dilly84 Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 4k nam is pretty much gonna be right on my call. So I feel confident in it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 by the way Dilly.....I like your map, I'm rooting for it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 by the way....Ganahl's forecast tonight on the news was a pile of the wtf? lol His graphics didn't match what he was saying. He was talking about how we will change to rain as his future radar model was looping in the background showing an all snow event north of Chillicothe. Then he showed the snow amount forecast which had the heaviest snow in the state right across Columbus at 5.5" and he said the snow will be heavier the further nw you go from Columbus. Then to top it off, he ended it by saying several inches of snow on Sunday and the graphic for Sunday had rain By the way, he is HUGE! Remember when he supposedly had to lose all that weight because he was retaining a ton of water, he passed out, flat-lined and was off work for several weeks? Well he is now even bigger then when that happened. He's almost TLC documentary big. In all seriousness he's stumbling thru a minefield right now as far as his health is concerned It's not funny but I am in tears reading your post. He looks terrible! He is having trouble talking on the air as well again & out of breathe which is what happened last time before he almost died. Someone needs to smack him & tell him it's no joke & get in some better shape. As far as that forecast, it kind of fits the messenger right now...A MESS! Oy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 4k nam is pretty much gonna be right on my call. So I feel confident in it.Screenshot_2015-02-27-22-05-24-1.png hard to tell on that map but yours looks a little more generous a bit south of that. Like I said hard to tell without county outlines or a 40 lat line running thru Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 It's not funny but I am in tears reading your post. He looks terrible! He is having trouble talking on the air as well again & out of breathe which is what happened last time before he almost died. Someone needs to smack him & tell him it's no joke & get in some better shape. As far as that forecast, it kind of fits the messenger right now...A MESS! Oy! he seriously needs an intervention or something. The sad thing is, he's has kids, (I think teenagers by now), you'd think someone would be hitting him up side the head asking him wtf is he doing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 hard to tell on that map but yours looks a little more generous a bit south of that. Like I said hard to tell without county outlines or a 40 lat line running thru It is. And that is more than likely where the change will come when I do my final call one tomorrow. I'm figuring 2-4 south of I70 with 1-2" around athens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 It is. And that is more than likely where the change will come when I do my final call one tomorrow. I'm figuring 2-4 south of I70 with 1-2" around athens. if we stay all snow...I think your map is probably pretty good. I'm not buying into the idea that it'll be really hard to accumulate snow due to sun angle and topping out a degree or two above freezing....that might shave us off an inch, but that's about it. If we have mixing then yea, accums way down. More likely we either score big or have 1-3" slopper Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 rgem not budging with it's colder look and giving the best snows south of I-70 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 he seriously needs an intervention or something. The sad thing is, he's has kids, (I think teenagers by now), you'd think someone would be hitting him up side the head asking him wtf is he doing? That's too bad. I hope he does something about it especially for the kids sake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 rgem not budging with it's colder look and giving the best snows south of I-70 Here is the full run through 54 on the 4k. So it puts bullseye right around cmh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 Here's the rgem, buckeye. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 rgem not budging with it's colder look and giving the best snows south of I-70 Nice to see. How did rgem do w/ last weeks? It sounds like Ukie (12z) was good for I-70 again as well & the Euro's 12z was colder than its 00z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbcmh81 Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 could be, but that seems odd coming off such an extended period of frigid temps....surface temps should be plenty cold, we'll have a snow cover, and of course it'll be cloudy when it's snowing...lol. But yea, I'm not saying you're wrong...it's definitely that time of year where these things become considerations. March 7-8, 2008. With the right track and thermals, there is no reason to have an issue with accumulation in early March, even during the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbcmh81 Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 by the way....Ganahl's forecast tonight on the news was a pile of the wtf? lol His graphics didn't match what he was saying. He was talking about how we will change to rain as his future radar model was looping in the background showing an all snow event north of Chillicothe. Then he showed the snow amount forecast which had the heaviest snow in the state right across Columbus at 5.5" and he said the snow will be heavier the further nw you go from Columbus. Then to top it off, he ended it by saying several inches of snow on Sunday and the graphic for Sunday had rain By the way, he is HUGE! Remember when he supposedly had to lose all that weight because he was retaining a ton of water, he passed out, flat-lined and was off work for several weeks? Well he is now even bigger then when that happened. He's almost TLC documentary big. In all seriousness he's stumbling thru a minefield right now as far as his health is concerned Used to love the guy for weather, not so much now... but he's always had health problems, whether it be with his addictions or weight or what have you. I have been expecting an early retirement for him for some time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 After tonight's runs I expect ILN to have a watch out in the morning for at least Fayette county on north. Gfs came in a bit colder. Bet they go 4-8". