JasonOH Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 well maybe that was a temporary tease to pull us back....euro didn't play ball. I think my call to wait til 00z tonight was a good one. Fairly certain if there are any future trends good or bad, they'll show by then. Hopefully we can pull off some decent snow showers/squalls today Of the three, on the SB Storm, the EURO was the last to play ball. Could be the same thing happening again. If it happens again, I think the reign of the euro has ended. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Of the three, on the SB Storm, the EURO was the last to play ball. Could be the same thing happening again. If it happens again, I think the reign of the euro has ended. I was hoping the trend would be for a stronger second wave but maybe the first wave is our best hope afterall, (ukmet). The euro does actually come close to bringing us precip with that, at least to southern IN. By the time the second piece comes out, it's too late, the first piece has flattened heights and the trough progresses east. I think in the end we need everything consolidated or precip won't make it up here. Time is running out but models are also not totally lined up either so questions still remain. on that note: snow has started here . Today is like the no turn back day into the arctic plunge. Will be interesting to see our next above 32 day....it might be a long time. (that's why I want snow this late in the season ...if it's going to be that cold) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 It looks good for a nice shot of snow squalls. Radar is starting to light up. Maybe we can pull of a couple of inches? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 What makes me most sick is that NE is getting a blizzard today and by the looks of it another one on Tuesday. While we can't even get a good 6" lol. I mean come on. But my towel was thrown for this one last night. 6z run confirmed it for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hoosierwx Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 I was hoping the trend would be for a stronger second wave but maybe the first wave is our best hope afterall, (ukmet). The euro does actually come close to bringing us precip with that, at least to southern IN. By the time the second piece comes out, it's too late, the first piece has flattened heights and the trough progresses east. I think in the end we need everything consolidated or precip won't make it up here. Time is running out but models are also not totally lined up either so questions still remain. on that note: snow has started here . Today is like the no turn back day into the arctic plunge. Will be interesting to see our next above 32 day....it might be a long time. (that's why I want snow this late in the season ...if it's going to be that cold) The first wave is going to be fighting a ton of dry air here, I doubt we even see a flake. Cutoff is going to be razor thin. Used to be when the Euro was out on it's own you still had a pretty good shot, but not this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 12z NAM is a miss. Showing all indications New England sees another blizzard Wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 I went back to the Ohio thread from last winter and read the posts leading up to the Jan 5th fiasco. I'm sure you guys remember that one. We had intermittent light rain, and peeks of sun while Indiana got slammed with a blizzard. Anyways, 3-4 days out there were posts about how it was going to miss us to the south....even as close as 36 hours out, ILN had us as all snow. just some perspective As mentioned before, as far as the heights and placement of the shortwaves, this one does have some similarities to the December 2004 storm (I think you all remember how that one played out)... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JasonOH Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 We need things to change fast if we want a repeat though. I'm going to send the punt team out for the 0z runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 We need things to change fast if we want a repeat though. I'm going to send the punt team out for the 0z runs. You're holding out longer than me lol. My hope is that with some good ratios maybe picking up a surprise 3 or 4 inches today. I wouldn't see any reasons for good ratios with the .2 qpf. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Well game is officially over. And if anyone doesn't think so at this point then you're just setting yourself up for big time disappointment. This just isn't our winter. Enjoy the snows today though. Probably be the last decent snows we see this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 gfs going to the 00z euro is pretty much the kiss of death....but I will do my final model check at 00z before I officially sign the death warrant. Lol at the MA forum, they deleted the entire storm thread after the gfs run The most brutal aspect moving ahead is the cold....absolute frigid temps with a dusting on the ground. Horribly depressing stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 I think Dilly should be the designated eternal optimist for late next weeks fantasy event. I'm playing debbie downer role, I'm going to provide sound reasoning as to why it won't happen, even if every model is agreeing 3 days out that we're getting a snowstorm....I will become more than annoying. Maybe we just need to mix things up to finally get nailed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 I think Dilly should be the designated eternal optimist for late next weeks fantasy event. I'm playing debbie downer role, I'm going to provide sound reasoning as to why it won't happen, even if every model is agreeing 3 days out that we're getting a snowstorm....I will become more than annoying. Maybe we just need to mix things up to finally get nailed I'm usually not a Debbie downer but there was just too much consensus. Not to mention we have officially been screwed in every way possible this winter.. BUT late next week looks like a sure hit. 8-12" isn't out of the question late next week lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 I'm usually not a Debbie downer but there was just too much consensus. Not to mention we have officially been screwed in every way possible this winter.. BUT late next week looks like a sure hit. 8-12" isn't out of the question late next week lol. there ya go! