buckeye Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 2 much disappointment. I hope ILN goes w/ no advisories. Then mayb our luck will change! well OHweather isn't impressed with CMH's chances either....last time he said that was last year when a system was incoming and we were also riding the thermal edge ....we ended up with 10"..... so maybe that's a good sign? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whitelakeroy Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 About the best I was able to do with my iPhone camera Very pretty! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 well as I suspected and continue to believe, this one just isn't ours. Even though the nam came in a bit colder, it refuses to give us anything respectable and the plumes are at 1.8" at 15z, and have been going down with each run. Final call: 1.5" on the ground when said and done, although CMH might record higher amounts due to the mixy nature. I suppose ILN will put out advisories for counties either side of I-70. stamp it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 well OHweather isn't impressed with CMH's chances either....last time he said that was last year when a system was incoming and we were also riding the thermal edge ....we ended up with 10"..... so maybe that's a good sign? I think with this one it looks a little clearer that CMH will be on the wrong side of things for at least half the storm. The models do continue to slow things down a little which may allow more precip to affect CMH after they drop to freezing or colder. I generously put them in 2-4" yesterday and expected the low end...I do think the low end is still very doable, although higher totals still north of town a little bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbcmh81 Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 I would not be surprised if Columbus ended the season with less than 20" of snow. Even 15" or less is still doable without a good February. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 CMH just doesn't do very well with these rain to snow situations. I hope I'm pleasantly surprised. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 I think with this one it looks a little clearer that CMH will be on the wrong side of things for at least half the storm. The models do continue to slow things down a little which may allow more precip to affect CMH after they drop to freezing or colder. I generously put them in 2-4" yesterday and expected the low end...I do think the low end is still very doable, although higher totals still north of town a little bit. you know I was mess'n with you. But I agree with your thoughts 100%, in fact you may be too bullish for us...lol Never felt this one. Still don't. What makes it even more frustrating than usual is the track is gorgeous for a big CMH clipper event and yet warmth of all things is screwing it up. I mean are you kidding me? A track thru KY in late January and we'll be dealing with temp issues? I'm sticking with 1.5"....but a messy 1.5" Only good news is the later week clipper is already trending south, probably because of the big northeast storm getting modeled better. Let's see how THAT clipper falls apart. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 I will say this. Any hope we have for an over performer rests on this thing slowing down a bit once the changeover occurs. Some of the modeling show this. The trough starts to go negative as the storm gets south of us and the snow hangs on longer. Threading a rusty needle with syrup-covered fingers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighTechEE Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Light rain switching to wet snow in the Dayton area now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbcmh81 Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Interesting that, so far, it's been pretty much all snow in Columbus. I really expected it to begin as rain and stay rain until later this evening. ILN's update offers a glimmer of hope that the mix line may stay *JUST* south of I-70 and perhaps closer to the Franklin/Pickaway County line. If that's true, we may end up seeing the higher end of the forecast range rather than the lower. Still plenty of time for the warmth to nudge enough north to mix or change over, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbcmh81 Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Light rain switching to wet snow in the Dayton area now. That's good news translating east for Columbus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 you know I was mess'n with you. But I agree with your thoughts 100%, in fact you may be too bullish for us...lol Never felt this one. Still don't. What makes it even more frustrating than usual is the track is gorgeous for a big CMH clipper event and yet warmth of all things is screwing it up. I mean are you kidding me? A track thru KY in late January and we'll be dealing with temp issues? I'm sticking with 1.5"....but a messy 1.5" Only good news is the later week clipper is already trending south, probably because of the big northeast storm getting modeled better. Let's see how THAT clipper falls apart. I know haha. OSU for a time had moderate snow with a temp of 33, but OSU and CMH have both warmed to 35 now. You may ride the line for several hours before finally changing to snow. One concern is once you do change over, if it's not that heavy it may take a while to really start accumulating. Your 1.5" call would look good if that's the case. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Just got out of movies. All snow but light. Just starting to get some dusting. Temp on car thermo was 33. At least we haven't wasted heavy qpf yet. Looks like its been light. Call me cautiously pessimistic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Just got out of movies. All snow but light. Just starting to get some dusting. Temp on car thermo was 33. At least we haven't wasted heavy qpf yet. Looks like its been light. Call me cautiously pessimistic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Just got out of movies. All snow but light. Just starting to get some dusting. Temp on car thermo was 33. At least we haven't wasted heavy qpf yet. Looks like its been light. Call me cautiously pessimistic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Wtf.....I'm stuttering /\ lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Wtf.....I'm stuttering /\ lolI missed it...what did you just get out of? The banding looks really underwhelming...models suggested an increase in QPF from west to east so we shall see if things can pick up at all. Spitting rain here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve Posted January 25, 2015 Author Share Posted January 25, 2015 Looks like all snow now here in Newark!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuckeyeSam Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Just rain in Pickerington, but then I'm a half mile south of 70 and as we all know that's the dividing line for every storm ever to hit Ohio. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Wow....raining in Pickerngton really ? Snow in westerville, ground whitened up and roads getting slushy. If those heavier returns to the sw can get in here we should start getting some better accums.....liking my 1.5" call... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuckeyeSam Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Yep, I'm sitting at 35 with nary a flurry. Was mixing earlier today, but turned to straight rain around 2 and I haven't seen a flake since. Starting to look like a few inches for you guys up north and slush for anyone south of 70. Wow....raining in Pickerngton really ? Snow in westerville, ground whitened up and roads getting slushy. If those heavier returns to the sw can get in here we should start getting some better accums.....liking my 1.5" call... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Just a slushy coating here so far. Snowing lightly now, hopefully it will pick up in intensity or we will struggle to reach the high end 4" mark. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted January 25, 2015 Share Posted January 25, 2015 Snowing pretty heavily right now, yet the roads are still wet. Argues for the low range of the forecast. The 18Z NAM did hint at snow hanging around a little longer though as the transfer to the coast takes place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve Posted January 26, 2015 Author Share Posted January 26, 2015 Looks like this thing has slowed down!! That may help a bit!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighTechEE Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Switched to snow here in SW Greene Co. about 7pm, started sticking about 7:30, now at 8:30 temp just hit 32 (was 39 a few hours ago) everything is white about 2/3" on the colder surfaces and the streets are covered now too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve Posted January 26, 2015 Author Share Posted January 26, 2015 Snowing here pretty good...everything is covered!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Some 2-4" reports in the counties west and east of CMH and still snowing. We will see what they come in with. It should change to snow within a couple hours here but I'll be sleeping. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Some 2-4" reports in the counties west and east of CMH and still snowing. We will see what they come in with. It should change to snow within a couple hours here but I'll be sleeping.close to 3" here. But not sure how much longer it'll hold together. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 looking like at least 3", judging from the window. Definitely more than I expected. I'll be interested to see what CMH reports considering the airport is closer to I-70. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 2.3" at CMH. Over performing here. Heavy snow right now almost an inch down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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