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Let's talk Winter!


Steve

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Well, I think I can officially say I'm about to throw in the towel for this winter. I always get annoyed when we warm up just long enough to rain, only to drop back well below freezing after it's passed. With that being said..

GO BUCKEYES!!

 

yep at least we got something to cheer about....GO BUCKS!  

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Switching over to snow here in Lewis Center. Better soak up these few flakes. May be the last ones for a looooooooooooooooooong time......................

 

yea, mini cottonballs here in Westerville.    I think I'll take the snowblower off the screened porch and put it back where it was stored in the garage.

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after seeing the 18z nam, I don't think there will be any need for any headlines from ILN.   Really blasting the temps.   This is looking like one of those old fashioned nw trenders we use to deal with years ago... :oldman: ....the ones where the NAM picked it up first 24 hours out and ended up being right.  

Nothing like taking a break from the bitter cold to work in some 34 degree rains.  :deadhorse:

 

 

well I was wrong and right.  I was wrong in that this was not wall to wall rain, but I was right that we really didn't need headlines (advisories) for this.  Roads got a light crust of  ice and sleet on them for a period last night, but we've had worse feezing rain events this season.  

Now comes the proverbial slap-in-the-face changeover to snow that will last 30 minutes.

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well I was wrong and right.  I was wrong in that this was not wall to wall rain, but I was right that we really didn't need headlines (advisories) for this.  Roads got a light crust of  ice and sleet on them for a period last night, but we've had worse feezing rain events this season.  

Now comes the proverbial slap-in-the-face changeover to snow that will last 30 minutes.

Had to laugh this morning here at work. There are people saying it is going to snow until 4 PM! Reminds me of the story about you hitting the store yesterday. The best is that one of the people said that they heard it on the news! No you didn't! C'mon people!

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so I checked and last year at this time our "Let's talk winter" Ohio thread was rounding the bend to page 22....so we are half of what we were last season.   seems appropriate

 

Last one out, shut the door and turn the lights out, I don't expect too much reason to be hanging around in here for the next couple weeks.

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so I checked and last year at this time our "Let's talk winter" Ohio thread was rounding the bend to page 22....so we are half of what we were last season.   seems appropriate

 

Last one out, shut the door and turn the lights out, I don't expect too much reason to be hanging around in here for the next couple weeks.

Good night! Talk to you in February (HOPEFULLY)!

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Huge amplification of Madden-Julian Oscillation straddling Phase 6 and 7 is feeding development of mAk vortex below Aleutian Islands. Note the two tropical disturbances about to enter the "linkage" between the tropical forcing and the polar jet stream. Bottom line: if this pulse continues strong and linked to the higher latitudes (pumping up an Alaskan ridge like the GFS series suggests), a major Arctic intrusion will target the lower 48 states in the last week of January.


WSI forecaster pointed out that this event has no known historical analogs! Larry Cosgrove!! What is your guys take on this?10922639_10155139833840235_1095773885502


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We just had the largest snow flakes that I have scene in years! Too bad it didn't last long. Was cool while it lasted though!

And now the sun is out!

Done called it quits on this winter. We will be lucky to get a 4" system. This could very well turn out to be the worst winter I can recall in my 31 years. The whole no snow is one thing, but we haven't even had any real threats to track in our parts. Sure we've had a couple 2-4" systems to track but nothing truly worth remembering lol. Bring on a monster or just bring on spring.

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Hey Buckeye, do any of the 12z Euro ensembles bring the Friday-Saturday system far enough NW to clip the Ohio Valley with precip? The recent bump NW on the models with that system has me a bit interested ;)

 

make fun of buckeye and his weatherbell maps....but y'all come crawl'n back like junkies begging for a fix when the snow shakes set in :devilsmiley: .

 

:P anyways, this is what I got:

 

14 out of 51 bring accumulating snow north of the ohio river for that system. Many of those bring the snow well into the central sections.   A few of those are 6"+.   Not good odds.

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make fun of buckeye and his weatherbell maps....but y'all come crawl'n back like junkies begging for a fix when the snow shakes set in :devilsmiley: .

:P anyways, this is what I got:

14 out of 51 bring accumulating snow north of the ohio river for that system. Many of those bring the snow well into the central sections. A few of those are 6"+. Not good odds.

:lol: thanks!

I'd have to imagine that's a decent improvement since yesterday. With the shortwave ahead of this system getting out of the way pretty quickly on Friday, if the northern branch shortwave keeps trending stronger there is room for a track farther NW...but, with the rather progressive pattern a good phase is a must so I'm not extremely optimistic.

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I would definitely be perked up if I lived in southeast OH, I think a good chance of some light accums down there for fri/sat system.  The models are showing more of a defined inverted trough west of the low.   That being said  I think much more of a nw trend is not going to happen.   The trough pretty much remains positively tilted and there's just way too much junk in the northern stream to allow this thing to slow and pop a stronger ridge out ahead.

 

As far as Sunday/Monday....hmmmm looking like a solid clipper??   Anyone want to put bets on how that falls apart?

 

a. trends north

b. trends south and around us

c. dampens out

 

I'm going with option a.

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As far as Sunday/Monday....hmmmm looking like a solid clipper??   Anyone want to put bets on how that falls apart?

 

a. trends north

b. trends south and around us

c. dampens out

 

I'm going with option a.

 

Such the optimist...and with good reason. I'm going with c.

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lol at the met on the radio this morning that said good chance of a snow day Monday.  

 

the clipper is gonna be a bust.   Next up:  Jan 31 - Feb 1 fantasy southern system and possible phase.  If that fails my weenie-hope tank will be officially empty, I'll be checking out and cleaning out my locker.

 

P.S. the coffee maker is mine,  I'm bringing it with me.

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