Solak Posted October 11, 2014 Share Posted October 11, 2014 They're backbuilding a little.... probably one of those nights where our daughter gets the good stuff 10 miles away on the other side of 70. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted October 11, 2014 Share Posted October 11, 2014 0.13 inch here IMBY tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted October 11, 2014 Share Posted October 11, 2014 Storms started here near 8:30 and still hearing some thunder in the distance. Had heavy rain and some good thunder and lightning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted October 11, 2014 Share Posted October 11, 2014 Dry, hot and humid! Really feels like July outside! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted October 11, 2014 Author Share Posted October 11, 2014 Thunder to the north, thunder to the west, 0.01" in the gauge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted October 11, 2014 Share Posted October 11, 2014 Was right about the North side of town cashing in last night... Clayton 3.3 ENE 0.72 Clayton 5.7 SSE 0.06 Just to the West -- Garner 3.4 SSE 1.87 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted October 11, 2014 Share Posted October 11, 2014 0.19" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCsandhills Posted October 11, 2014 Share Posted October 11, 2014 77* outside, fc high of 88. You've gotta be kiddin' me!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted October 11, 2014 Share Posted October 11, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted October 11, 2014 Share Posted October 11, 2014 They've bumped us up from a 20% slight chance to a 60% likely after 3:00... updated AFD GIVEN THE EXPECTED MORE EAST-WEST ORIENTATION OF THE CONVECTION AND A SLOWLY SOUTHWARD-PROPAGATING COLD POOL (AS WAS THE CASE WITH YESTERDAY'S STORMS)... HIGH RAIN TOTALS ARE POSSIBLE AS CELLS REPEATEDLY TRAIN ACROSS THE SAME AREA. PW VALUES OF 175-200% OF NORMAL ACCORDING TO BLENDED TPW IMAGERY WILL ONLY EXACERBATE THE HEAVY RAIN THREAT. ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS REMAIN POSSIBLE... PARTICULARLY GIVEN THAT WE'RE ALREADY SEEING 500 J/KG OF MUCAPE WITH QUICKLY WANING CINH AND IMPROVING EFFECTIVE SHEAR OVER CENTRAL NC. MODELS APPEAR ON TRACK WITH 1000-2000 J/KG OF MUCAPE BY MID AFTERNOON... WITH AROUND 40 KTS OF DEEP LAYER SHEAR. -GIH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yotaman Posted October 11, 2014 Share Posted October 11, 2014 Big temp rise today. Currently 86 with a dew point of 72. Can't wait for that front to slide on thru. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted October 11, 2014 Share Posted October 11, 2014 86 over 68 here......sky is hazy.....sucks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted October 11, 2014 Share Posted October 11, 2014 HHH, ready to get backdoored to below normal temps tomorrow ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted October 11, 2014 Share Posted October 11, 2014 HHH, ready to get backdoored to below normal temps tomorrow ! It's gonna feel so nice! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted October 11, 2014 Share Posted October 11, 2014 latest update from MHX has our rain/storm chances down to 30% today and tonight from 60% earlier..... also ugh 88°F 31°C Humidity 49% Wind Speed W 13 G 21 mph Barometer 29.98 in Dewpoint 66°F (19°C) Visibility 10.00 mi Heat Index 91°F (33° Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxjunkie Posted October 11, 2014 Share Posted October 11, 2014 82 in B.S right now.. this is b.s....LOLL Looking forward to cooler air tomorrow! 54 at KOKV right now... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yotaman Posted October 11, 2014 Share Posted October 11, 2014 The front is at the VA/NC border right now. It is taking it's sweet time getting here. Currently 87, DP 72. