phil882 Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 Has anyone looked at the cumulative scores lately... why is the 1st place forecaster getting to drop their worst three scores? Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 Has anyone looked at the cumulative scores lately... why is the 1st place forecaster getting to drop their worst three scores? Lol Probably just an error. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 Has anyone looked at the cumulative scores lately... why is the 1st place forecaster getting to drop their worst three scores? Lol That's been like that since at least the beginning of KLGB. Might have something to do with the fact that the second-lowest for the second half is the same as the lowest for the first half. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 64/45/17/0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 66/46/16/0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 68/48/17/0. I feel some slight downsloping will help them get a tad above guidance tomorrow. Marine layer doesn't look that strong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jurg Posted March 3, 2015 Author Share Posted March 3, 2015 68/48/17/0. I feel some slight downsloping will help them get a tad above guidance tomorrow. Marine layer doesn't look that strong. Hope so! 66/48/17/0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 65/49/14/0 I've no idea, but GFS/NWS/USL combo seems to work for this city so far on the low side while I'm taking it easy on the high. I wasn't confident enough to go as high as USL's winds but I could be wrong... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phil882 Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 68/48/17/0. I feel some slight downsloping will help them get a tad above guidance tomorrow. Marine layer doesn't look that strong. Downsloping from westerly winds?? ----- Light offshore flow tonight should allow them to cool off rather well (as long as the clouds stay away... we'll see). Tomorrow should see a well mixed atmosphere but westerly flow should keep temps in check somewhat. We dodged the bullet with convective rain all pretty much falling on the weekend and today (although there is still some threat we get some popcorn convection in the 06-09z range, although its a low probability event). 65/46/15/0.00 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Downsloping from westerly winds?? ----- Light offshore flow tonight should allow them to cool off rather well (as long as the clouds stay away... we'll see). Tomorrow should see a well mixed atmosphere but westerly flow should keep temps in check somewhat. We dodged the bullet with convective rain all pretty much falling on the weekend and today (although there is still some threat we get some popcorn convection in the 06-09z range, although its a low probability event). 65/46/15/0.00 You pretty much echoed my thoughts exactly. Hope we're both right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 I said "slight", if any north component in there they will. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phil882 Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Light offshore flow tonight should allow them to cool off rather well (as long as the clouds stay away... we'll see). Tomorrow should see a well mixed atmosphere but westerly flow should keep temps in check somewhat. We dodged the bullet with convective rain all pretty much falling on the weekend and today (although there is still some threat we get some popcorn convection in the 06-09z range, although its a low probability event). 65/46/15/0.00 Why oh why did I say anything... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 66/48/14/.18 lets see if I can get lucky with the pop-up showers .. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Still probably dodged a bullet. The airport is slightly NE of those cells and recent radar returns look to be showing a weakening trend and also they are moving out, so hopefully no new cells pop after 6z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Based on where the temperature is now, looks like the ~65-66 camp will do well today. EDIT: Or maybe the 66-68 camp. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Based on where the temperature is now, looks like the ~65-66 camp will do well today. EDIT: Or maybe the 66-68 camp. 64F LMAO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 64F LMAO ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 ? In reference to your earlier projection of 65-66 camp and that the temp was already at 64F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phil882 Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 West winds haven't kicked in yet... this will slow the increase some in the next few hours. HRRR still only projecting a high of 66F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 In reference to your earlier projection of 65-66 camp and that the temp was already at 64F. It wasn't when I said that. Hence the edit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 It wasn't when I said that. Hence the edit. When I hit quote, the edit was still in the works. We must have hit post and save edit at the same time or literally 1 minute apart. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 When I hit quote, the edit was still in the works. We must have hit post and save edit at the same time or literally 1 minute apart. I think it's more the tone of your response I'm confused by. I'm more than happy to admit that I'm wrong when I'm wrong, as I've done many times in the past. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 I think it's more the tone of your response I'm confused by. I'm more than happy to admit that I'm wrong when I'm wrong, as I've done many times in the past. Yea, it was mean spirited, True. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Doh! I jinxed myself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Based on where the temperature is now, looks like the ~65-66 camp will do well today. EDIT: Or maybe the 66-68 camp. 66F it is. For tomorrow: 72/45/10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 Went 72/46/13/0 Tomorrow I do think they could downslope a little, with full sunshine and decent mixing to boot. Had a hard time with the low, initially had 45 but am worried winds won't go calm till rather late, and dews have come up a little bit with the onshore winds the last couple of hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
L.B. LaForce Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 71/45/12/0 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 71/46/10/0 I need a wind 15kt+ for today and I'll be running for a trophy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phil882 Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 71/45/11/0.00 Tonight should be perfect radiational cooling conditions with calm winds and clear skies. Despite the warmer temp we are starting off, dewpoint is still in the low 40's and I think we should cool nicely tonight. Tomorrow seems similar to today, except weaker onshore flow in the afternoon and 850-hPa temps a good 2-3C warmer, which should buy us a 5-6F increase tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted March 4, 2015 Share Posted March 4, 2015 70/46/10/0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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