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdudemike Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 March 7-8, 2008. With the right track and thermals, there is no reason to have an issue with accumulation in early March, even during the day.I feel as though we had slightly better forcing and higher precip rates with that event than this Sunday As I stated earlier, we had the heavy snow last weekend which overcame marginal temps. Not sure we get that again. Plus, did march 08 fall at 33-34 degrees? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 I feel as though we had slightly better forcing and higher precip rates with that event than this Sunday As I stated earlier, we had the heavy snow last weekend which overcame marginal temps. Not sure we get that again. Plus, did march 08 fall at 33-34 degrees? March 08 was definitely colder. As far as rates last weekend, the first batch was kind of showery....then there was a long lull and the back half was steady but not what I would call heavy...mostly moderate and light. ....and we still never changed over. I was kind of surprised that lull didn't screw us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 0z GFS continues to come back north with the wave for the 5-6th. Not quite in line with the GGEM/Euro but geting there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdudemike Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 March 08 was definitely colder. As far as rates last weekend, the first batch was kind of showery....then there was a long lull and the back half was steady but not what I would call heavy...mostly moderate and light. ....and we still never changed over. I was kind of surprised that lull didn't screw us.Not so much down here. We had the heaviest snow I've ever seen in my life. Dumped 2" in about 90 minutes. Measured at 38 dbz right over my house on radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 Not so much down here. We had the heaviest snow I've ever seen in my life. Dumped 2" in about 90 minutes. Measured at 38 dbz right over my house on radar.We need to get you downwind of a Great Lake in late fall or early winter. I'd have to imagine that 2" of snow also came on over a quarter inch of liquid, which is impressive, but we can get you better than 2" in 90 minutes haha...it'd probably be a bit fluffier though. Will probably have a call around mid afternoon but for Columbus leaning 3-5"...potentially a stripe of 5-8" between I-70 and US 30 if all goes well. But I'll map everything after I sleep. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdudemike Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 We need to get you downwind of a Great Lake in late fall or early winter. I'd have to imagine that 2" of snow also came on over a quarter inch of liquid, which is impressive, but we can get you better than 2" in 90 minutes haha...it'd probably be a bit fluffier though. Will probably have a call around mid afternoon but for Columbus leaning 3-5"...potentially a stripe of 5-8" between I-70 and US 30 if all goes well. But I'll map everything after I sleep. LOL yes! I do recall the super clipper of 2010 when we got 6" in about 3 hours or so...so maybe that one tops last weekend I'd say what makes last Saturday stand out was not just the rate of snow, but also the size of flakes. To see it come down so heavy with such huge flakes was awesome! Can't say I recall too many 35+ dbz snow returns over my house without sleet mixing in. But yes....L.E. would be awesome to witness! 0z Euro coming in colder. Safely snow for Cbus and more down here in Cincy. Interesting...the NAM scored last weekend but that was when it was cooler than other guidance. Will it score again but being warmer than other guidance??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 ILN issued a WWA. Going with 3-5" changing to all rain and ending Sunday afternoon which no model is showing this. None. Every model shows 6"+ across i70 especially north and none showing ending by Sunday afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoachLB Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 WWA for 4-6 inches for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 WWA for 4-6 inches for me. 6z NAM now showing basically nothing but 1-3" all across OH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoachLB Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 I'm right on the border in darke county. About 3 miles north of 36. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JasonOH Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 I'm right on the border in darke county. About 3 miles north of 36. We are in a good spot for this. 5-7" is my call for this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoachLB Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 I think so too. 5-7 would be a good call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 I'm right on the border in darke county. About 3 miles north of 36. My town is on 36 but other side of the state. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 ILN's map. Too conservative? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 that looks ok...definitely on the conservative side though. I think 4-6" is probably a good bet. I'm not sure why ILN is so hell bent on changing this to rain tomorrow. The nam was the only model showing that, and it has trended colder since. The 12z nam looks like it's all snow for Franklin County, with possible mixing for a brief time south of that. If accums are on the lighter side it may have more to do with less precip in general. Plumes took a big jump.....huge grouping between 4 and 6"....mean at 5" By the way, did you guys see the 00z euro? It goes bonkers with the 3rd wave and puts down like a foot of snow across the southeast half of OH after our rainstorm lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.