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxjunkie Posted October 11, 2014 Share Posted October 11, 2014 The front is at the VA/NC border right now. It is taking it's sweet time getting here. Currently 87, DP 72. Yep, we're all on the wrong side of the border right now. 82/65 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted October 11, 2014 Share Posted October 11, 2014 1:59pm CDT #SPC_MD 1850 concerning severe potential...watch unlikely, #ncwx #scwx #gawx, http://go.usa.gov/w7pQ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted October 11, 2014 Share Posted October 11, 2014 Felt like June outside at my kids' soccer games today. Looks like the chance for storms tonight is actually higher than last night. Wonder if we will actually get some then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted October 11, 2014 Share Posted October 11, 2014 MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1850 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0157 PM CDT SAT OCT 11 2014 AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF THE CAROLINA/GA PIEDMONT AND COASTAL PLAIN CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY VALID 111857Z - 112100Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT SUMMARY...LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS AND MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL MAY DEVELOP AMID SCATTERED STORMS FORMING ACROSS THE PIEDMONT. DISCUSSION...VISIBLE SATELLITE AND CG LIGHTNING DATA SUGGEST SCATTERED TSTM DEVELOPMENT IS UNDERWAY ALONG REMNANT CONVECTIVE OUTFLOW ACROSS NRN GA TO A QUASI-STATIONARY FRONT OVER NRN NC. WARM SECTOR SURFACE TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED THROUGH THE 80S...LIKELY YIELDING MODEST BUOYANCY WITH MLCAPE AROUND 1000 J/KG AMID POOR MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES. PERVASIVE W/SWLY SURFACE WINDS AND NEARLY UNIDIRECTIONAL TROPOSPHERIC FLOW WILL REMAIN A LIMITING FACTOR TO STRONGER SHEAR. HOWEVER...THE SRN PERIPHERY OF 35-45 KT MID-LEVEL WINDS PER GSP/FCX VWP DATA MAY PROVIDE SUFFICIENT SHEAR FOR MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL. WITH TIME...MERGING OF CELLS INTO MULTICELL CLUSTERS MIGHT YIELD ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS AMID STEEP LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_hailstorm Posted October 11, 2014 Share Posted October 11, 2014 .40'' so far. Brief heavy rain barely any lightning/wind here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted October 11, 2014 Share Posted October 11, 2014 Things starting to get cranked up now 404 PM EDT SAT OCT 11 2014THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RALEIGH HAS ISSUED A* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... NORTHWESTERN MONTGOMERY COUNTY IN CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA... NORTHEASTERN STANLY COUNTY IN CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA... SOUTHWESTERN RANDOLPH COUNTY IN CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA... SOUTHEASTERN DAVIDSON COUNTY IN CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted October 11, 2014 Share Posted October 11, 2014 That was impressive --- .70" in 15 minutes. Quick moving storm with just a couple rumbles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yotaman Posted October 11, 2014 Share Posted October 11, 2014 .17 from our line of storms. Pretty weak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted October 12, 2014 Share Posted October 12, 2014 73/dry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted October 12, 2014 Share Posted October 12, 2014 0.46 inch from two different storms combined this afternoon. First was around 3 PM and the second was around 7 PM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted October 12, 2014 Share Posted October 12, 2014 Chilly morning. Back yard temp at 55.3. It will be interesting to see how high(or low) the temp will get today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
max100 Posted October 12, 2014 Share Posted October 12, 2014 Chilly morning. Back yard temp at 55.3. It will be interesting to see how high(or low) the temp will get today. FFC said a wedge is setting up.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted October 12, 2014 Share Posted October 12, 2014 Chilly morning. Back yard temp at 55.3. It will be interesting to see how high(or low) the temp will get today. Probably not very high. Good SW wind @850 blowing overtop the wedge. So most of NC should remain cloud filled today. If the rain fills in the surface temps will likely drop. Just out of curiosity NWS has Rock City high of 60. I know for a fact 90% of the time wedges tend to be cooler than the guidance. FFC said a wedge is setting up.. Yeah the surface front(wedge) is currently along and just south of a line from Charleston SC to Columbia SC to Augusta GA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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