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdudemike Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 12z GFS says NO SNOW for you! And the ukie is a bit south.Alright folks...TOWEL THROWN! My odds:Suppression: 99%Light Event: 1%Moderate-Big: 0%Cutter: 0% Can't even get any friggin snow today!! Cincy split in full effect!!!! :fulltilt: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 I think Dilly should be the designated eternal optimist for late next weeks fantasy event. I'm playing debbie downer role, I'm going to provide sound reasoning as to why it won't happen, even if every model is agreeing 3 days out that we're getting a snowstorm....I will become more than annoying. Maybe we just need to mix things up to finally get nailed I'm already on record for the fantasy land storm. Have a good feeling about it, and honestly, getting missed to the south with no ugly north trend is a good thing. It means there's no reason we can't get a hit, it throws into question the meme for this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoachLB Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Wind is ripping out.. White out conditions right now.. Can't see across the street lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdudemike Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 I'm already on record for the fantasy land storm. Have a good feeling about it, and honestly, getting missed to the south with no ugly north trend is a good thing. It means there's no reason we can't get a hit, it throws into question the meme for this winter. That system next weekend looks epic to our south on the Euro. Between the two systems, the Euro has much of TN getting 36 inches of snow in the next ten days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Heavy snow here right now. Too bad it'll only last an hour. And yea I seen that too Mike. Pretty sick that Georgia could finish the season with higher snow total lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Heavy snow here right now. Too bad it'll only last an hour. And yea I seen that too Mike. Pretty sick that Georgia could finish the season with higher snow total lolSo much 4 climatology! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdudemike Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Heavy snow here right now. Too bad it'll only last an hour. And yea I seen that too Mike. Pretty sick that Georgia could finish the season with higher snow total lol Just about anyone could beat us! CVG's DJF snow total sits at 3.1" so far. We've yet to measure more than 0.9" in a 24 hour period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Just about anyone could beat us! CVG's DJF snow total sits at 3.1" so far. We've yet to measure more than 0.9" in a 24 hour period. Cmh is up to around 12" I believe. Tbh this is one of the worst winters I can ever remember with regards to snow.. Missed to east, north, south.. next one is going west lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 awesome squall....grass totally covered....roads abysmal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Cmh is up to around 12" I believe. Tbh this is one of the worst winters I can ever remember with regards to snow.. Missed to east, north, south.. next one is going west lol. actually up to 16.1, but will probably be close to 18 after today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighTechEE Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Not one flake IMBY yet today here in SW Greene Co., local news just showed some webcams north of Dayton in Sidney & Troy, total white outs there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve Posted February 14, 2015 Author Share Posted February 14, 2015 Man is it snowing hard!! Mini blizzard out there!! Visibility is not good..everything is getting covered!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JasonOH Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 In Dublin right now. Complete whiteout, visability about 100 feet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 zero vis.... I took some vid will try to post Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JasonOH Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 I didn't have the chance to get a video. Vis. Is now up to about 100yards. It was crazy. I was trying to navigate my girlfriend's mom to a restaurant. I couldn't see anything and was going off GPS because we couldn't see the intersections. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 zero vis.... I took some vid will try to postWorst snow I've driven in since 1996 in philly! Absolutely insane. So cool! Could only c about 20 yrds out in front of my car. Wow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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