Steve Posted February 20, 2015 Author Share Posted February 20, 2015 Hopefully we can trend back north a bit otherwise just be another run of the mill 2-4" Well..the weather channel has us at 3-5..close to 5-8..but i take them with a grain of salt and a commercial..lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Hopefully we can trend back north a bit otherwise just be another run of the mill 2-4" I wouldn't at all be surprised to see a bump north tonight on the models. I know that increases our chances of some taint, (or at least modeled taint), but I'll roll the dice on bringing in a bunch of moisture as snow and letting things go from there, even if it's being chased with warm air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 I wouldn't at all be surprised to see a bump north tonight on the models. I know that increases our chances of some taint, (or at least modeled taint), but I'll roll the dice on bringing in a bunch of moisture as snow and letting things go from there, even if it's being chased with warm air. This. I'd rather take my chances at getting close to a mix or even flipping to hit warning criteria before I'd take a dull 2". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NoDoppler4TnySandz Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 1 other TV met said this weekend needs to be watched closely.....mix line in the evening models (that they show) barely makes it north of US 35 and only for a brief blip..... NBC Affiliate mentioned his thinking was the cold may win the battle at the River...my experience watching these guys is always warm wins....over and over again, and they are almost always right. That's not the tune they were singing tonight. I guess we are an hour away from the 00z's beginning their roll.......12z is lock and load time.... until then it's roller coaster time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 This. I'd rather take my chances at getting close to a mix or even flipping to hit warning criteria before I'd take a dull 2". yea and this thing is a moisture bomb. Latest SREF mean now has a 2.5"qpf closed countour over KY and brings the 1" qpf line about 25 miles south of I-70 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoachLB Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Keep it coming lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 1 other TV met said this weekend needs to be watched closely.....mix line in the evening models (that they show) barely makes it north of US 35 and only for a brief blip..... NBC Affiliate mentioned his thinking was the cold may win the battle at the River...my experience watching these guys is always warm wins....over and over again, and they are almost always right. That's not the tune they were singing tonight. I guess we are an hour away from the 00z's beginning their roll.......12z is lock and load time.... until then it's roller coaster time. whenever you have a situation where moisture arrives several hours before the warm air, it becomes harder for the atmosphere to warm and switch over, especially if the precip is steady. That's why snow to rain situations either occur relatively soon after the precip starts or the switch doesn't happen until the very end when the precip lightens and you end up with a switchover to drizzle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 yea and this thing is a moisture bomb. Latest SREF mean now has a 2.5"qpf closed countour over KY and brings the 1" qpf line about 25 miles south of I-70 Yep, the 21Z SREF mean has 6" of snow for CMH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Yep, the 21Z SREF mean has 6" of snow for CMH 3 members at 10" 4 at 8", lowest looks like 2" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 3 members at 10" 4 at 8", lowest looks like 2"How many at 2"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 3 members at 10" 4 at 8", lowest looks like 2" Looks like the op NAM is the lowest one which probably means it's about to give us a nice 0Z run to be more in line with its brothers and sisters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 21z SREF mean up to 6.58" here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Looks like the op NAM is the lowest one which probably means it's about to give us a nice 0Z run to be more in line with its brothers and sisters.Or be on its own again like a redheaded step child! Wooo!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 0z NAM is going to be big for the I-70 corridor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 I-70 just got nam'd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JasonOH Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 I-70 just got nam'd Looks a bit south to me. With the last minute northward trends, I really like where I am( and buckeye bc we are both north of I70.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 will be interesting to see snow accums....looks like cincy is ground zero and southern OH but still really good in central OH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 interesting that the nam now puts the heavy qpf in the cold sector..... that's a significant change. I wonder if other models will follow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 6"+ from I-70 and south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Looks a bit south to me. With the last minute northward trends, I really like where I am( and buckeye bc we are both north of I70.) yea, we have about a 75 mile buffer 30 hrs out.... not bad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 will be interesting to see snow accums....looks like cincy is ground zero and southern OH but still really good in central OH Solid hit for Ohio. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 I-70 just got nam'dWell it's about 'effin time! Lol. Now will it be right... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 we have room too.....just in case. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 we have room too.....just in case. Might as well be selfish and move it northeast 50 miles lol. Hopefully gfs follows suit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 why? have you heard something?? No.. Was discussing some events from that March elsewhere. Good luck down that way. You guys are in great shape via the model trends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 yea and this thing is a moisture bomb. Latest SREF mean now has a 2.5"qpf closed countour over KY and brings the 1" qpf line about 25 miles south of I-70 Which run was that? The 21z sref mean has a 3" inch+ zone showing up in KY just south of the Indiana line.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Which run was that? The 21z sref mean has a 3" inch+ zone showing up in KY just south of the Indiana line.. it was 21z, I didn't see the 3" zone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NoDoppler4TnySandz Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Re: 00z NAM-- well of course it's a bulleye for southern ohio....30 hours out! This has Buckeye-ville written all over it.....regardless the trend is good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NoDoppler4TnySandz Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 NAM could be it's over-juiced self showing as well.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 it was 21z, I didn't see the 3" zone. That was run total via vista maps. NAM isn't far behind with it's 2.5+ ".. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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