WhiteoutWX Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 Stupid GFS guidance with 0.00" precip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 Well Phil, it's just about 18z and there's no convection to be found. HRRR fail? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phil882 Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 Well Phil, it's just about 18z and there's no convection to be found. HRRR fail? Yep! The cirrus deck is still pretty thick and that still seems to be keeping temps down a tad, but it does seem like convection is holding off until the evening. No idea why HRRR was initiating so early, because its soundings suggested a significant cap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 Pretty strong cell coming at them from the SE. Looks like if it keeps its current heading it will hit them directly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 If that cell didn't hit them directly I'll be a monkey's uncle lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 LMAO. I give up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 They may only end up with like 0.10" the way it's looking. What a cluster Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 Well, this is nothing short of a disaster. Showers and storms to the left of them. Showers and storms to the right. And...(You get the rest). Ugh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted March 13, 2015 Share Posted March 13, 2015 68/57/20/0.85. At this point coming up with these numbers just feels like I'm doing something wrong, so who knows what is going to happen tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted March 13, 2015 Share Posted March 13, 2015 67/58/19/0.38 ... this city, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted March 13, 2015 Share Posted March 13, 2015 64/57/21/0.2 Because this is by far my worst score of semester, that's why. Riding on that NAM hype train! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted March 13, 2015 Share Posted March 13, 2015 66/57/18/0.35" I have no clue Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted March 13, 2015 Share Posted March 13, 2015 66/55/19/0.23 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wi_fl_wx Posted March 13, 2015 Share Posted March 13, 2015 Going to be a struggle to get back to consensus... 66/57/20/0.17" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted March 13, 2015 Share Posted March 13, 2015 I just need this rain lol. And a lot of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted March 13, 2015 Share Posted March 13, 2015 Hate it was so warm at 6z or my high would've worked with my low, winds Nice recovery for me today, but still got work to do toward consensus! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted March 14, 2015 Share Posted March 14, 2015 There was not a single piece of guidance that was close to what actually happened precip wise in this city. The closest was GFS and it had no precip, so even that was off. Every chance of showers/storms in the area missed the ASOS station. Truly remarkable. I'm killing temps and win and I'm getting murdered in the precip. Unbelievable Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 Went with 85/61/17 for tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 84/59/17 Was thinking 85-86, but the incoming front with decent winds from the NW during morning scared me away from it. Wasn't 100% sure with this logic, so it'll be interesting to see what y'all think. EDIT: Also see some disagreements with the low on here. Hmm... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 85/57/17 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 84/58/15/0. At least there's no precip tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wi_fl_wx Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 84/55/16/0 I'm not convinced the dew point will rise as much as some models are saying overnight, so with clear skies they should decouple and drop down to the mid-50s. Instinct was to go above guidance on the high as they should have a nice deep mixed layer. Could see 85-86 if the clouds hold off longer than expected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 85/59/15 Originally had 54 for the low so we'll see if I am kicking myself tomorrow morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 85/59/17/0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 Finally nailed a low here. Long road back to consensus this week for me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 Is the ASOS station having some issues today? KMGM 171553Z A3007 RMK AO2 SLPNO PNO $ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 Idk how they will get the winds right if the asos is down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 Idk how they will get the winds right if the asos is down.They've been missing temps two the last two hours. Maybe they'll just wipe the whole city out (I wish haha) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 Pretty sure the high will only be 84F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted March 17, 2015 Share Posted March 17, 2015 Climo report is in, looks like today's final numbers will be: 84/57/16 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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