JayPSU Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 Anyone see the 84 hour NAM??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 RAP shows redevelopment later this afternoon along the I-70 corridor...it's actually picking up the on the current erosion of the precip. I can't get rap to update past the 2z run. And yes it does show redevelopment but it'd be nice to see a new run of to see if it still shows that. Also that's when most local mets have the rain mix. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 Anyone see the 84 hour NAM??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 I see a rain storm lol Looked like rain to heavy snow. Still...it's the 84 hour NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 Looked like rain to heavy snow. Still...it's the 84 hour NAMWhich actually hasn't been that terrible! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iluvsnow Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 The NAM obviously sees the third wave being further northwest when it comes up into the building cold air behind the front. The long range models have been suppressing it the last day or so. Will be intriguing to see if they follow the lead of the NAM and come back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 I can't get rap to update past the 2z run. And yes it does show redevelopment but it'd be nice to see a new run of to see if it still shows that. Also that's when most local mets have the rain mix. NCEP has been having issues. But, RAP is updating through the 13z run here: http://rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/RAP/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighTechEE Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 Ended up with just under 4" here in SW Greene Co., with temps already in the mid 30s I assume some compression has started. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 the drying out along the I-70 corridor on radar is a bit disturbing....but who knows if it'll fill back in. Still snowing here though. As far as the 84hr nam....it isn't by itself. You should see the ukmet... 12-18" along the I-70 corridor, riding precip up the front later this week... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve Posted March 1, 2015 Author Share Posted March 1, 2015 the drying out along the I-70 corridor on radar is a bit disturbing....but who knows if it'll fill back in. Still snowing here though. As far as the 84hr nam....it isn't by itself. You should see the ukmet... 12-18" along the I-70 corridor, riding precip up the front later this week... Would that not be the topping to this late start to winter!! Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JasonOH Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 About 5.5" here. Not bad, but hopefully things fill back in and give me another 1-2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 About 5.5" here. Not bad, but hopefully things fill back in and give me another 1-2. yea not sure how this lull plays out. I said the best way to get a mix this far north is if the precip becomes spotty or we get a lull...we'll see what happens with that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 Not sure why Franklin County isn't under a warning. It seems we will be solidly within the criteria with what's already fallen and the look of the radar. Criteria for a warning (at least here) is 6" in 12 hrs. The thinking for no warning here is the 6" will occur over a period of almost 24 hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 the drying out along the I-70 corridor on radar is a bit disturbing....but who knows if it'll fill back in. Still snowing here though. As far as the 84hr nam....it isn't by itself. You should see the ukmet... 12-18" along the I-70 corridor, riding precip up the front later this week... Ukie has had a heluva year! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 Believe it or not I've gone from 4" to a little over 3 in the past couple hours even with it snowing. The rates just aren't fast enough. So I'm basically just clearing spots and remeasuring at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 Ukie has had a heluva year! hard to tell p-type, but it looks like the 12zuk is holding to the idea of a ton of moisture developing up the front Wednesday-Thursday thru OH. GGEM moving towards the 'idea' of 'something on the front'...shows 2 or 3 inches of snow Wednesday night/ Thursday in the same general area, (s.IN thru c. OH). GFS wants nothing to do with it. It'll be interesting to see what the euro shows, if anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 Believe it or not I've gone from 4" to a little over 3 in the past couple hours even with it snowing. The rates just aren't fast enough. So I'm basically just clearing spots and remeasuring at this point. With these marginal temps we were always going to need good rates and steady precip....so unless radar blossoms, we've probably seen most of what this event is going to give....about 4". Although not giving up yet for a period of snow later on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 With these marginal temps we were always going to need good rates and steady precip....so unless radar blossoms, we've probably seen most of what this event is going to give....about 4". Although not giving up yet for a period of snow later on. RAP Has it redeveloping a heavy band and 2-4" my way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 RAP Has it redeveloping a heavy band and 2-4" my way well it was the RAP that nailed the second part of last weekends storm too. I think you brought it up then too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 well it was the RAP that nailed the second part of last weekends storm too. I think you brought it up then too. Yea. I did. It's about the only decent short range model imo. Guess we will see. Would be nice to add another 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherzen Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 Thanks IWXwx, I guess that makes sense. It just has a very similar feel to last weekend's warning storm. I guess it is more drawn out and warmer though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 The last really decent ana-frontal precip storm I can recall was December 6, 2013. I believe some 5-8" type amounts occurred over parts of central and SW Ohio, and even Athens got a nice thump on the tail end of it. Similar pattern to what's modeled later this week with a front stalling as it runs into a SE ridge with a trough centered over the upper Plains, and great upper level jet support. http://www.spc.noaa.gov/cgi-bin-spc/getuadata.pl?MyDate1=131206&Time1=12&MyDate2=&Time2=12&align=V&Levels=All We shall see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 The last really decent ana-frontal precip storm I can recall was December 6, 2013. I believe some 5-8" type amounts occurred over parts of central and SW Ohio, and even Athens got a nice thump on the tail end of it. Similar pattern to what's modeled later this week with a front stalling as it runs into a SE ridge with a trough centered over the upper Plains, and great upper level jet support. http://www.spc.noaa.gov/cgi-bin-spc/getuadata.pl?MyDate1=131206&Time1=12&MyDate2=&Time2=12&align=V&Levels=All We shall see. euro has it now as well. The axis of heaviest is thru Central KY into WV. Brings a couple of inches up to about CMH. A significant northward shift from it's 00z run. This one is getting interesting. You might have picked a bad time to leave Athens for spring break, (assuming you have). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 euro has it now as well. The axis of heaviest is thru Central KY into WV. Brings a couple of inches up to about CMH. A significant northward shift from it's 00z run. This one is getting interesting. You might have picked a bad time to leave Athens for spring break, (assuming you have). Ukie makes no sense. I've never seen a back end thump like that ever. And btw drizzle here now lol. Dryslot is huge. See if the RAP is correct it should enhance and rebuild. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 Ukie makes no sense. I've never seen a back end thump like that ever. And btw drizzle here now lol. Dryslot is huge. See if the RAP is correct it should enhance and rebuild. it's not a back end thump. It's a new wave that rides the front after the first storm drags the front thru Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 it's not a back end thump. It's a new wave that rides the front after the first storm drags the front thru Ahh okay. I've been busy with this storm. Wanted it out of the road before paying attention to this one. It'd be nice if uk was right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdudemike Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 The last really decent ana-frontal precip storm I can recall was December 6, 2013. I believe some 5-8" type amounts occurred over parts of central and SW Ohio, and even Athens got a nice thump on the tail end of it. Similar pattern to what's modeled later this week with a front stalling as it runs into a SE ridge with a trough centered over the upper Plains, and great upper level jet support. http://www.spc.noaa.gov/cgi-bin-spc/getuadata.pl?MyDate1=131206&Time1=12&MyDate2=&Time2=12&align=V&Levels=All We shall see. Thanks for bringing that up, I forgot about that one last winter. It even had the cutter the day before....I forgot that system was ana-frontal precip. Certainly not a typical setup for snow here in Ohio but if we can get the front to stall just right and actually have a bit of a surface wave develop, someone could potentially get dumped on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 it's not a back end thump. It's a new wave that rides the front after the first storm drags the front thru Powerball started a thread on this, although I know that you guys like to keep it over here. http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/45912-march-4th-6th-possible-winter-storm/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 Light to moderate snow has resumed here in Westerville. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherzen Posted March 1, 2015 Share Posted March 1, 2015 Was just out in some nice big catch on your tongue flakes. March flakes are the best ☺ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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