snowlover2 Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Big jump north on the 21z SREF. Mean for ILN is 5.43 with several members bwtween 10 and 21". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Same for me over here. Lmao. No way this is reality. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Lol. Something isn't right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Buckeye's infiltrated NCEP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve Posted February 15, 2015 Author Share Posted February 15, 2015 Same for me over here. Lmao. No way this is reality.Screenshot_2015-02-14-20-5 Someone just sent me this 5 minutes ago..i was like.m...and where is this suppose to come from....lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Lol. Something isn't right.post-68-0-28705500-1423964913.gif Stranger things have happened. I remember back in the late 90's there was a night that i was watching a met from cincy and he said there was one model showing 10" of snow the next day when the rest showed nothing. He thought it was an error and at the end said there was nothing wrong. Well sure enough the next day major snowstorm. You just never know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Someone just sent me this 5 minutes ago..i was like.m...and where is this suppose to come from....lol Has it cutting sooner seems like but I'm mobile so hard for me to really see what's happening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 0z NAM is definitely coming in farther north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Stranger things have happened. I remember back in the late 90's there was a night that i was watching a met from cincy and he said there was one model showing 10" of snow the next day when the rest showed nothing. He thought it was an error and at the end said there was nothing wrong. Well sure enough the next day major snowstorm. You just never know.Buckeye for 'effin president if that happens! He said wait for 00z sunday! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve Posted February 15, 2015 Author Share Posted February 15, 2015 0z NAM is definitely coming in farther north. Wow...i will not jump back in ...i will not jump back in!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 I'm reposting what an IWX met friend posted in the main storm thread the other day. This comment is what kept my hopes alive for at least I 70 on south. We are in that range where storms are lost...those in the Ohio Valley to New England likely in a good spot this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Wow, that's a heck of a jump on the NAM. Have to see if the rest if the 0Z follows suit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve Posted February 15, 2015 Author Share Posted February 15, 2015 Why is it that when a model moves north but does not affect Chicago..it gets tossed or called garbage?? I gave up on this storm..but the latest north move has peaked my interest!! Trust me...if we were in the bullseye and it moved north..the models are golden!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JasonOH Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 I'm pulling the punt team. The offense is going for it. I hope this keeps coming north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 I'm pulling the punt team. The offense is going for it. I hope this keeps coming north. You have a better chance than us i70'ers in central ohio Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 You have a better chance than us i70'ers in central ohioAnd yet the GFS gets accumulating snow right up to I-70 which represents another big jump north. Really won't take much more at this point.Edit: also the RGEM, SREF, and the Ukie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 I'm suddenly pretty optimistic for Athens on this one. CMH not out of the game either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdudemike Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Wow! Our reverse psychology worked! If this works out, move over euro....buckeye is the new KING! (Of optimism at least) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 And yet the GFS gets accumulating snow right up to I-70 which represents another big jump north. Really won't take much more at this point. Edit: also the RGEM, SREF, and the Ukie Rephrase. Heavy snow* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbcmh81 Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Stranger things have happened. I remember back in the late 90's there was a night that i was watching a met from cincy and he said there was one model showing 10" of snow the next day when the rest showed nothing. He thought it was an error and at the end said there was nothing wrong. Well sure enough the next day major snowstorm. You just never know. Sounds like January 6, 1996. I will always remember that storm, as I remember local mets calling for 1-3" at most right through the day before it hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbcmh81 Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Wow! Our reverse psychology worked! If this works out, move over euro....buckeye is the new KING! (Of optimism at least) I swear if this comes all the way back to miss us to the north, it will be time for Buckeye to break out the 'ol Big Dog. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdudemike Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 I swear if this comes all the way back to miss us to the north, it will be time for Buckeye to break out the 'ol Big Dog. Still working on getting into the bullseye so I'll sweat that our Monday AM if I have to I guess LOL Euro jumps north again! 0.3-0.4" total liquid at CMH and 0.7" at CVG. Here she comes! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Still working on getting into the bullseye so I'll sweat that our Monday AM if I have to I guess LOL Euro jumps north again! 0.3-0.4" total liquid at CMH and 0.7" at CVG. Here she comes! absolutely unbelievable mike. I can't remember ever seeing that this close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 I would be happy if we just etch out a few inches with this one, considering yesterday's model runs really showed a non event for us. I think that's the most we can hope for. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 crazy runs last night. Not to be a downer, but I'm not convinced that trend continues unfortunately....but who knows. We went from a total whiff and writing this off 24 hours ago, to probably seeing winterstorm watches posted a couple counties south of us. The anecdotal weenie in me reminds myself of where Detroit was sitting at this point before the SB storm, if I recall correctly, they were still not suppose to score much. On the other hand, this is a different animal and the cold dry air over us means business. I think the models might go from seeing less confluence, (which might be why they all came north), to now seeing the strength of the cold dry air. We are suppose to have a low of -2 tonight. A lot of times when we see a big shift like this, the next couple model runs tame down, and then they nowcast back north a bit. I would much rather be in southern OH / northern KY for this one. This has the potential to be a heartbreaker, for the I-70 crowd, watching a shield of snow pass close enough to smell....or....it could be a last minute surprise. Right now I'd put I-70 at a 50% chance of 1-2", 30% chance of 2+", and 20% chance of 1" or less. But we'll see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 The new 9Z SREF has a large cluster of members between 6-10" with a mean of 6.09". The caveat, however, is that it's assuming large ratios which I never like to trust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 The new 9Z SREF has a large cluster of members between 6-10" with a mean of 6.09". The caveat, however, is that it's assuming large ratios which I never like to trust. For who? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 For who? Sorry, that's for CMH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 The new 9Z SREF has a large cluster of members between 6-10" with a mean of 6.09". The caveat, however, is that it's assuming large ratios which I never like to trust. that is good news. The plumes did very well with our last 2 events. I believe it was showing around 1.3" for yesterdays snow around this time frame. I'd just like to see a bit more digging with the wave....hopefully that will trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Sorry, that's for CMH. Hmmm. That's got my attention. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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