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October Banter


jburns

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I think if the indicators that forecasters look at would show torch, they would put that in their outlook.

Bollocks, I challenge someone to find a detailed forecast by a met that posts here showing above normal temps and below normal snowfall for the east coast. Four winters to choose from, one had to have indicators that pointed to a warm winter. I mean hell there were two back to back torchfests.

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Bollocks, I challenge someone to find a detailed forecast by a met that posts here showing above normal temps and below normal snowfall for the east coast. Four winters to choose from, one had to have indicators that pointed to a warm winter. I mean hell there were two back to back torchfests.

Does Grit's SE forecast for last year count?

http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/41542-griteaters-winter-outlook-13-14/?fromsearch=1

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bb1bd1f9f395586fdb97851ebf22b376.jpg

Aw snap.. Full black woolly worm.

Winter is not cancelled after all ;)

Sent from my iPhone

 

Nice worm. No disrepect but by definition I would think that would be incorrect. Just judging by the placement and structure of the hairs not quiet what i would consider. A true wooly would be more fuzzie. 

Why is it that when you guys make a winter forecast, South GA and FL is never included?

Why is that when you get an arctic air mass over the gulf you get puffy cotton balls. Mainly it is cause my the greatest thermal difference aloft and at the surface or baroclinic zone or leaf. 

 

Point being... looking at the map of the US the greatest zone is going to be along the coast when cold air masses set in. And you cant tell how the angle of the cold will effect it. Thus you cant really tell weather it will be a dry season or wet. So far its pretty dry.

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Just once I'd like to see a met make a torch winter forecast.

 

I don't know why it bothers you so much, MariettaWx.  If you believe it's going to torch this winter, go ahead and post your forecast and associated reasoning.  I'll read it and appreciate it all the same.  I may sincerely hope that you are wrong, as would most on this board, but I don't think you would find many here in the SE who would disparage you if your approach is well-reasoned and well-researched.

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Yea that Strat is probably worth around $10k or so. A D-35 has a three piece back while a D-28 has a two piece back. Typically the D-28 commands more money as less were made during the 60's. They went to the three piece back to save money and get more out of their wood since they didn't have to do exact book matching on the back. Even that 69 is probably worth $3k-$4k on today's market and it's only going up! 

I'll say this about my Martin it has that classic acoustic guitar sound like you hear on country albums. Due to it being a hybrid with a mix of woods it has a unique bass resonance. I've always like the sound and feel of Taylor guitars just never liked their headstocks as odd as that is. My electric of choice is a first year G&L ASAT which is a Tele copy, the cool thing is that it was made when Leo Fender was making them and inspecting each one by hand. You can really tell it too as it's just a super well made instrument. 

As for playing, it's only annoying when someone is playing and you can tell they are an egomaniac. Beginners never bother me. Hell I have some friends who are amazing at guitar and one of them told me I was a camp fire guitarist cause I like to stick to chords and simple melodies. I'm very much a rhythm guy as opposed to lead. 

 

Dad plays more country music than anything else, so the Martin definitely fits the bill there.  The thing I've been trying to do is just get a handle on chording and strumming...more of the rhythm stuff.  The finger-picking and lead stuff is way over my head right now.  I've got a couple of friends who are very good there.  But yeah, I hear you on the playing with someone thing.  I've been able to do that a couple of times, and it's amazing what you learn in just a short amount of time!

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10/28 Update:

 

Ok, so for the 15th D^2 trip to Concord, we got:

In the chase:

Cold Rain
Mack
Isopycnic
Burgertime

Griteater

On the bubble:

Jburns

Off:

Packbacker

Bevo
 

Out:

Metal
Brick
Widre

Franklin

Superjames
Dacula

Frazdaddy

Falls

 

Who else?   

 

Bonus Question:  Where and when to meet? 

 

Burger has offered his place.  I guess that depends on when folks get there, though.  I am not very familiar with the Concord Mills area.  I know they have a mall and Bass Pro Shop (and a race track), but that's about all I know.

 

And somebody page Bevo!

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I don't know why it bothers you so much, MariettaWx.  If you believe it's going to torch this winter, go ahead and post your forecast and associated reasoning.  I'll read it and appreciate it all the same.  I may sincerely hope that you are wrong, as would most on this board, but I don't think you would find many here in the SE who would disparage you if your approach is well-reasoned and well-researched.

 

 

 

I like to stir up some debate man, that's all.

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Nice worm. No disrepect but by definition I would think nk that would be incorrect. Just judging by the placement and structure of the hairs not quiet what i would consider. A true wooly would be more fuzzie.

Why is that when you get an arctic air mass over the gulf you get puffy cotton balls. Mainly it is cause my the greatest thermal difference aloft and at the surface or baroclinic zone or leaf.

Point being... looking at the map of the US the greatest zone is going to be along the coast when cold air masses set in. And you cant tell how the angle of the cold will effect it. Thus you cant really tell weather it will be a dry season or wet. So far its pretty dry.

So you are saying that we aren't included in winter forecasts because they aren't sure what is going to happen here?? Isn't that the case with every winter forecast for the entire US?

Btw hi NCweather. Didn't know this was you. You will feel how I feel when everyone is getting in on winter weather while it's raining where we are. :lol:

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Bollocks, I challenge someone to find a detailed forecast by a met that posts here showing above normal temps and below normal snowfall for the east coast. Four winters to choose from, one had to have indicators that pointed to a warm winter. I mean hell there were two back to back torchfests.

 

Hee hee hee. ^_^

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Allan, your 850 0C line doesn't match what's on eWall at 96.  eWall shows the line farther east.  What do you attribute that to?

 

This is weird:

 

There is a discrepancy between the regular Euro view at 96 and the long range Euro view at 96 with respect to 850 temps.  The long range view (bottom right) lines up with Allan's (therefore, I think it's correct and subsequently redact my snow in Raleigh comment).  The short range view (bottom left) has the 850s farther east.  Weird.

 

post-987-0-14588300-1414522275_thumb.gif

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