonight? It looks to me that they would not be able to start til 10 or 11... if that... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted October 13, 2014 Share Posted October 13, 2014 Any one have any thoughts on the ALCS in KC tonight? It looks to me that they would not be able to start til 10 or 11... if that... Hadn't thought about that one......radar looks awful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted October 13, 2014 Share Posted October 13, 2014 I'm not sure I've seen this type of analysis done here before for this area, but in case anyone is wondering, today marks the day with the greatest 31-day temperature decline at DCA based on the 1981-2010 normals. The 31-day decline is 12.2 degrees. The September 12 average temperature is 72.5, while today's is 60.3. We keep up a 31-day drop pace of more than 9.8 degrees through December 22. Early on the pace is sustained by a drop in minimum temperatures (biggest drop is 12.5 degrees most of this week), and then the pace is sustained by falling maximum temperatures (biggest drop is 12.4 degrees Dec 6-11). The idea for this analysis is from this great Alaska weather blog: http://ak-wx.blogspot.com/2014/09/fall-temperature-drop-off.html Edited to add: If you change the parameters to greatest 7-day temperature fall-off, that would be the period from September 27 through October 3, with 7-day temperature fall-offs of 2.9 degrees throughout the time period. That's some serious geeking out, right there. Well done... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
astarck Posted October 13, 2014 Share Posted October 13, 2014 Interesting. What is the 31 day period with the highest climb? I imagine that would come in April? Greatest 31 day rise occurs between April 13 and April 19 at 10.4 degrees. Greatest 7 day rise is a number of dates centered around the first week of April at 2.4 degrees per 7 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted October 13, 2014 Author Share Posted October 13, 2014 12z euro keeps up the 1"+/- around these parts. Some 3" totals in the WV highlands. JonJon might need a boat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted October 13, 2014 Share Posted October 13, 2014 very meh outside. what i miss about summer is that the clouds/rain don't usually last all day. need some sun out there. that said, i'm kinda interested in wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted October 13, 2014 Share Posted October 13, 2014 Hadn't thought about that one......radar looks awful. Already cancelled. It's an effective strategy by the Orioles to extend the series. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted October 13, 2014 Share Posted October 13, 2014 First time I've seen the sun in 4 days. Southerly flow has finally eroded the clouds and dreariness. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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